The Wave SW of Cape Verde Islands

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SouthFloridawx
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#141 Postby SouthFloridawx » Sun Aug 06, 2006 12:57 am

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/gparm/xyrfpr.gif

Maybe some good chances of something popping up here.
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Jim Cantore

#142 Postby Jim Cantore » Sun Aug 06, 2006 12:59 am

Scorpion wrote:Wow the SAL is really dying.


Not unexpected, come August when it lays down, things get intresting.
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#143 Postby marcane_1973 » Sun Aug 06, 2006 1:01 am

If you go to the loop it clearly shows that the wave that has the red blob closest to the African coast is moving more toward the Northwest than west. Is this movement suppose to continue anybody??? because if it is it has fish ALREADY written all over it and should be no concern. http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
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Jim Cantore

#144 Postby Jim Cantore » Sun Aug 06, 2006 1:02 am

I looked at about 5 models about 2 days ago 3 of them developed this.

something to watch
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#145 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sun Aug 06, 2006 1:13 am

This should already be a invest...
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#146 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sun Aug 06, 2006 1:20 am

The Gfs forecast a slow movement for the next few days...Then a turn to the north intot he SAL. The CMC tracks it west-northwest just north of the islands.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#147 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sun Aug 06, 2006 1:27 am

The cirulation keeps tighting up at every passing frame...The convection is increasing over the center. I think we will have some time numbers soon. I say 1.5/1.5 with that quickscat pass. Meaning this is pretty well organized already.
http://www.cira.colostate.edu/ramm/rmsd ... PICAL.html
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#148 Postby SouthFloridawx » Sun Aug 06, 2006 1:33 am

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT SUN AUG 06 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...THE GULF OF MEXICO...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHEASTERN
SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE
AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION
IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...
AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY
THROUGH 0615 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A NEARLY STATIONARY ATLANTIC OCEAN 1012 MB LOW CENTER IS NEAR
11N30W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE SHOWERS TO ISOLATED STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS EXIST FROM 7N TO 13N BETWEEN 28W AND 33W.
ONE BIG BROAD AREA OF MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW ON
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY EXISTS FROM 6N TO 14N BETWEEN 26W
AND 41W. ALL THE CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION APPEAR TO BE SWIRLING
AROUND THE ITCZ.
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#149 Postby Thunder44 » Sun Aug 06, 2006 4:18 am

709
ABNT20 KNHC 060901
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT SUN AUG 6 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

ANOTHER BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED ABOUT 550 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. THIS SYSTEM IS
GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED...AND SOME FURTHER DEVELOPMENT
IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT
AROUND 10 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY.

FORECASTER STEWART
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