What is the Relationship Between Landfalls and Activity?

#1 Postby **gatorcane** » Thu Aug 10, 2006 11:24 am

While we are awaiting the activity to pick up in the Atlantic, I am wondering if there is a direct relationship between landfalls and hurricane activity (number of hurricanes). For example, if we graph out hurricane activity and graphed out number of landfalls over 6 months, would the peak of both graphs be at the number of hurricanes climatological peak of Sept 10th???? Or would there be some skew of the number of landfalls with a peak in, say, October?

#2 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Thu Aug 10, 2006 11:38 am

gatorcane wrote:While we are awaiting the activity to pick up in the Atlantic, I am wondering if there is a direct relationship between landfalls and hurricane activity (number of hurricanes). For example, if we graph out hurricane activity and graphed out number of landfalls over 6 months, would the peak of both graphs be at the number of hurricanes climatological peak of Sept 10th???? Or would there be some skew of the number of landfalls with a peak in, say, October?

That is an interesting concept. I have a tropical storm excel sheet at home. I have them catagorized with one of the columns being United States Landfall, "Yes" or "No". I'm sure I can pull the average dates of each catagory as well as some other information.

mtm4319 · #3 Postby **mtm4319** » Thu Aug 10, 2006 12:17 pm

Perhaps since the peak of tropical storm existence is September 10th, the peak for landfalls is 7-10 days later since those storms take a little while to hit land.

Swimdude · #4 Postby **Swimdude** » Thu Aug 10, 2006 12:35 pm

Maybe someone could do the research and let us know?

I might later if I have the time...

Jim Cantore · #5 Postby **Jim Cantore** » Thu Aug 10, 2006 12:39 pm

Didnt matter last year, we had landfalls every week

wxmann_91 · #6 Postby **wxmann_91** » Thu Aug 10, 2006 12:48 pm

Not sure but I do know that landfalls drop sharply after about mid-September as the troughs become more commonplace. I would think maybe 7-10 days before the peak.

#7 Postby **gatorcane** » Thu Aug 10, 2006 2:14 pm

wxmann_91 wrote:Not sure but I do know that landfalls drop sharply after about mid-September as the troughs become more commonplace. I would think maybe 7-10 days before the peak.

Really, but at the same time some places like South Florida get hit more frequently in October because of those troughs....

#8 Postby **Downdraft** » Thu Aug 10, 2006 4:57 pm

There is a direct relationship. If there is no activity there won't be any landfalls. Other than that your guess is as good as mine.

wxmann_91 · #9 Postby **wxmann_91** » Thu Aug 10, 2006 5:08 pm

Downdraft wrote:There is a direct relationship. If there is no activity there won't be any landfalls. Other than that your guess is as good as mine.

Not always. More storms formed in 2001 than 2002 but there were more U.S. landfalls in 2002 than 2001.

#10 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Thu Aug 10, 2006 7:53 pm

Gatorcane... I am home now. I'll see what I can come up with.

#11 Postby **gatorcane** » Fri Aug 11, 2006 8:34 am

thanks everybody, I'm curious to know what you find

What is the Relationship Between Landfalls and Activity?

What is the Relationship Between Landfalls and Activity?

Re: What is the Relationship Between Landfalls and Activity?

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