WPAC: Typhoon Saomai (0608)
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That looks really nasty. Those cloud tops that are black, if they wrap around the eye then what's next? I expect a major typhoon and who knows, maybe even a super typhoon could come out of this.
I have noticed that WPAC tropical cyclones have higher cloud tops then the Atlantic almost every time due to the black convection on the AVN.
I have noticed that WPAC tropical cyclones have higher cloud tops then the Atlantic almost every time due to the black convection on the AVN.
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Saomai is looking annular tonight, but without the big round eye.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc0 ... atest.html
Based on this in overall system...I would say it is now a cat4=115 knots.
I say if this keeps up this can become the first cat5.
Based on this in overall system...I would say it is now a cat4=115 knots.
I say if this keeps up this can become the first cat5.
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What major cities are going to be affected by Saomai?
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Well it has deepened another 20hPa, up to 90kts now.
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 0608 SAOMAI (0608)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 090600UTC 24.7N 126.9E GOOD
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 930HPA
MXWD 090KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 160NM EAST 100NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 100600UTC 27.0N 120.5E 80NM 70%
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
48HF 110600UTC 30.0N 114.5E 150NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 0608 SAOMAI (0608)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 090600UTC 24.7N 126.9E GOOD
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 930HPA
MXWD 090KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 160NM EAST 100NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 100600UTC 27.0N 120.5E 80NM 70%
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
48HF 110600UTC 30.0N 114.5E 150NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION

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That island it just passed to the north...Most likely got zotted.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/mtsat/flt/t2/avn-l.jpg

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/mtsat/flt/t2/avn-l.jpg

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