KFDM Meteorologist wrote:All new models today still showing strong 500 high in the deep south by next Tuesday,
Yes, but the 12z GFS has trended weaker from previous runs. At 144h, the 594dm height contour is gone. It's still possible that flow could be from the SE or ESE in the Western Gulf rather than due east. If Chris makes it into the Gulf, Texas is not yet out of the woods. I still agree that the most likely landfall location would be near Brownsville or to the south, but there is still a considerable amount of uncertainty.