Tropical Storm Chris

[Extremeweatherguy]

J.B. Says that this will stay just north of cuba... and he thinks it will become a hurricane in the Gulf and slam into Mexico well south of Brownsville.

He mentioned that there is a time tonight that this could intensify and that SFL needs to watch out...

For whatever its worth... there is his thoughts...

this is not what he said. He did not say it would hit "well south of Brownsville", instead he thinks it will hit along the TX coast but likely further south rather than further north. Here is a brief quote from him:

I think it's closer to Brownsville than to Beaumont.

Also, he never said that he thinks this will become a hurricane, all he said was that IF IT DID COME BACK, it would probably hit the area mentioned and could potentially be as strong as a hurricane.

[Starburst]

345
UZNT13 KNHC 041935
XXAA 54198 99211 70726 08012 99011 26437 29012 00098 25837 29513
92783 22847 29007 85519 21237 30002 88999 77999
31313 09608 81912
61616 AF303 0803A CHRIS OB 10
62626 EYE SPL 2109N07255W 1914 MBL WND 29511 AEV 20604 DLM WND 30
009 011883 WL150 29512 075 =
XXBB 54198 99211 70726 08012 00011 26437 11941 23244 22850 21237
33842 19023
21212 00011 29012 11883 31007 22842 00000
31313 09608 81912
61616 AF303 0803A CHRIS OB 10
62626 EYE SPL 2109N07255W 1914 MBL WND 29511 AEV 20604 DLM WND 30
009 011883 WL150 29512 075 =
;

[Grease Monkey]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html

That is the saddest excuse for a TC ever..Thats a Wave now period..

I disagree. I've seen MUCH worse.

Such as Grace? (OK, I'm just giving you a hard time LOL)

Seriously, I agree with several others this thing has got to be a wave. Even if he does hold on past 5, if Chris doesn't quickly get his act together, he'll be dead and I'll be giving my famous goodbye to him.

-Andrew92

Please don't. Chris doesn't deserve it.

[KFDM Meteorologist]

Chris or whatever it is is just about gone looking at satellite.

[DESTRUCTION5]

J.B. Says that this will stay just north of cuba... and he thinks it will become a hurricane in the Gulf and slam into Mexico well south of Brownsville.

He mentioned that there is a time tonight that this could intensify and that SFL needs to watch out...

For whatever its worth... there is his thoughts...

this is not what he said. He did not say it would hit "well south of Brownsville", instead he thinks it will hit along the TX coast but likely further south rather than further north. Here is a brief quote from him:

I think it's closer to Brownsville than to Beaumont.

I think he needs to stop his TX landfall dreaming...

[WindRunner]

Drop, in the "eye" - i.e. it did go through the center.


EDIT: see above


Surface: 1011mb, 12kts.

FL: 843mb, 0kts

[Brent]

id be bored to death

No doubt. They've probably had more interesting flights into tropical waves before.

[Derek Ortt]

for the 100th time,

the UL behind Chris is moving as fast or faster than Chris. That's why this shear has lasted longer than expected

[KFDM Meteorologist]

for the 100th time,

the UL behind Chris is moving as fast or faster than Chris. That's why this shear has lasted longer than expected

Exactly, that's what i was saying yesterday. It's obivous on satellite/WV.

[Starburst]

Thanks Windrunner

[Frank2]

They might go off-station earlier than planned (due to cost, and, since there are enough reporting stations in the southeast Bahamas and Cuba)...

[Swimdude]

Is it possible Chris could get wiped out temporarily and make a come-back in the GOM?

Best example I can think of is the remnants of Hurricane Ivan, which came off the coast of the Carolinas, went South over Florida, and almost re-formed before heading into Texas.

[Starburst]

724
SXXX50 KNHC 041939
AF303 0803A CHRIS HDOB 24 KNHC
1930 2144N 07314W 01525 0082 075 019 180 170 019 01641 0000000000
1930. 2145N 07315W 01525 0083 074 020 182 168 020 01642 0000000000
1931 2146N 07316W 01525 0082 078 019 182 166 020 01641 0000000000
1931. 2147N 07318W 01525 0082 069 019 180 170 019 01642 0000000000
1932 2148N 07319W 01525 0083 059 019 174 172 020 01643 0000000000
1932. 2150N 07320W 01524 0084 060 018 176 172 019 01643 0000000000
1933 2151N 07321W 01526 0084 056 018 172 172 018 01644 0000000000
1933. 2152N 07323W 01525 0084 048 017 170 170 018 01643 0000000000
1934 2153N 07324W 01525 0085 045 017 170 168 018 01644 0000000000
1934. 2154N 07325W 01526 0085 044 019 170 170 020 01645 0000000000
1935 2155N 07327W 01525 0085 049 021 170 170 021 01645 0000000000
1935. 2157N 07328W 01525 0085 056 021 170 166 021 01644 0000000000
1936 2158N 07329W 01525 0085 053 020 170 170 020 01645 0000000000
1936. 2159N 07330W 01525 0086 055 021 170 166 022 01646 0000000000
1937 2200N 07332W 01525 0086 056 021 172 164 021 01646 0000000000
1937. 2201N 07333W 01525 0086 055 019 170 166 019 01646 0000000000
1938 2202N 07334W 01526 0087 050 020 174 164 020 01647 0000000000
1938. 2204N 07336W 01525 0086 053 021 170 164 021 01645 0000000000
1939 2205N 07337W 01525 0087 052 021 170 166 021 01646 0000000000
1939. 2206N 07338W 01526 0087 050 020 168 164 021 01647 0000000000
;

During reconnaissance of tropical system CHRIS a maximum sustained wind speed of 24 mph at 5004 feet, and a maximum wind gust of 25 mph at 5004 feet, were found by the government plane.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

droped one millibar and has winds 6 knots higher then last night. But still has a higher height in the middle.

[rnbaida]

people.... just give it up, this is now a tropical wave and i would give it only a 10% chance of becoming something in the gulf...

[cycloneye]

Jim!!! it's dead my friend.

[crazycajuncane]

I was just thinking about that whole Texas thing. I know they've not had a big storm in a while. When is the last time Texas saw a Hurricane?

[Bailey1777]

Pro-Mets is it really the end?

[Jim Cantore]

Is it possible Chris could get wiped out temporarily and make a come-back in the GOM?

Best example I can think of is the remnants of Hurricane Ivan, which came off the coast of the Carolinas, went South over Florida, and almost re-formed before heading into Texas.

It did reform

[Jam151]

is it me or am i seeing more outflow boundaries near and east of the center on GHCC?