Tropical Storm Chris

stormie_skies · #4621 Postby **stormie_skies** » Fri Aug 04, 2006 1:22 pm

CronkPSU wrote:refreshing like a monkey on crack

Gosh, THAT was quite a mental picture.... :lol:

WindRunner · #4622 Postby **WindRunner** » Fri Aug 04, 2006 1:23 pm

Well, headed off at a very strange angle now . . . and that line isn't their direct path . . . as you can see from the longitude cloumn, they were rather wobbly as they were heading south, despite the lack of wind . . .

#4623 Postby **mvtrucking** » Fri Aug 04, 2006 1:23 pm

stormie_skies wrote:whew.....at least thats something....

Is there even a center there?

x-y-no · #4624 Postby **x-y-no** » Fri Aug 04, 2006 1:24 pm

I don't see any west winds

#4625 Postby **JonathanBelles** » Fri Aug 04, 2006 1:24 pm

i see a drunk pilot!

Website · #4626 Postby **Brent** » Fri Aug 04, 2006 1:24 pm

I don't think there's a center...

craptacular · #4627 Postby **craptacular** » Fri Aug 04, 2006 1:24 pm

It looks like they just started flying south (no more west) around 1803 ... maybe they are looking.

Grease Monkey · #4628 Postby **Grease Monkey** » Fri Aug 04, 2006 1:25 pm

I don't really notice any north shift.

x-y-no · #4629 Postby **x-y-no** » Fri Aug 04, 2006 1:26 pm

Big area of very low winds, but all easterly or southeasterly so far.

WindRunner · #4630 Postby **WindRunner** » Fri Aug 04, 2006 1:26 pm

There's a broad and brief switch from the SSE winds to east winds (not west!), and then they switch back to SSE winds by the end of the set, when they should be having W to SW winds in that area.

#4631 Postby **JonathanBelles** » Fri Aug 04, 2006 1:26 pm

if satelite doesnt clear up by 3:00 im gonna cancel my forecast at 3:30

Typhoon · #4632 Postby **Typhoon** » Fri Aug 04, 2006 1:26 pm

Now the 1809 set that we were waiting for has shown up on the page, but the 1819 set that should have come in by now isn't there. Can you find the 1819 set in the same place, WindRunner? Although I'll probably hang around here for awhile longer, you should take over posting the HDOB obs as well as the VDM when it comes in.

Website · #4633 Postby **Brent** » Fri Aug 04, 2006 1:27 pm

Recon isn't finding any west winds...

I think it might really be dead(at least temporarily) this time.

Windspeed · #4634 Postby **Windspeed** » Fri Aug 04, 2006 1:27 pm

Wow, the center did just get annihilated. Last few visible images it looks clean in there. Maybe the center is opening up. Still awaiting a vortex message.

#4635 Postby **Air Force Met** » Fri Aug 04, 2006 1:27 pm

x-y-no wrote:I don't see any west winds

I think the outflow boundry (you can see the tstms complex collaps and the LLC clear out) wiped them out. If you look at the GHCC...you can watch the outflow boundry moving through where the LLC was. It is running into the coonvergent bands west of where the LLC was and is causing some spotty convection.

I think this is game, set, match for the time being. Regeneration always posible....but 5 knots of west wind just got creamed by 15 knots of outflow boundry. :lol:

WindRunner · #4636 Postby **WindRunner** » Fri Aug 04, 2006 1:28 pm

Ok, I will . . . and yep, it's there . . .

SXXX50 KNHC 041819
AF303 0803A CHRIS HDOB 16 KNHC
1810 2100N 07212W 01523 0075 159 005 186 158 005 01633 0000000000
1810. 2059N 07213W 01525 0074 161 006 186 160 006 01634 0000000000
1811 2057N 07214W 01525 0075 160 005 184 162 005 01635 0000000000
1811. 2056N 07216W 01525 0076 196 004 180 164 004 01635 0000000000
1812 2055N 07217W 01526 0077 241 002 180 162 003 01637 0000000000
1812. 2054N 07218W 01524 0077 260 003 180 162 004 01635 0000000000
1813 2053N 07220W 01526 0077 290 005 180 158 005 01637 0000000000
1813. 2052N 07221W 01524 0077 301 004 180 160 005 01636 0000000000
1814 2051N 07222W 01524 0078 285 003 178 162 004 01636 0000000000
1814. 2049N 07223W 01526 0077 284 003 174 170 003 01637 0000000000
1815 2048N 07225W 01525 0077 264 003 176 166 003 01637 0000000000
1815. 2047N 07226W 01525 0078 253 002 170 166 003 01638 0000000000
1816 2046N 07227W 01524 0078 256 002 170 168 002 01637 0000000000
1816. 2045N 07228W 01526 0079 319 001 170 166 002 01639 0000000000
1817 2044N 07230W 01525 0080 358 002 170 166 002 01640 0000000000
1817. 2043N 07231W 01525 0079 020 002 170 166 002 01640 0000000000
1818 2041N 07232W 01524 0079 079 001 176 160 002 01638 0000000000
1818. 2040N 07233W 01525 0079 016 001 174 160 001 01639 0000000000
1819 2039N 07235W 01524 0078 012 002 176 158 002 01637 0000000000
1819. 2038N 07236W 01524 0079 003 003 176 160 004 01639 0000000000

#4637 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri Aug 04, 2006 1:29 pm

WindRunner wrote:There's a broad and brief switch from the SSE winds to east winds (not west!), and then they switch back to SSE winds by the end of the set, when they should be having W to SW winds in that area.

(not west!),

If there are no west winds,It's dead Jim!!!

x-y-no · #4638 Postby **x-y-no** » Fri Aug 04, 2006 1:29 pm

Woohoo! West winds in the next set! 8-)

Typhoon · #4639 Postby **Typhoon** » Fri Aug 04, 2006 1:29 pm

VDM just came in. 1011 mb pressure!

DESTRUCTION5 · #4640 Postby **DESTRUCTION5** » Fri Aug 04, 2006 1:29 pm

Air Force Met wrote:
x-y-no wrote:I don't see any west winds

I think the outflow boundry (you can see the tstms complex collaps and the LLC clear out) wiped them out. If you look at the GHCC...you can watch the outflow boundry moving through where the LLC was. It is running into the coonvergent bands west of where the LLC was and is causing some spotty convection.

I think this is game, set, match for the time being. Regeneration always posible....but 5 knots of west wind just got creamed by 15 knots of outflow boundry.

official time of death 230PM Aug 4th, 2006...

Tropical Storm Chris

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