Should we be watching the GOM?

[dixiebreeze]

Appreciated any input:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/avn-l.jpg

[HURAKAN]

IMAGE FROM NOAA:



Just SSE of the mouth of the Mississippi River you have a bigorous ULL, which for now should make conditions unfavorable for development. When the ULL departs, then another bird will sing!!!

[SouthFloridawx]

000
AXNT20 KNHC 092356
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT WED AUG 09 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...THE GULF OF MEXICO...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHEASTERN
SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE
AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION
IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...
AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

..DISCUSSION...
THE GULF OF MEXICO...
A WELL DEFINED MID-UPPER LEVEL LOW HAS TRACKED WWARD ACROSS
FLORIDA INTO THE E GULF CENTERED NEAR 26N86W. UPPER RIDGING
DOMINATES THE SOUTHERN U.S. WITH THE HIGH CENTER OVER N GEORGIA
PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF 100 F DEGREE TEMPS ACROSS THE S/CNTRL
U.S. UPPER DIFFLUENCE BETWEEN THESE FEATURES IS GENERATING AN
AREA OF NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND TSTMS N OF 27N BETWEEN 89W-92W.
THIS UPPER LOW IS INTERACTING WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IN THE W
CARIBBEAN ALONG 86W TO PRODUCE SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS THE
CENTRAL AND E GULF S OF 27N BETWEEN 82W-92W. THE ACTIVITY IS NOT
AS ACTIVE AS IT WAS YESTERDAY WHEN THE INTERACTION WAS OVER THE
W BAHAMAS AND S FLORIDA. A WEAK SFC TROUGH IS IN THE SW GULF
FROM 18N94W TO 23N96W. POCKETS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ARE ALONG
THE COAST OF MEXICO...MAINLY INLAND...W OF 96W S OF 24N. A WEAK
SFC PRES GRAD LIES ACROSS THE REGION PRODUCING LIGHT E-SE WINDS.
SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...WHILE THE UPPER LOW MOVES INTO THE WRN GULF.

[marcane_1973]

nope too much shear

[Steve]

>>bigorous ULL

Gotta watch out for those . We saw a big blowup of thunderstorms today associated with that M-ULL. I'd even bet that some of the energy was supplied via former TS Chris. JMO

Steve

[Acral]

Could see something, but the activity remains inland right now.

[beachbum_al]

All I know we have had rain and storms for the last two days here.

[Extremeweatherguy]

000
AXNT20 KNHC 092356
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT WED AUG 09 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...THE GULF OF MEXICO...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHEASTERN
SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE
AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION
IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...
AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

..DISCUSSION...
THE GULF OF MEXICO...
A WELL DEFINED MID-UPPER LEVEL LOW HAS TRACKED WWARD ACROSS
FLORIDA INTO THE E GULF CENTERED NEAR 26N86W. UPPER RIDGING
DOMINATES THE SOUTHERN U.S. WITH THE HIGH CENTER OVER N GEORGIA
PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF 100 F DEGREE TEMPS ACROSS THE S/CNTRL
U.S. UPPER DIFFLUENCE BETWEEN THESE FEATURES IS GENERATING AN
AREA OF NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND TSTMS N OF 27N BETWEEN 89W-92W.
THIS UPPER LOW IS INTERACTING WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IN THE W
CARIBBEAN ALONG 86W TO PRODUCE SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS THE
CENTRAL AND E GULF S OF 27N BETWEEN 82W-92W. THE ACTIVITY IS NOT
AS ACTIVE AS IT WAS YESTERDAY WHEN THE INTERACTION WAS OVER THE
W BAHAMAS AND S FLORIDA. A WEAK SFC TROUGH IS IN THE SW GULF
FROM 18N94W TO 23N96W. POCKETS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ARE ALONG
THE COAST OF MEXICO...MAINLY INLAND...W OF 96W S OF 24N. A WEAK
SFC PRES GRAD LIES ACROSS THE REGION PRODUCING LIGHT E-SE WINDS.
SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...WHILE THE UPPER LOW MOVES INTO THE WRN GULF.

It's in the mid levels too?

[O Town]

I took a picture of this thing when it entered the GOM from water vapor, its looks like a black hole. A very strong ULL and very pretty too.