Central Atlantic Tropical Wave

[NONAME]

Tropical Wave with A Closed Circulation in the Atlantic could it devlop????

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 52W S OF 19N MOVING
WEST 15 TO 20 KT. BROAD CYCLONIC TURNING IS NOTED WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. UW-CIMMS SAHARAN LAYER ANALYSIS DEPICTS
A FAIRLY DENSE REGION OF DUST AFFECTING THE WAVE. AN OLD QUIK
SCAT PASS FROM THIS MORNING SHOWED A CLOSED CIRCULATION AT 11N
THAT WILL BE MONITORED. THE GFS MODEL ALSO INITIALIZES A LOW
LEVEL VORTICITY MAXIMUM IN THIS VICINITY THAT MOVES OVER THE
LESSER ANTILLES BY 07/0000 UTC.

[HurricaneMaster_PR]

Lets see how it behaves once it passes 55W...Chris also looked that ill when it was in that location...

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
413 PM AST FRI AUG 4 2006

.DISCUSSION...TUTT LOW LOCATED NORTH OF THE LOCAL AREA AT THIS
TIME AND WILL CONTINUE MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AND THEN GRADUALLY
AWAY FROM THE LOCAL AREA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. LOW TO
MID LEVEL REFLECTION OF THE TUTT APPROACHING THE NORTHERN LEEWARD
ISLANDS AND WILL MOVE ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS SATURDAY. NEXT
TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED NEAR 51 WEST...IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS
THE LOCAL AREA LATER SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY...RESULTING IN A
SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS...THUNDERSTORMS...
WINDS AND SEAS ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS.

[jhamps10]

we have a thread for this already:

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=87771

[HurricaneMaster_PR]

we have a thread for this already:

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=87771

This is another tropical wave, the one that will approach the Lesser Antilles by Monday. In the other thread they are discussing the convection at the 37W

[jhamps10]

it won't develop for a couple of days IMO, WAY too much dry air in the area. don't know about the shear though. but in a few days say wed-thursday, we could have something there.

[HurricaneMaster_PR]

According to this map, shear doesnt look to be too much of a problem right now..
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8sht.html

[SouthFloridawx]

Here is a good model run down on this wave and the one behind it.
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic ... 7&start=80

[cycloneye]

ABNT20 KNHC 050238
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT FRI AUG 4 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON WEAKENING
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHRIS...LOCATED ABOUT 250 MILES EAST OF
CAMAGUEY CUBA.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SUNDAY.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/KNABB


Nothing at TWO yet.

[Rieyeuxs]

Geez cycloneye...take all the fun out of it why don't cha