Tropical Storm Chris

[saints63213]

really 100 percent we ll i completly disagree how could u say that

same was would say north louisiana won't get hit. lol

[deltadog03]

I'm certainly not willing to say 7 days in advance than north texas has an all clear. As poor as the models are handling this storm, I would say LA, TX, and Mexico should be on high alert.

I can say with 100% certainty that North Texas has an all clear...Chris will not hit there. A tropical storm or hurricane has never hit there and never will.

I dissagree with ya...

[Recurve]

Thanks. Can someone give the column labels or point to the thread that has it?

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=85603

Thanks.
So
The latest data:

Code: Select all

0450 2009N 06659W 07313 0446 027 021 185 227 022 07851 0000000000
0450. 2011N 06701W 07312 0447 031 021 185 229 021 07851 0000000000
0451 2013N 06703W 07312 0446 035 021 185 235 021 07849 0000000000

Other thread says the columns are:
Time
Lat
Long
Pressure Altitude
Absolute D-
wind direction
30-second wind speed
air temp C
dew point C
gust
radar altitude
final 1 indicating bad data.

Is that right?

[mobilebay]

I'm certainly not willing to say 7 days in advance than north texas has an all clear. As poor as the models are handling this storm, I would say LA, TX, and Mexico should be on high alert.

I can say with 100% certainty that North Texas has an all clear...Chris will not hit there. A tropical storm or hurricane has never hit there and never will.

I dissagree with ya...

She was joking!

[deltadog03]

i know...lol....

[mike815]

whew that made me nervous geez thought she was actually serious

[Brent]

Alot of posts!

No on the latter.

[Brent]

I'm certainly not willing to say 7 days in advance than north texas has an all clear. As poor as the models are handling this storm, I would say LA, TX, and Mexico should be on high alert.

I can say with 100% certainty that North Texas has an all clear...Chris will not hit there. A tropical storm or hurricane has never hit there and never will.

[Grease Monkey]

I'm certainly not willing to say 7 days in advance than north texas has an all clear. As poor as the models are handling this storm, I would say LA, TX, and Mexico should be on high alert.

I can say with 100% certainty that North Texas has an all clear...Chris will not hit there. A tropical storm or hurricane has never hit there and never will.

That's because the tornadoes take care of the north side. It might be a jurisdiction agreement between canes and tornadoes.

[mobilebay]

423
SXXX50 KNHC 040513
AF307 0703A CHRIS HDOB 08 KNHC
0501. 2051N 06746W 07313 0450 028 023 185 245 024 07854 0000000000
0502 2053N 06748W 07313 0451 026 023 185 211 024 07855 0000000000
0502. 2055N 06751W 07312 0450 030 023 185 235 024 07853 0000000000
0503 2057N 06753W 07312 0451 033 023 185 227 023 07855 0000000000
0503. 2058N 06755W 07313 0452 030 022 185 185 022 07857 0000000100
0504 2100N 06757W 07313 0455 029 021 183 183 022 07859 0000000100
0504. 2102N 06759W 07305 0451 028 021 181 181 021 07848 0000000100
0505 2104N 06801W 07313 0448 024 021 181 181 021 07852 0000000100
0505. 2105N 06803W 07314 0448 023 021 181 181 021 07853 0000000100
0506 2107N 06805W 07286 0448 025 020 179 179 021 07825 0000000100
0506. 2109N 06807W 06971 0432 034 022 161 247 022 07493 0000000000
0507 2110N 06809W 06603 0408 042 023 135 227 024 07100 0000000000
0507. 2112N 06811W 06248 0387 051 022 121 175 023 06720 0000000000
0508 2114N 06813W 05900 0370 054 024 099 153 025 06353 0000000000
0508. 2116N 06815W 05558 0352 059 023 071 177 024 05991 0000000000
0509 2117N 06816W 05229 0331 062 023 045 197 023 05640 0000000000
0509. 2119N 06818W 04906 0309 060 022 019 201 023 05295 0000000000
0510 2121N 06820W 04593 0288 074 024 002 179 024 04960 0000000000
0510. 2122N 06822W 04310 0259 075 023 020 177 023 04644 0000000000
0511 2124N 06824W 04042 0262 082 022 034 119 022 04353 0000000000
;

[tgenius]

Um... 4:45 sure looks even further north of the forecast point, anyone else care to chime?

[saints63213]

anyone see the 4:45 loop looks likes its closing off.

[saints63213]

Um... 4:45 sure looks even further north of the forecast point, anyone else care to chime?

yea more north and looks like its closing off.

[Cyclenall]

I watched some Canadian news and they said that Chris is expected to weaken and dissipate soon. Now is that the 23213th time the media was wrong? The NHC doesn't show this in forecast and yet some news outlets continue to go off and say whatever.

As for Chris and his health, I'm once again confused.

[The_OD_42]

Um... 4:45 sure looks even further north of the forecast point, anyone else care to chime?

yea more north and looks like its closing off.

maybe some moisture is trying to work its way into the center? the NW part of the convection is reaching further towards it

[ericinmia]

anyone see the 4:45 loop looks likes its closing off.

Yeah it appears it is trying to wrap some of the convection around the center a little on the Easter->NE quad... just barely...

[Category6]

I wonder what the 2 AM advisory will say. I won't know because I'm going to bed!
But that 4:45 frame shows me that the convection is getting closer to closer to the center, particularly the NW part of the blob

[ericinmia]

ACTUALLY....

It appears the Center has shifted...

The larger LLC has collapsed/relocated slightly and the center is now in the NW corner of the convection... if you watch this loop very carefully the last couple frames shows a spin in that section of the convection.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-ir2.html

[Recurve]

Did the center just go poof and get right under the convection at the forecast point? There's a circle of convection right about where it seems the center went. That old swirl just gave off a sigh.
Maybe it's frame fatigue

[tgenius]

ACTUALLY....

It appears the Center has shifted...

The larger LLC has collapsed/relocated slightly and the center is now in the NW corner of the convection... if you watch this loop very carefully the last couple frames shows a spin in that section of the convection.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-ir2.html

In either case, its still north of the forecast points.