CMC agressive with Eastern Atlantic system

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cajungal
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#21 Postby cajungal » Fri Aug 04, 2006 2:05 pm

Cape Season will be here soon enough. Pretty soon will start tracking some monsters. But, hopefully they won't threaten anyone on land. But, it willl still be exciting to track the first hurricane of the season esp the first major one.
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#22 Postby Frank2 » Fri Aug 04, 2006 2:07 pm

...well, with all due respect to him, he focuses on what the Producer tells him to...
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#23 Postby bamaboy » Fri Aug 04, 2006 6:27 pm

No I think is pretty conservative because these storms can change so suddenly as Chris showed us. As important as the Weather Channel has become they want to make sure they give us the correct information and not some wild speculation. Hey any surfer can't be all bad. :ggreen:
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ConvergenceZone
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#24 Postby ConvergenceZone » Fri Aug 04, 2006 8:06 pm

Well, now that Chris isn't a player anymore, we need to focus our attention on the Atlantic. I mean my god, we are going to be going into Mid August soon! Never would I have thought we'd be waiting for our first good sized storm. While I"m happy no big ones have hit land, it would be nice to have some long-tracking fish storms.

SO COME ON ATLANTIC, HURRY UP!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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#25 Postby gilbert88 » Fri Aug 04, 2006 8:08 pm

Hope it becomes a fish. What name would that be? Debbie?
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#26 Postby cycloneye » Fri Aug 04, 2006 8:09 pm

ConvergenceZone wrote:Well, now that Chris isn't a player anymore, we need to focus our attention on the Atlantic. I mean my god, we are going to be going into Mid August soon! Never would I have thought we'd be waiting for our first good sized storm. While I"m happy no big ones have hit land, it would be nice to have some long-tracking fish storms.

SO COME ON ATLANTIC, HURRY UP!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


They will be out there soon enough.The peak of the season starts in less than 2 weeks so things are going normal right now.
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#27 Postby Normandy » Fri Aug 04, 2006 8:18 pm

That wave looks good
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#28 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 05, 2006 10:29 am

Animation of CMC 00z Run

:uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow:

It still shows a strong system but moving away from the Lesser Antilles.I guess it's the area that the 11:30 AM TWO mentions.
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#29 Postby Frank2 » Sat Aug 05, 2006 11:19 am

That 144-hour map does indicate it would recurve before 50W, and has shown that for a number of runs...
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#30 Postby ConvergenceZone » Sat Aug 05, 2006 12:19 pm

Frank2 wrote:That 144-hour map does indicate it would recurve before 50W, and has shown that for a number of runs...



but if it doesn't develop into anything until it reaches the islands, I believe it will continue west...
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#31 Postby Scorpion » Sat Aug 05, 2006 12:29 pm

I would love for it to develop into a major and then recurve around 55 W.
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#32 Postby Eyewall » Sat Aug 05, 2006 12:30 pm

i want another isabel
as long as it doesnt hit land :)
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#33 Postby AnnularCane » Sat Aug 05, 2006 12:34 pm

Eyewall wrote:i want another isabel
as long as it doesnt hit land :)



We just had Daniel. :wink:
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#34 Postby HurricaneMaster_PR » Sat Aug 05, 2006 1:13 pm

Look at the 12Z run Luis...Not good news for us in Puerto Rico
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... =Animation
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#35 Postby Cyclenall » Sat Aug 05, 2006 1:21 pm

HurricaneMaster_PR wrote:Look at the 12Z run Luis...Not good news for us in Puerto Rico
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... =Animation

It's not very strong on that run. I see nothing to worry about unless it strengthens much more then that.
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cheezyWXguy
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#36 Postby cheezyWXguy » Sat Aug 05, 2006 1:21 pm

it looks a lot weaker
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HurricaneMaster_PR
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#37 Postby HurricaneMaster_PR » Sat Aug 05, 2006 1:24 pm

Cyclenall wrote:
HurricaneMaster_PR wrote:Look at the 12Z run Luis...Not good news for us in Puerto Rico
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... =Animation

It's not very strong on that run. I see nothing to worry about unless it strengthens much more then that.


Model forecasts changes as time passes by. In some runs it looks stronger than others, thats why we need to pay attention to the evolution of this system located southwest of the Cape Verde Islands as we are now in the month of August.
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#38 Postby Cyclenall » Sat Aug 05, 2006 1:28 pm

Model forecasts changes as time passes by in terms as track as well. If the model showed a stonger system over and over again over Puerto Rico, then that's when you start to worry.
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#39 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 05, 2006 1:29 pm

HurricaneMaster_PR wrote:Look at the 12Z run Luis...Not good news for us in Puerto Rico
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... =Animation


Yes,as you said,let's keep watching every run from this and the other models to see if their is a consensus as the runs change constantly from strong to more weak and viceversa.
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willjnewton

#40 Postby willjnewton » Sat Aug 05, 2006 1:55 pm

can someone show me what does the global forecast models indicate in the tropical atlantic??
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