Humorous forecast discussion from NWS JAX

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hurricanedude
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Humorous forecast discussion from NWS JAX

#1 Postby hurricanedude » Sun Aug 13, 2006 3:13 pm

.LONG TERM...FOR YET ANOTHER DAY THE EXTENDED PORTIONS OF THE
FORECAST ARE DEPENDANT UPON WHAT MIGHT...OR MIGHT NOT...FORM OFF
THE FLORIDA COAST AND IF IT DOES WHAT KIND OF STRUCTURE IT MIGHT...
OR MIGHT NOT...HAVE AND THEN AFTER THAT IF IT DOES...OR DOES
NOT...APPROACH THE COAST AND OH YEAH IF YOU DON'T LIKE THIS
PARTICULAR MODEL RUN WAIT FOR ANOTHER ONE AND IT WILL CHANGE (AND
YES THAT WAS A DELIBERATE RUN ON SENTENCE!). MODELS ARE ALL OVER THE
MAP ABOUT WHAT MAY TRANSPIRE OFF THE COAST THIS WEEK WITH THE NAM
SERIES BRINGING A LOW TO THE CENTRAL FLORIDA EAST COAST...GFS MOVING
IT TOWARD THE COAST THEN NORTHWARD OFFSHORE AND NOGAPS HAS AN
ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE FRONT WITH A WEAK LOW
FORMING OVER THE PENINSULA. BOTTOM LINE IS THAT SOMETHING...LIKE A
HYBRID SYSTEM...WILL LIKELY DEVELOP EAST OF THE CAPE AND NORTHEAST
OF THE BAHAMAS AND SIT FOR A FEW DAYS BEFORE IT MAKES UP ITS MIND
WHAT TO DO. SO THAT IS HOW I WILL PLAY THE EXTENDED WITH HIGHER
WINDS IN THE COASTAL WATERS FROM THE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE
WEDGE/NORTHEASTER AND THE HYBRID LOW. ALSO WILL INDICATE SOME
SHOWERS COMING IN OFF THE OCEAN AND INTO THE COASTAL AREAS ON
MONDAY-WEDNESDAY. WILL HAVE TO WAIT TO SEE WHAT ACTUALLY DEVELOPS
OFF THE FLORIDA EAST COAST AND IF SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OCCURS
WILL HAVE TO REVISE THE EXTENDED WITH FUTURE PACKAGES.
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Recurve
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#2 Postby Recurve » Sun Aug 13, 2006 3:17 pm

Fun. And a good comment on forecast uncertainty.
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DanKellFla
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#3 Postby DanKellFla » Sun Aug 13, 2006 3:21 pm

I don't blame the forecaster for venting a little frustration. Forecasting is an inexact science and will be for a long time. Most people don't want to deal with that.
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Dean4Storms
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#4 Postby Dean4Storms » Sun Aug 13, 2006 4:02 pm

That is why they call it whether, whether it might or whether it might not. :lol:
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