Tropical Storm Chris

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wx247
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#4861 Postby wx247 » Fri Aug 04, 2006 3:46 pm

southerngale wrote:Look at the last few frames of GHCC vis - convection continues to fire near the center.

Die already. Image


My thoughts exactly. I am glad that my job does not depend on forecasting Chris. :lol: I would have to be checked in somewhere. :P
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#4862 Postby marcane_1973 » Fri Aug 04, 2006 3:46 pm

Chris is over!!! I wrote him off a long time ago. Even if he made it into the GOM conditions are not that great in that region. It all comes down to plain and simple atmospheric conditions are not that great anywhere in the Atlantic. There are just some pockets that are good. When the Atlantic finally gets right in September things should begin to start rolling. In my opinion not until the last 2 weeks in August might be active with something more worth watching.
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#4863 Postby Air Force Met » Fri Aug 04, 2006 3:47 pm

southerngale wrote:Look at the last few frames of GHCC vis - convection continues to fire near the center.

Die already. Image


Yep...and the LLC shows up nice too.
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#4864 Postby saints63213 » Fri Aug 04, 2006 3:48 pm

southerngale wrote:Look at the last few frames of GHCC vis - convection continues to fire near the center.

Die already. Image
he aint dead yet. If it doesn't refire tonight I will bet it is dead and never lives again.
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#4865 Postby tgenius » Fri Aug 04, 2006 3:48 pm

Air Force Met wrote:
southerngale wrote:Look at the last few frames of GHCC vis - convection continues to fire near the center.

Die already. Image


Yep...and the LLC shows up nice too.


So the talk about South FL is just fluff? :D
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#4866 Postby Andrew92 » Fri Aug 04, 2006 3:49 pm

I was just getting ready to get the door emoticon out. DARN IT.

-Andrew92
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#4867 Postby JonathanBelles » Fri Aug 04, 2006 3:49 pm

ghcc?
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#4868 Postby Derek Ortt » Fri Aug 04, 2006 3:49 pm

The recon did not go home early. That was the planned flight, fixes every 12 hours
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#4869 Postby AnnularCane » Fri Aug 04, 2006 3:50 pm

Andrew92 wrote:I was just getting ready to get the door emoticon out. DARN IT.

-Andrew92



Chris doesn't want the door emoticon. :P
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#4870 Postby miamicanes177 » Fri Aug 04, 2006 3:51 pm

Facts...Chris is a TD with 35mph winds...yes, there is a closed circulation, the 5pm advisory is not the last, and he is forecast to strengthen into a tropical storm.
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#4871 Postby Grease Monkey » Fri Aug 04, 2006 3:51 pm

Give him a hug instead.
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#4872 Postby Wx_Warrior » Fri Aug 04, 2006 3:51 pm

LOL...I've heard this 25 times since wed evening:

"If Chris doesn't fire or reorganize next advisory, he's dead...."

We are starting to sound like politicians!!! Always changing our minds! LOL :5:
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#4873 Postby HouTXmetro » Fri Aug 04, 2006 3:51 pm

OK, somebody shoot me. I can't take this anymore. :cry: Why me Chis, WHYYYYYY!!!!

I think I'm just going to stop watching Chris period and let the chips fall where they may. He could be coming up Galveston bay next week and I won't know until he gets there.
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Re: Td Chris Advisory--2pm EDT advisory

#4874 Postby wx247 » Fri Aug 04, 2006 3:51 pm

ConvergenceZone wrote:

They just mention this in case anyone has any loose papers in their backyard or perhaps a bird feeder hanging up that might sway a bit in the wind.


This is the funniest quote I have ever read at s2k... hands down!!! :notworthy:
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#4875 Postby Bailey1777 » Fri Aug 04, 2006 3:52 pm

This is like an on again off again relationship. You want to get up and turn everything off and just get away from it all for a day but then you just keep watching.
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#4876 Postby Grease Monkey » Fri Aug 04, 2006 3:53 pm

Yeah Chris wasted enough of my time. Until he proves that he's something to reckon with, i'm just going to watch the updates.
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#4877 Postby cycloneye » Fri Aug 04, 2006 3:53 pm

This system has been a very tenasious one from the start when it was invest 99L,fighting the sal,dry air and shear.And now when we were going to say Hasta la vista baby,it's still hanging on.
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#4878 Postby southerngale » Fri Aug 04, 2006 3:54 pm

Image
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#4879 Postby Air Force Met » Fri Aug 04, 2006 3:54 pm

OK...I'm gonna talk some crazy talk here. Given teh gradient is weak...and since the upper level winds are more favorable to the NW and there is some convergence over there...plus snice it is moistening up...what if...

During the diurnal max we get a blowup of convection in the NW quad and the LLC gets sucked up about 1-2 degrees to the NW?

Just an idea...not saying it is going to happen...just wondering out loud.
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#4880 Postby cheezyWXguy » Fri Aug 04, 2006 3:54 pm

well he did drop one milabar since yesterday, if that means anything at all
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