Tropical Storm Chris

[WindRunner]

URNT11 KNHC 041832
97779 18204 60206 72600 15200 99005 17161 /2534
49905
RMK AF303 0803A CHRIS OB 06

Surface wind variable @ 5kts, SW corner of storm.

[KWT]

I actually think they'll keep Chris for at least one more advisory just to be on the safe side and to make sure the LLC is a goner, then in the end of season confirmation they may well downgrade it to a TW.

(ps, mind you just saw that vortex, LLC does look to be still there then but its mighty weak, wouldn't take much to kill it off now, seems like that mass of convection has helped to keep Chris alive, i wonder whether there will be any TS force winds in that convective mass??)

[Kerry04]

remember Hurricane Jeanne back in 04

http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/at200410.asp

We said it was dead but look what happen

[Air Force Met]

Game over

Nope...they just posted a vortex message. There is still a LLC.

Unbelievable.

[stormie_skies]

he's not quite dead yet...its just a flesh wound!!!!

ROFLMAO!!!

EXACTLY what I was thinking!!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2eMkth8FWno&mode=related&search=

[cycloneye]

Interesting that the Vortex is under the convection according to the fix of VDM.

[Portastorm]

Game over

Nope...they just posted a vortex message. There is still a LLC.

Unbelievable.

I'm telling ya, put a goalie mask on Chris and we'll just call him Michael Myers (begin spooky Halloween music).

[flhurricaneguy]

ok game over, can we press restart and get a new storm to track

[HouTXmetro]

Game over

Nope...they just posted a vortex message. There is still a LLC.

Unbelievable.

I was just getting happy there was no LLC despite convection continuing to fire even to the west. DIE ALREADYYY

convection begginging to fire in all quads

[HURAKAN]

what reduction percentage do we use for the latest VM?

[Brent]

Game over

Nope...they just posted a vortex message. There is still a LLC.

Unbelievable.

I was just getting happy there was no LLC despite convection continuing to fire even to the west. DIE ALREADYYY

[WindRunner]

SXXX50 KNHC 041839
AF303 0803A CHRIS HDOB 18 KNHC
1830 2029N 07222W 01526 0076 050 002 184 158 002 01636 0000000000
1830. 2029N 07221W 01525 0076 017 001 182 162 001 01636 0000000000
1831 2029N 07219W 01525 0076 335 002 180 164 002 01635 0000000000
1831. 2028N 07217W 01524 0076 337 003 180 162 003 01635 0000000000
1832 2028N 07216W 01525 0075 316 003 176 166 003 01635 0000000000
1832. 2028N 07214W 01524 0074 304 003 176 168 003 01633 0000000000
1833 2028N 07213W 01526 0075 307 002 178 168 002 01635 0000000000
1833. 2028N 07211W 01525 0075 261 002 180 168 002 01634 0000000000
1834 2028N 07209W 01526 0075 247 002 178 168 002 01635 0000000000
1834. 2028N 07208W 01524 0076 274 001 178 162 002 01634 0000000000
1835 2028N 07206W 01528 0075 247 002 178 154 003 01637 0000000000
1835. 2028N 07204W 01523 0075 236 004 176 160 005 01632 0000000000
1836 2028N 07203W 01527 0075 227 004 178 166 006 01637 0000000000
1836. 2028N 07201W 01525 0076 228 005 176 166 005 01636 0000000000
1837 2028N 07159W 01524 0076 226 005 174 166 005 01634 0000000000
1837. 2028N 07158W 01526 0076 246 006 180 164 006 01636 0000000000
1838 2028N 07156W 01524 0076 222 006 182 140 006 01635 0000000000
1838. 2028N 07154W 01525 0075 202 005 188 132 005 01634 0000000000
1839 2028N 07153W 01528 0075 212 006 182 134 006 01637 0000000000
1839. 2029N 07151W 01527 0080 204 006 186 134 007 01641 0000000000

Ohio state page finally catches up . . .

[Brent]

He lives on... barely.

Thread 1:

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=87552

Thread 2:

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=87590

Thread 3:

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=87632

Thread 4:

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=87663

Thread 5:

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=87695

Thread 6:

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=87738

[AnnularCane]

In reading the update, a mention is made that the Keys and So. Fla. should keep an eye on Chris. Isn't the path over Cuba ow? If its winds are only 35 and it is virtually dissipated, why should we keep an eye on it?
Thanks for your replies.

They just mention this in case anyone has any loose papers in their backyard or perhaps a bird feeder hanging up that might sway a bit in the wind.

Oh yeah, that is a good idea. You don't want to get smacked with any loose papers. You could get a nasty paper cut.

[x-y-no]

And "the little cyclone that could" struggles on ...

[WindRunner]

[KWT]

Does look like Chris stil lhas a weak LLC, very intresting to see this system fight on and there do appear to be some small lumps of convection on its western side still.

[Jam151]

did the recon spot the vortex before the outflow boundary cleared it?

[HouTXmetro]

Might as well, convection popping off in All quads.

[ericinmia]

J.B. Says that this will stay just north of cuba... and he thinks it will become a hurricane in the Gulf and slam into Mexico well south of Brownsville.

He mentioned that there is a time tonight that this could intensify and that SFL needs to watch out...

For whatever its worth... there is his thoughts...