Invest 93L,SE Carolinas,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread
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SouthFloridawx wrote:A couple of stations reporting that though...
http://www.wunderground.com/global/BS.html
Green Turtle Cay 86.5 °F / 30.3 °C 100% 29.60 in / 1002.3 hPa SW at 11.7 mph / 18.8 km/h 12:37 PM EDT
Kemp's Bay
Marsh Harbour 86.5 °F / 30.3 °C 100% 29.60 in / 1002.3 hPa SW at 11.7 mph / 18.8 km/h 12:37 PM EDT
Those two stations are a little too...identical...to trust, don't you think?
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- SouthFloridawx
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wjs3 wrote:SouthFloridawx wrote:A couple of stations reporting that though...
http://www.wunderground.com/global/BS.html
Green Turtle Cay 86.5 °F / 30.3 °C 100% 29.60 in / 1002.3 hPa SW at 11.7 mph / 18.8 km/h 12:37 PM EDT
Kemp's Bay
Marsh Harbour 86.5 °F / 30.3 °C 100% 29.60 in / 1002.3 hPa SW at 11.7 mph / 18.8 km/h 12:37 PM EDT
Those two stations are a little too...identical...to trust, don't you think?
That's what I was wondering myself. Just trying to point out there was another station reporting that.
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- Military Met
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SouthFloridawx wrote:A couple of stations reporting that though...
http://www.wunderground.com/global/BS.html
Green Turtle Cay 86.5 °F / 30.3 °C 100% 29.60 in / 1002.3 hPa SW at 11.7 mph / 18.8 km/h 12:37 PM EDT
Kemp's Bay
Marsh Harbour 86.5 °F / 30.3 °C 100% 29.60 in / 1002.3 hPa SW at 11.7 mph / 18.8 km/h 12:37 PM EDT
Looking at the pressure readings in Nassau and G. Bahama...those pressure readings are obviously wrong low by about .4 inches.
Very bad.
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wjs3 wrote:SouthFloridawx wrote:A couple of stations reporting that though...
http://www.wunderground.com/global/BS.html
Green Turtle Cay 86.5 °F / 30.3 °C 100% 29.60 in / 1002.3 hPa SW at 11.7 mph / 18.8 km/h 12:37 PM EDT
Kemp's Bay
Marsh Harbour 86.5 °F / 30.3 °C 100% 29.60 in / 1002.3 hPa SW at 11.7 mph / 18.8 km/h 12:37 PM EDT
Those two stations are a little too...identical...to trust, don't you think?
That's because the observations for both of those locations come from the same station. The reports are from Foots Cay, Abaco, Bahamas, which is a personal weather station.
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Air Force Met wrote:SouthFloridawx wrote:A couple of stations reporting that though...
http://www.wunderground.com/global/BS.html
Green Turtle Cay 86.5 °F / 30.3 °C 100% 29.60 in / 1002.3 hPa SW at 11.7 mph / 18.8 km/h 12:37 PM EDT
Kemp's Bay
Marsh Harbour 86.5 °F / 30.3 °C 100% 29.60 in / 1002.3 hPa SW at 11.7 mph / 18.8 km/h 12:37 PM EDT
Looking at the pressure readings in Nassau and G. Bahama...those pressure readings are obviously wrong low by about .4 inches.
Very bad.
Air Force Met, you thinking this may form into TD still?
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- fwbbreeze
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http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=spgf1
http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/MYGF.html
http://www.bahamas.com/bahamas/weatherd ... sland=gran
http://www.bahamas.com/bahamas/weatherd ... sland=bimi
Here are a few reporting stations with west winds!
fwbbreeze
http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/MYGF.html
http://www.bahamas.com/bahamas/weatherd ... sland=gran
http://www.bahamas.com/bahamas/weatherd ... sland=bimi
Here are a few reporting stations with west winds!
fwbbreeze
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SouthFloridawx wrote:wjs3 wrote:SouthFloridawx wrote:A couple of stations reporting that though...
http://www.wunderground.com/global/BS.html
Green Turtle Cay 86.5 °F / 30.3 °C 100% 29.60 in / 1002.3 hPa SW at 11.7 mph / 18.8 km/h 12:37 PM EDT
Kemp's Bay
Marsh Harbour 86.5 °F / 30.3 °C 100% 29.60 in / 1002.3 hPa SW at 11.7 mph / 18.8 km/h 12:37 PM EDT
Those two stations are a little too...identical...to trust, don't you think?
That's what I was wondering myself. Just trying to point out there was another station reporting that.
Something isn't right there...but I can tell you that there is no way the pressure readings are right. There's no way there is a 14 mb pressure gradient over a distance of 60-70 miles. That is a pressure gradient found in strong tropical storms and weak hurricanes.
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From looking at the latest Bouy Obs I think we have a surface circulation
Settlement Point GBI - WNW - 8ktsG11kts
Lake Worth, FLA - N - 14ktsG22kts
20 E of Cape Canaveral, FLA - NNE 11.7ktsG13.6kts
120 E of Cape Canaveral, FLA - ENE - 15.5ktsG19.4kts
All we need is a ship report of a S or SE wind to confirm a LL surface windfield does exist.
Settlement Point GBI - WNW - 8ktsG11kts
Lake Worth, FLA - N - 14ktsG22kts
20 E of Cape Canaveral, FLA - NNE 11.7ktsG13.6kts
120 E of Cape Canaveral, FLA - ENE - 15.5ktsG19.4kts
All we need is a ship report of a S or SE wind to confirm a LL surface windfield does exist.
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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fwbbreeze wrote:http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=spgf1
http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/MYGF.html
http://www.bahamas.com/bahamas/weatherd ... sland=gran
http://www.bahamas.com/bahamas/weatherd ... sland=bimi
Here are a few reporting stations with west winds!
fwbbreeze
No doubt about the west winds...you can see the LLC on the sat loop:
http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... uality=100
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fwbbreeze wrote:http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=spgf1
http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/MYGF.html
http://www.bahamas.com/bahamas/weatherd ... sland=gran
http://www.bahamas.com/bahamas/weatherd ... sland=bimi
Here are a few reporting stations with west winds!
fwbbreeze
These are great. Thanks.
Would others agree that we have a closed circulation, albeit a weak one, here? Does that analysis make sense?
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- Military Met
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wjs3 wrote:Thanks all, so we do have a west surface wind.
Nassau pressure is 1016 (!) from site cycloneye linked to above.
AFM, I tried to get ship obs from the NDBC--within 500 NM of 26 N 77 W in the last 6 hours and got nothing.
Can you share where you got yours?
AFM, of course not only would the satellite presentation be dfferent, but windspeeds would be way, way higher, I think, if that 1002 was real.
Yes....that is the pressure gradient (with 1016mb being only 70 nm away) found in strong Ts/weak hurricanes).
I found the ship report on the search site...
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/radial_search. ... t=A&time=1
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Air Force Met wrote:fwbbreeze wrote:http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=spgf1
http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/MYGF.html
http://www.bahamas.com/bahamas/weatherd ... sland=gran
http://www.bahamas.com/bahamas/weatherd ... sland=bimi
Here are a few reporting stations with west winds!
fwbbreeze
No doubt about the west winds...you can see the LLC on the sat loop:
http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... uality=100
Looks a bit elongated W-E. Doesn't look like its ready to take charge and develop just yet.
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wjs3 wrote:fwbbreeze wrote:http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=spgf1
http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/MYGF.html
http://www.bahamas.com/bahamas/weatherd ... sland=gran
http://www.bahamas.com/bahamas/weatherd ... sland=bimi
Here are a few reporting stations with west winds!
fwbbreeze
These are great. Thanks.
Would others agree that we have a closed circulation, albeit a weak one, here? Does that analysis make sense?
Yes, I would, and it seems to have convection firing pretty nicely around the area of that closed circulation.
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tgenius wrote:
Air Force Met, you thinking this may form into TD still?
I think it has agood chance to. I also think it will be further south than where the models have initialized it...closer to the Bahamas. The upper level environment is very favorable there righ now. How long it lasts remains to be seen.
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- Extremeweatherguy
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what's your idea on future path? Do you think this will head west into the GOM like the Houston NWS is saying, or do you think this is Carolina/East coast bound?Air Force Met wrote:tgenius wrote:
Air Force Met, you thinking this may form into TD still?
I think it has agood chance to. I also think it will be further south than where the models have initialized it...closer to the Bahamas. The upper level environment is very favorable there righ now. How long it lasts remains to be seen.
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