When Will Debby Form?

beachbum_al · #21 Postby **beachbum_al** » Sat Aug 12, 2006 7:49 am

Debby will form on August 24th and who know where she will go from there.

weatherwindow · #22 Postby **weatherwindow** » Sat Aug 12, 2006 8:47 am

debby will form at 1100 am, 1700Z, august 17..on the 14th anniversary of the upgrade of andrew...rich

boca · #23 Postby **boca** » Sat Aug 12, 2006 8:50 am

Hey that's only 5 days from now look out.

#24 Postby **skysummit** » Sat Aug 12, 2006 8:52 am

Debby will form in Chattanooga, TN on any given date....oh wait, that's "Little Debbies". Sorry. :lol:

Extremeweatherguy · #25 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Sat Aug 12, 2006 12:59 pm

I think Debby will form during the last 10 days of August, and I think she will also be closely followed by 5-10 more storms over the course of the following 4-6 weeks. August 20th through September 30th should be very active.

sevenleft · #26 Postby **sevenleft** » Sat Aug 12, 2006 1:02 pm

Extremeweatherguy wrote:I think Debby will form during the last 10 days of August, and I think she will also be closely followed by 5-10 more storms over the course of the following 4-6 weeks. August 20th through September 30th should be very active.

Why? Just from a climatological standpoint?

#27 Postby **JonathanBelles** » Sat Aug 12, 2006 1:20 pm

i think debby will form as invest 92-93L when shear comes down and water temp goes up. after that i expect a steep climb in september into early october with 4-8 storms, 3-4 hurricanes and 0-2 major hurricanes. just my opinion

Extremeweatherguy · #28 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Sat Aug 12, 2006 1:40 pm

sevenleft wrote:
Extremeweatherguy wrote:I think Debby will form during the last 10 days of August, and I think she will also be closely followed by 5-10 more storms over the course of the following 4-6 weeks. August 20th through September 30th should be very active.
Why? Just from a climatological standpoint?

Yes, from a climatological standpoint, and also because of the wet phase of the MJO which should overcome the Atlantic during that time frame. Those two factors combined could lead to much more activity than we have been seeing.

Lifesgud2 · #29 Postby **Lifesgud2** » Sat Aug 12, 2006 3:34 pm

Extremeweatherguy wrote:I think Debby will form during the last 10 days of August, and I think she will also be closely followed by 5-10 more storms over the course of the following 4-6 weeks. August 20th through September 30th should be very active.

LOLOLOLOLOLOLOL

:roll:

Thats the funniest thing I have heard this year!!!!!!

Extremeweatherguy · #30 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Sat Aug 12, 2006 3:53 pm

Lifesgud2 wrote:
Extremeweatherguy wrote:I think Debby will form during the last 10 days of August, and I think she will also be closely followed by 5-10 more storms over the course of the following 4-6 weeks. August 20th through September 30th should be very active.

LOLOLOLOLOLOLOL

Thats the funniest thing I have heard this year!!!!!!

Yeah, it won't be too funny when it actually happens. :roll:

This prediction is also close to what Dr. Gray and NOAA is thinking. They are all calling for an active season with about 15 storms. In order to get 15 storms before Nov. 30th, we are going to have to see a lot of them form in a short period of time (especially since Oct. and Nov. are usually not too active). I think 5-10 storms in a 41 day period is actually very possible this year.

Grease Monkey · #31 Postby **Grease Monkey** » Sat Aug 12, 2006 4:03 pm

Maybe Debby will take a rain check this year.

leeanninfla · #32 Postby **leeanninfla** » Sat Aug 12, 2006 5:18 pm

The last time there was a Debby was 2000, it was heading towards South Florida on August 22. I remember that because that was the last day that my mother and I ever went shopping together, and it was for supplies. After we left Publix and Walmart we went home, and 2 hours later we were ambulancing her to the hospital in the midst of a massive heart attack. We lost mom exactly one month later, and I dread the name Debby and August as well as September 22 to this day.
:cry:

TheShrimper · #33 Postby **TheShrimper** » Sat Aug 12, 2006 5:29 pm

Sorry that panned out the way it did. She's in a better place than where any of us are at now. God Bless.

#34 Postby **skysummit** » Sat Aug 12, 2006 5:38 pm

Lifesgud2 wrote:
Extremeweatherguy wrote:I think Debby will form during the last 10 days of August, and I think she will also be closely followed by 5-10 more storms over the course of the following 4-6 weeks. August 20th through September 30th should be very active.

LOLOLOLOLOLOLOL

Thats the funniest thing I have heard this year!!!!!!

Just why is this so funny? I've talked with many mets who also agree that once this season pops, we could easily see 8 - 12 storms back to back until the peak wears down. I hate to say it, but EWG could be pretty accurate with this prediction.

TheShrimper · #35 Postby **TheShrimper** » Sat Aug 12, 2006 5:41 pm

It has happened many times before, where we were tracking 3-4 systems at the same time. Not out of the realm of possibilities.

Lifesgud2 · #36 Postby **Lifesgud2** » Sun Aug 13, 2006 9:45 pm

Not a shot we see more than 3 hurricanes the rest of this year my friends. Too much shear :lol:

#37 Postby **Hybridstorm_November2001** » Sun Aug 13, 2006 9:46 pm

One can only hope. I know many people need a break after last year :bday:

#38 Postby **gatorcane** » Mon Aug 14, 2006 12:37 pm

I think Debby will arise from the wave off Africa

Extremeweatherguy · #39 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Mon Aug 14, 2006 12:38 pm

Debby = within 72 hrs.

UPDATE: well now I am not so sure. I may have to go back to my last 10 days of August prediction for Debby.

#40 Postby **bevgo** » Mon Aug 14, 2006 6:45 pm

boca wrote:Debby will form on Aug 18th at 1:14pm Eastern Standard Time.

Now thats going out on a limb--LOL

Nothing like being decisive! :lol:

When Will Debby Form?

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