Tropical Storm Chris

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Grease Monkey
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#4721 Postby Grease Monkey » Fri Aug 04, 2006 2:22 pm

They just want to confirm that he's dead.
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rnbaida

#4722 Postby rnbaida » Fri Aug 04, 2006 2:24 pm

its a tropical wave. no doubt about it... just look at the visible sat.
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#4723 Postby WindRunner » Fri Aug 04, 2006 2:25 pm

Image

Well, now headed back through that little puff, and finding some winds.
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#4724 Postby rnbaida » Fri Aug 04, 2006 2:27 pm

i think it is a tropical wave also. i cant see a closed circulation.

who agrees?
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#4725 Postby Stormavoider » Fri Aug 04, 2006 2:29 pm

rnbaida wrote:i think it is a tropical wave also. i cant see a closed circulation.

who agrees?

Not yet
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#4726 Postby Grease Monkey » Fri Aug 04, 2006 2:29 pm

I vote chris disassembled.
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#4727 Postby wxman57 » Fri Aug 04, 2006 2:29 pm

Recon did close off a vortex. However, since that time, the convection southeast of the center dissipated and there appears to be only a broad low elongated NW-SE. Looking more like a wave, but I'd wager that the NHC will still say it's a TD at 4pm and probably all night, unless recon can no longer find a center early tomorrow morning.
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#4728 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Fri Aug 04, 2006 2:30 pm

DESTRUCTION5 wrote:http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html

That is the saddest excuse for a TC ever..Thats a Wave now period..
AMEN!!!
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#4729 Postby WindRunner » Fri Aug 04, 2006 2:30 pm

rnbaida wrote:i think it is a tropical wave also. i cant see a closed circulation.

who agrees?


Recon has found one . . . unless recon reports back otherwise in the next hour, 5pm will not be Chris' last advisory - i.e. he'll still be a TD.
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#4730 Postby x-y-no » Fri Aug 04, 2006 2:30 pm

It does appear that (via recon) we're witnessing the TD opening up into a wave. It was definitely closed on the first pass, but that seems real questionable now.
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#4731 Postby Andrew92 » Fri Aug 04, 2006 2:31 pm

Stormcenter wrote:
DESTRUCTION5 wrote:http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html

That is the saddest excuse for a TC ever..Thats a Wave now period..


I disagree. I've seen MUCH worse.


Such as Grace? (OK, I'm just giving you a hard time LOL)

Seriously, I agree with several others this thing has got to be a wave. Even if he does hold on past 5, if Chris doesn't quickly get his act together, he'll be dead and I'll be giving my famous goodbye to him.

-Andrew92
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#4732 Postby Starburst » Fri Aug 04, 2006 2:33 pm

424
SXXX50 KNHC 041929
AF303 0803A CHRIS HDOB 23 KNHC
1920 2121N 07249W 01525 0074 032 013 182 176 014 01634 0000000000
1920. 2122N 07250W 01527 0074 045 014 182 176 015 01636 0000000000
1921 2123N 07251W 01522 0074 053 015 180 176 016 01631 0000000000
1921. 2124N 07252W 01526 0075 056 015 180 176 016 01635 0000000000
1922 2125N 07253W 01527 0075 070 016 180 174 016 01636 0000000000
1922. 2126N 07255W 01523 0075 066 014 184 170 016 01633 0000000000
1923 2127N 07256W 01527 0075 076 020 182 174 021 01637 0000000000
1923. 2128N 07257W 01522 0077 074 019 186 174 019 01634 0000000000
1924 2129N 07258W 01526 0086 070 017 186 174 018 01647 0000000000
1924. 2130N 07259W 01526 0089 074 014 188 168 016 01650 0000000000
1925 2132N 07301W 01529 0084 087 018 182 172 019 01647 0000000000
1925. 2133N 07302W 01532 0077 085 018 186 162 020 01643 0000000000
1926 2134N 07303W 01523 0076 082 016 184 166 016 01633 0000000000
1926. 2135N 07305W 01523 0077 064 016 182 160 017 01634 0000000000
1927 2136N 07306W 01528 0077 074 020 194 150 020 01640 0000000000
1927. 2138N 07307W 01522 0079 064 019 192 162 020 01635 0000000000
1928 2139N 07308W 01527 0079 059 016 184 168 017 01641 0000000000
1928. 2140N 07310W 01525 0079 063 016 184 168 017 01639 0000000000
1929 2141N 07311W 01525 0080 067 019 186 166 020 01640 0000000000
1929. 2142N 07312W 01524 0081 070 020 180 170 020 01639 0000000000
;
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#4733 Postby JonathanBelles » Fri Aug 04, 2006 2:34 pm

i believe the highest winds so far are 20 kts at fl, right?
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#4734 Postby WindRunner » Fri Aug 04, 2006 2:35 pm

Image
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#4735 Postby Swimdude » Fri Aug 04, 2006 2:35 pm

I wonder... If at times like these... The hurricane hunters are enjoying themselves [due to a relaxing, non-bumpy mission] or if they're just bored to death.
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#4736 Postby JonathanBelles » Fri Aug 04, 2006 2:36 pm

id be bored to death
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#4737 Postby WindRunner » Fri Aug 04, 2006 2:36 pm

fact789 wrote:i believe the highest winds so far are 20 kts at fl, right?


Actually, 36kts, but well removed from the center to the NE.
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#4738 Postby Typhoon » Fri Aug 04, 2006 2:36 pm

fact789 wrote:i believe the highest winds so far are 20 kts at fl, right?


On the current pass? Yes. But you do realize that they recorded 36 kt earlier, right? There was a substantial area with winds above 30 kt.
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#4739 Postby Sanibel » Fri Aug 04, 2006 2:37 pm

Your "wave" is still reconvecting.

Wait till it hits the shear direction change slot ahead of it between the two ULL's.
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#4740 Postby jlauderdal » Fri Aug 04, 2006 2:38 pm

Swimdude wrote:I wonder... If at times like these... The hurricane hunters are enjoying themselves [due to a relaxing, non-bumpy mission] or if they're just bored to death.


i dont know anyone that likes sitting on a quiet airplane ride just for thrills
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