WPAC: Typhoon Saomai (0608)

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Something tells me this is going to become a very powerful cyclone. The eye is in the center of deep convection -90 plus. With outflow all sides. Theres a small eye showing through. I say with the t numbers at 5.0=90 knots I also agree now that this is 90 knots.

I think when the eye clears out this thing will jump to at least 115 knots.

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc0 ... atest.html

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Wow no one cares about the real cyclone!

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Here is a even better satellite!
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/mtsat/flt/t2/vis-l.jpg

[Cyclenall]

Wow no one cares about the real cyclone!

I know, that is weird. It looks very impressive and I think it will become a major typhoon as well. That eye is also small which reminds me of that other cyclone the WPAC had a month ago.

[Cyclenall]

Sweet.

[whereverwx]

Yep... pretty storm. This one has a lot of potential, it looks like.

[WindRunner]

Something tells me this is going to become a very powerful cyclone. The eye is in the center of deep convection -90 plus. With outflow all sides. Theres a small eye showing through. I say with the t numbers at 5.0=90 knots I also agree now that this is 90 knots.

I think when the eye clears out this thing will jump to at least 115 knots.

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc0 ... atest.html

Well, the eye is already looking pretty clear on the 89H Aqua pass:

[Trugunzn]

[Trugunzn]

Imagine if we had 3 tropical systems making landfall on the same date. media would go crazy!!

[AussieMark]

Imagine if we had 3 tropical systems making landfall on the same date. media would go crazy!!

only in Atlantic does the media even talk about em basically

[craptacular]

Wow no one cares about the real cyclone!

I've been watching it. A couple I work with is from Taiwan, and still has family there. I'm trying to keep them updated. Also, the owner and VP are now in China for a visit, but I believe they've moved up towards Beijing now.

[P.K.]

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 0608 SAOMAI (0608)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 082100UTC 23.6N 129.3E GOOD
MOVE WNW 16KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 070KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 150NM NORTHEAST 120NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 092100UTC 26.1N 122.4E 80NM 70%
MOVE W 16KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 075KT
45HF 101800UTC 27.0N 118.9E 150NM 70%
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
69HF 111800UTC 27.7N 112.7E 220NM 70%
MOVE W 13KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT

[brunota2003]

dare I say it...it looks Annular, dont know if that term applies to EPAC systems, but it does have that evil look IMHO...

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

That looks like its about ready to become very powerful cyclone. The black is all around the eye...In the eye is starting to form. I say 105 knots right now. But this should be 120 knot cyclone at least by tomarrow.

[Dave C]

Steve Lyons just mentioned it and showed a closer in sat. pic. That things really exploding. Here's a link to Okinawa radar
http://www.jwa.or.jp/area_info/radar6.html
Also, the island of Miyaka Jima is located southwest of Okinawa and should receive a direct hit during next 24 hrs.
http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/ROMY.html

[Coredesat]

I said this on Wikipedia, but I'll repeat myself: This is the best-looking Cat 1 (or 2) I've ever seen. I really wish they did recon out here.

[mtm4319]

*Imageshacking this for permanency*


Are cloud tops for a given intensity usually higher for WPAC storms than for Atlantic ones? That's the only reasonable way (for me) to believe this isn't a Cat 3 typhoon.

[whereverwx]

Wow, I haven't seen a sat pic/loop in a while. And its "new" eye is just in time for the visible, too!

[P.K.]

Up to 80kts, 950hPa.

WTPQ20 RJTD 090000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 0608 SAOMAI (0608)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 090000UTC 23.9N 128.4E GOOD
MOVE WNW 17KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 160NM EAST 100NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 100000UTC 26.2N 122.1E 80NM 70%
MOVE W 15KT
PRES 945HPA
MXWD 085KT
48HF 110000UTC 27.3N 117.0E 150NM 70%
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
72HF 120000UTC 28.3N 112.4E 220NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

[wxmann_91]

*Imageshacking this for permanency*


Are cloud tops for a given intensity usually higher for WPAC storms than for Atlantic ones? That's the only reasonable way (for me) to believe this isn't a Cat 3 typhoon.

Yes, WPAC typhoons usually have higher cloud tops than Atlantic hurricanes.