Invest 91L E Windwards,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #2

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hcane27
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#161 Postby hcane27 » Mon Aug 07, 2006 9:16 pm

Can someone say poof !!!
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#162 Postby all_we_know_is_FALLING » Mon Aug 07, 2006 9:17 pm

hcane27 wrote:Can someone say poof !!!


I can, but I'm not going too.
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#163 Postby Normandy » Mon Aug 07, 2006 9:18 pm

here we go
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#164 Postby Bailey1777 » Mon Aug 07, 2006 9:20 pm

Why poof?

Buoy 41041

Wind-ENE
Wind Speed-19.4
Gust-21.4
Pressure-29.91
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#165 Postby Anonymous » Mon Aug 07, 2006 9:20 pm

hcane27 wrote:Can someone say poof !!!


If this storm forms, I will dig this post back up.
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#166 Postby bvigal » Mon Aug 07, 2006 9:21 pm

000
ABNT20 KNHC 080219
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT MON AUG 7 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A WELL-DEFINED AREA OF LOW-PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 1150 MILES
EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS IS MOVING WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH.
ALTHOUGH OVERALL ORGANIZATION HAS CHANGED LITTLE THIS EVENING...
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO POSSIBLY FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

A NON-TROPICAL LOW IS LOCATED ABOUT 725 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE
AZORES. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
SYSTEM REMAINS DISORGANIZED AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS
EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR.

A TROPICAL WAVE INTERACTING WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS PRODUCING
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER HISPANIOLA...THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE
UNFAVORABLE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM
AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/STEWART
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#167 Postby Coredesat » Mon Aug 07, 2006 9:24 pm

Key word = "marginally". That wasn't there earlier.
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#168 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 07, 2006 9:26 pm

Team Ragnarok wrote:Key word = "marginally". That wasn't there earlier.


At the 5:30 TWO they said Somewhat Favorable.
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#169 Postby bvigal » Mon Aug 07, 2006 9:27 pm

Boy, I just looked at the satellite floater ir again, and it doesn't look too impressive to me. I confess to a bias, I'm rooting for fizzle!! :wink:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/ft-l.jpg
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#170 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Mon Aug 07, 2006 9:28 pm

I'm rooting for it to become Debby but every one has a option. But the likely hood of it happing is going down as Derek Pointed out.
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#171 Postby Sanibel » Mon Aug 07, 2006 9:33 pm

There's obviously an extreme convection inhibiting influence in the Atlantic.
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#172 Postby tropicsPR » Mon Aug 07, 2006 9:35 pm

Sanibel wrote:There's obviously an extreme convection inhibiting influence in the Atlantic.


Please, explain....
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#173 Postby Brent » Mon Aug 07, 2006 9:37 pm

It looks sad tonight. I don't see Debby coming out of this. :(
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#174 Postby Cyclenall » Mon Aug 07, 2006 9:37 pm

tropicsPR wrote:
Sanibel wrote:There's obviously an extreme convection inhibiting influence in the Atlantic.


Please, explain....

I would say the Wet MJO isn't in the Western Atlantic currently.
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#175 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Mon Aug 07, 2006 9:42 pm

Its over the eastern and central Atlatnic right now. I think its the SOI making the Atlatnic act like a El nino with big tutt and trough's. With higher pressure.
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#176 Postby rainstorm » Mon Aug 07, 2006 9:49 pm

Link

its just about all dried up


EDIT: URL reduced to a hyperlink to reduce scrolling while boosting board morale. -senorpepr
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#177 Postby Normandy » Mon Aug 07, 2006 9:51 pm

Wow thats a big wave coming off Africa
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#178 Postby Bailey1777 » Mon Aug 07, 2006 9:54 pm

Guys I would not count this one out yet. Give it 24-36 more hours. As pathetic as it looks it is still keeping minimal convection over it's center.
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#179 Postby ROCK » Mon Aug 07, 2006 9:56 pm

Normandy wrote:Wow thats a big wave coming off Africa



nice change of subject, Normandy....... :lol:
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#180 Postby george_r_1961 » Mon Aug 07, 2006 9:56 pm

Bailey1777 wrote:Guys I would not count this one out yet. Give it 24-36 more hours. As pathetic as it looks it is still keeping minimal convection over it's center.


I agree. I do not write anything off in that area in August. Conditions while not great arent hostile either.
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