Tropical Storm Chris

[Extremeweatherguy]

43 knots at FL is the highest they have found all day with Chris.

[WindRunner]

I really want them to turn SE immediately to sample the main part of that blow-up of convection that they just caught the corner of with the 43kt reading. I doubt that convection would sustain itself, but it would still be interesting to see what the winds are in these little poofs.

[B'hamBlazer]

43 knots at FL is the highest they have found all day with Chris.

And personally I wouldnt be surprised if it increased to 45+ knots later this late evening/early night.

[WindRunner]

I wonder if these higher winds are due to the convection firing SE of the center right now?

They caught the northern corner of the convection on their way in . . . so possibly. It'd be interesting to see what the winds in that convection were right now, even though they probably wouldn't persist, and therefore would be of no help to the NHC.

[StormsAhead]

SXXX50 KNHC 032200
AF308 0603A CHRIS HDOB 34 KNHC
2149 2040N 06808W 00338 5000 131 004 240 240 005 00349 0000000000
2149. 2039N 06809W 00337 0000 127 004 240 240 004 00349 0000000000
2150 2038N 06810W 00337 0001 119 002 240 240 003 00349 0000000000
2150. 2036N 06811W 00338 0001 025 001 240 240 002 00350 0000000000
2151 2035N 06812W 00337 0002 353 003 238 238 003 00350 0000000000
2151. 2035N 06813W 00340 0002 050 002 240 240 002 00354 0000000000
2152 2036N 06815W 00336 0001 029 002 236 236 003 00348 0000000000
2152. 2037N 06816W 00337 0000 023 003 238 238 004 00349 0000000000
2153 2039N 06817W 00337 5001 020 004 240 240 005 00347 0000000000
2153. 2040N 06818W 00338 5002 026 004 242 242 005 00347 0000000000
2154 2041N 06819W 00337 5003 024 006 244 244 006 00346 0000000000
2154. 2042N 06820W 00338 5003 021 008 240 240 008 00346 0000000000
2155 2043N 06821W 00338 5003 019 007 240 240 008 00346 0000000000
2155. 2044N 06823W 00337 5003 014 010 238 238 011 00346 0000000000
2156 2045N 06824W 00337 5003 020 012 236 236 013 00346 0000000000
2156. 2046N 06825W 00339 5003 022 013 234 234 014 00348 0000000000
2157 2047N 06826W 00337 5002 022 015 234 234 015 00346 0000000000
2157. 2048N 06827W 00337 5002 025 017 232 232 017 00346 0000000000
2158 2050N 06828W 00337 5002 024 018 234 234 019 00346 0000000000
2158. 2051N 06829W 00338 5001 026 019 234 234 019 00348 0000000000
;

[StormsAhead]

URNT12 KNHC 032205
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 03/21:50:00Z
B. 20 deg 37 min N
068 deg 11 min W
C. NA mb NA m
D. 45 kt
E. 49 deg 028 nm
F. 144 deg 043 kt
G. 048 deg 025 nm
H. EXTRAP 1011 mb
I. 22 C/ 335 m
J. 24 C/ 337 m
K. 24 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1345 / 1
O. 0.02 / 7 nm
P. AF308 0603A CHRIS OB 10
MAX FL WIND 43 KT NE QUAD 21:42:00 Z
SLP EXTRAP FROM 1500 FT.
;

[Swimdude]

MAX FL WIND 43 KT NE QUAD 21:42:00 Z

He's hanging on!!

[Extremeweatherguy]

I bet everyone saying this was a "remnant low" is shocked right now. Recon confirms this is very much still a TS.

[WindRunner]

URNT12 KNHC 032205
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 03/21:50:00Z
B. 20 deg 37 min N
068 deg 11 min W
C. NA mb NA m
D. 45 kt
E. 49 deg 028 nm
F. 144 deg 043 kt
G. 048 deg 025 nm
H. EXTRAP 1011 mb
I. 22 C/ 335 m
J. 24 C/ 337 m
K. 24 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1345 / 1
O. 0.02 / 7 nm
P. AF308 0603A CHRIS OB 10
MAX FL WIND 43 KT NE QUAD 21:42:00 Z
SLP EXTRAP FROM 1500 FT.

There it is . . . still 1011, and the FL center is a good bit south of the sat center.

And visual estimates of winds are 45kts . . . for what it's worth . . .

[ammmyjjjj]

Go Chris!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[Grease Monkey]

Forget climatology. It doesn't apply anymore We are all experts now!


P.S. J/K

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Good for Chris!

[StormsAhead]

[Swimdude]

Anyone remember reading the book "The Little Engine That Could" ..?

That pretty much describes this situation.

[miamicanes177]

So he will be kept at 40mph for the 7pm advisory probably...wonderful! He refuses to die. And it is impressive he has maintained intensity today despite the hostile enviornment. Conditions should improve because of the low shear just ahead.

[Extremeweatherguy]

Anyone remember reading the book "The Little Engine That Could" ..?

That pretty much describes this situation.

[Grease Monkey]

lol.

[KFDM Meteorologist]

The Upper low causing the shear seems to be moving west along with the swirl. As i said earlier i would be very surprised if it really re generated.

[StormsAhead]

The low-level center made a jog to the WSW in the last hour...motion has been just north of west over the past 2 hours at 14 knots.

[stormtruth]

I don't think I would trust that clown on the train.