Mmmm....so south of AL

[chrisnnavarre]

Mainly an upper Low but we'll see if it can get boared down to the surface.

Thanks for the insight...

Question? if something forms, i.e. TS or Hurricane would it continue to track south?

[Extremeweatherguy]

Mainly an upper Low but we'll see if it can get boared down to the surface.

Thanks for the insight...

Question? if something forms, i.e. TS or Hurricane would it continue to track south?

According to what i've heard. This system should be pushed toward the upper TX coast.

[KFDM Meteorologist]

The high doesn't build in until Tuesday so it would head toward SW LA/SE Texas.

[rnbaida]

i think right now it is too weak to go anywhere, i guess it just goes where the winds go...

[Stormavoider]

Mainly an upper Low but we'll see if it can get boared down to the surface.

Isn't the ULL over 100mi SE of that????????

[KFDM Meteorologist]

The ULL is actually off SE LA.

[Aquawind]

Question? if something forms, i.e. TS or Hurricane would it continue to track south?

That's a loaded question alrighty.. The enviroment will have to change radically if anything develops with the existing shear. For the next trick KFDM will pull a rabit out of his left ear.. I will be interested to read his answer though..

[Stormavoider]

The ULL is actually off SE LA.

I thought it was at 27N 85W

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-wv.html

[Aquawind]

The high doesn't build in until Tuesday so it would head toward SW LA/SE Texas.

With a weak steering pattern until then as rnbaida mentions.. Building high to the north eventually though sounds logical.. eventually..

[Eyewall]

the ULL is gonna destroy it... too much shear right now

[KFDM Meteorologist]

ULL kill everything it seems...

[Extremeweatherguy]

here are a few wind shear maps. The shear doesn't look too bad right now:

upper level wind shear: http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8shr.html (10-25 knots)

mid level wind shear: http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... idshr.html (less than 15 knots)

[Thunder44]

I've seen many of these thunderstorm complexes and MCS and nothing comes out of them. They just go into the GOM look impressive for awhile then just fall apart. This one seems to be doing the same thing this afternoon and I don't think there is anything to worry about with unfavorable upper-level winds.

[KFDM Meteorologist]

The ULL is actually off SE LA.

I thought it was at 27N 85W

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-wv.html

Just a broad upper system.

[KFDM Meteorologist]

I've seen many of these thunderstorm complexes and MCS and nothing comes out of them. They just go into the GOM look impressive for awhile then just fall apart. This one seems to be doing the same thing this afternoon and I don't think there is anything to worry about with unfavorable upper-level winds.

Your right. Just every so often something will come of these. Alicia formed from one of these.

[Thunder44]

I've seen many of these thunderstorm complexes and MCS and nothing comes out of them. They just go into the GOM look impressive for awhile then just fall apart. This one seems to be doing the same thing this afternoon and I don't think there is anything to worry about with unfavorable upper-level winds.

Your right. Just every so often something will come of these. Alicia formed from one of these.

Didn't Hurricane Danny form out of one these too a few years or so back? I see nobody mention that one.

[Yankeegirl]

I think if it was further out and had more time it might want to develop into something, but its location is what is going to kill it... Rain would be nice!!! Rainy days make me clean... I need some rain!!

[Brent]

I've seen many of these thunderstorm complexes and MCS and nothing comes out of them. They just go into the GOM look impressive for awhile then just fall apart. This one seems to be doing the same thing this afternoon and I don't think there is anything to worry about with unfavorable upper-level winds.

Your right. Just every so often something will come of these. Alicia formed from one of these.

Didn't Hurricane Danny form out of one these too a few years or so back? I see nobody mention that one.

Yep... I remember that MCS moving south through MS.

http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atl ... /track.gif

[Bailey1777]

KFDM are there any indications at all that you see that tell us this complex is deepening or becoming organized?

[KFDM Meteorologist]

Not really. Watching it though.