Mmmm....so south of AL

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Normandy
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Mmmm....so south of AL

#1 Postby Normandy » Sat Aug 05, 2006 5:31 am

Anyone looking at the Mobile radar this morning?
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#2 Postby mobilebay » Sat Aug 05, 2006 5:32 am

Yea. thats a huge MSC that moved offshore this morning.
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#3 Postby Normandy » Sat Aug 05, 2006 5:33 am

Yea well it looks better than Tropical Wave Chris
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#4 Postby mobilebay » Sat Aug 05, 2006 5:35 am

Normandy wrote:Yea well it looks better than Tropical Wave Chris

Yes it does. It is on the northern side of a huge upper low over the GOM. NWS discussion said there is a low their with a weak surface reflection.
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#5 Postby Normandy » Sat Aug 05, 2006 5:36 am

That ULL looks like its losing its punch to me....and the radar on Mobile looks *somewhat* interesting
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#6 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sat Aug 05, 2006 5:36 am

Its better then Chris...
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#7 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sat Aug 05, 2006 5:38 am

It kinds of reminds me of Bertha 2002. We will see.
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#8 Postby mobilebay » Sat Aug 05, 2006 5:39 am

Whats bad is we are in a major drought, and we did not get one drop of rain out of it. It wen't offshore from Pensacola Eastward. :( If the convection continues to hang in there it could get interesting. It has happened before. Example Danny 1997.
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#9 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sat Aug 05, 2006 5:44 am

Ouch!!! Now that I look at data it looks to be a likely converces zone...Meaning the winds coming off of the backside of the ULL is running up a surface trough/surface vort. Which is forcing the air to rise. This is nothing with that 30 knot shear.
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#10 Postby mobilebay » Sat Aug 05, 2006 5:48 am

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Ouch!!! Now that I look at data it looks to be a likely converces zone...Meaning the winds coming off of the backside of the ULL is running up a surface trough/surface vort. Which is forcing the air to rise. This is nothing with that 30 knot shear.

You are 100% correct. Your getting good matt. :D
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#11 Postby mobilebay » Sat Aug 05, 2006 5:50 am

Also notice that outflow boundry going right over Mobile County. (on radar)
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#12 Postby Portastorm » Sat Aug 05, 2006 7:46 am

Definitely think this is something for us Gulf Coasters to watch today ...
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#13 Postby Dionne » Sat Aug 05, 2006 7:47 am

Marine warnings are now up for coastal Mississippi and Louisiana. Viewing the base reflectivity loop on the doppler out of NOLA is interesting. It almost looks like rotation?
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#14 Postby O Town » Sat Aug 05, 2006 7:48 am

Here is a link to the radar? :D

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes
Last edited by O Town on Sat Aug 05, 2006 7:58 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#15 Postby KatDaddy » Sat Aug 05, 2006 7:58 am

Alicia 83 developed from a similar scenario. Sometime a tropical system can develop from a cluster of thunderstorms that move offshore but its very rare. It did catch my eye this morning as you can see outflow over the storms.
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#16 Postby rockyman » Sat Aug 05, 2006 8:02 am

Steve Lyons just spent a good bit of time on this area...reminded us that Alicia formed similarly...pointed out the "mid-level rotation" south of Pensacola...showed the system moving general SW...actually spent more time on this than Chris
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#17 Postby perk » Sat Aug 05, 2006 8:02 am

It may be nothing , but it certainly has my attention. :eek:
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#18 Postby beachbum_al » Sat Aug 05, 2006 8:03 am

I have one word. Oh My! When did this thing come up. I don't think it was there last night. My husband is out deep sea fishing. They left yesterday morning and are supposed to be coming back this afternoon. Ummm! They have to go through that mess. I am going down to the Gulf to clean a condo and was going to meet them as the boat came in around 3pm. Now I wonder how they are going to get in. Which way is this thing moving?


Is this the same Alicia of 83 that you are talking about?
http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/at198301.asp
Last edited by beachbum_al on Sat Aug 05, 2006 8:06 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#19 Postby Stormavoider » Sat Aug 05, 2006 8:05 am

Would the close proximity to the ULL prevent or enhance development possibilities?
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#20 Postby T-man » Sat Aug 05, 2006 8:05 am

It's heading southwest.
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