Tropical Storm Chris

[johngaltfla]

Put me in the 12th group. Living in the perpetual "cone of death" here in Florida and wondering when our luck will run out.

In 48 hours, IMHO, we will realistically know if this storm will make it to the Turks and intensify. The sad thing, if you ask me, is if this storm does suddenly intensify on a weekend, 75% of Floridians will be taken by suprise...

[george_r_1961]

I know better than to write off a system in that area in August unless it actually dissipates.

[JonathanBelles]

Put me in the 12th group. Living in the perpetual "cone of death" here in Florida and wondering when our luck will run out.

In 48 hours, IMHO, we will realistically know if this storm will make it to the Turks and intensify. The sad thing, if you ask me, is if this storm does suddenly intensify on a weekend, 75% of Floridians will be taken by suprise...

i dont think that is a humble statement. that percentage may even be low.

[f5]

I know better than to write off a system in that area in August unless it actually dissipates.

"Katrina"

[linkerweather]

Here is a quick video analysis from baynews9.com This is something we have added to our website for this season. Here is the link for this particular story. and click on video. This will not be the link for the whole season. That could be found at our home page at http://www.baynews9.com

http://www.baynews9.com/content/36/2006 ... a%20storm'

[WindRunner]

Just in case some people haven't figured out, recon is headed back to base. Final image of the vortex fixes:



Average six-hour motion comes out to be about 280 or so, just a little north of due west.

[JonathanBelles]

i ve been watching baynews nine on and off all day

[johngaltfla]

I know better than to write off a system in that area in August unless it actually dissipates.

Well stated. My brother-in-law wrote off Katrina and he lives in Fort Lauderdale. 2 weeks later he had power again.

Alot of folks forget the statements made last hurricane season by the NHC regarding a certain storm and climatology. I don't think any storm can be written off or dismissed until it dissipates.

[HouTXmetro]

I think Chris might be dealt a death blow tonight. The Satanic Shear Minions appear to be racing toward Chris again from the NE. We shall see.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-ir2.html

[CocoCreek]

In case you didn't see it, a good write-up about what happened to TS Chris by Dr. Lyons @ TWC...
http://www.weather.com/blog/weather/8_1 ... enter_news

[JonathanBelles]

I think Chris might be dealt a death blow tonight. The Satanic Shear Minions appear to be racing toward Chris again from the NE. We shall see.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-ir2.html

what is that?

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Looking at it right now a weak surge of shear is currnetly hitting chris...Which is forcing its convection south. But the even stronger death blow is coming down at 25/65. Which should make it to the cyclone in the next 6 hours. The western ULL has stalled just off Florida's east coast. Which theres only a very small area of half way liveable area for Chris. In I'm scared that it might of just about gotten through it. Not good for Chris. In its heading westward....

[beachbum_al]

Good blog by Dr. Lyons and I think he makes an important point at the end of his blog.

Let us also remember that while the above explains what's happened so far, it's not over til it's over. Chris is not dead yet ... and we'll continue to monitor it closely as long as it exists in case it tries to make a comeback ... but at the moment the storm is really struggling to survive!

[Extremeweatherguy]

Just so everyone knows...Steve Lyons post is from about 12:30pm EST today...well before the current convective burst.

[MississippiHurricane]

Just in case anyone forgot... The talkin tropics show is on.

[Trugunzn]

[MississippiHurricane]

Saying the worst for is over for Chris (weakening wise).

[HouTXmetro]

I'm like other, I need to see convection over the center before I am sold.

[Stratosphere747]

Chris is in sad shape indeed...

Various sat images including the one above confirm it.

[Windy]

If this convective burst results in the TS holding together (or reforming? I guess that's another debate), I hope Stewart jumps up on Franklin's desk and does a little jig.