Invest 93L,SE Carolinas,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

'CaneFreak · #381 Postby **'CaneFreak** » Tue Aug 15, 2006 10:04 am

Make sure you are using Floater 2....it should be centered on 93L...

whereverwx · #382 Postby **whereverwx** » Tue Aug 15, 2006 10:09 am

This storm appears to be in the perfect environment for no development.

Windsurfer_NYC · #383 Postby **Windsurfer_NYC** » Tue Aug 15, 2006 10:09 am

I'm wondering if recon has been cancelled for today? We should be getting recon reports by now, no (15Z take-off time)?

Derek Ortt · #384 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Tue Aug 15, 2006 10:13 am

I'd be beyond shocked if recon was not cancelled

Frank2 · #385 Postby **Frank2** » Tue Aug 15, 2006 10:16 am

It looks very quiet out there...

Thunder44 · #386 Postby **Thunder44** » Tue Aug 15, 2006 10:18 am

Looks like we are going to get the TWO at 11:30am today.

Nimbus · #387 Postby **Nimbus** » Tue Aug 15, 2006 10:26 am

The front out in the gulf looks like it has a better chance of development than this mess.

Website · #388 Postby **Brent** » Tue Aug 15, 2006 10:28 am

11:30am TWO:

A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM HAS BECOME BETTER DEFINED ABOUT 300
MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE NORTH AND SOUTH CAROLINA COASTS. ALTHOUGH
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS MINIMAL AT THIS TIME...
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME SOMEWHAT MORE
FAVORABLE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM ON
WEDNESDAY...IF NECESSARY.

Derek Ortt · #389 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Tue Aug 15, 2006 10:30 am

conditions more favorable?

I just cannot see that coming to pass

#390 Postby **skysummit** » Tue Aug 15, 2006 10:30 am

Geez...everyone is writing it off and the NHC says it has become better organized. :lol:

mike815 · #391 Postby **mike815** » Tue Aug 15, 2006 10:31 am

yea lol

#392 Postby **Stormcenter** » Tue Aug 15, 2006 10:33 am

Derek Ortt wrote:conditions more favorable?

I just cannot see that coming to pass

I thought the same thing when I read it. Oh well.

#393 Postby **OuterBanker** » Tue Aug 15, 2006 10:58 am

Maybe it's just me but it seems to be saying "I'm not dead yet" as most are willing to bury it (yes, I'm a long time Monty Python fan). I see better symmetry and more mid level convection than this am. As well as separation from the other low. Environment sucks though.

hurricanedude · #394 Postby **hurricanedude** » Tue Aug 15, 2006 11:11 am

yeah it is humorous..NHC says better defined...s2krs say dead...somewhere in the middle lyes the truth

stormchazer · #395 Postby **stormchazer** » Tue Aug 15, 2006 11:12 am

OuterBanker wrote:Maybe it's just me but it seems to be saying "I'm not dead yet" as most are willing to bury it (yes, I'm a long time Monty Python fan). I see better symmetry and more mid level convection than this am. As well as separation from the other low. Environment sucks though.

Come on...."You'll be stone dead soon."

Thunder44 · #396 Postby **Thunder44** » Tue Aug 15, 2006 11:17 am

314
NOUS42 KNHC 151600
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1200 PM EDT TUE 15 AUG 2006
SUBJECT: TROPICAL STORM PLAN OF THE DAY (TSPOD)
VALID 16/1100Z TO 17/1100Z AUG 2006
TSPOD NUMBER.....06-077

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA (E OF GA COAST)
FLIGHT ONE
A. 16/1800Z
B. AFXXX 01EEA INVEST
C. 16/1400Z
D. 32.0N 74.5W
E. 16/1700Z TO 15/2300Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: BEGIN 6-HRLY FIXES AT 17/1800Z
IF SYSTEM DEVELOPS AND IS A THREAT.
3. REMARKS: TASKING ON THIS AREA TODAY WAS CANCELLED BY
NHC AT 15/1130Z.

As mentioned in today's TWO another flight has been scheduled for tomorrow afternoon. Today's flight has been cancelled.

ConvergenceZone · #397 Postby **ConvergenceZone** » Tue Aug 15, 2006 11:25 am

Derek Ortt wrote:conditions more favorable?

I just cannot see that coming to pass

I use to think "man Derek seems to always believe that every wave won't develop" , but so far I can't knock him, because he's been right on the money even when I thought he was crazy...

hopefully he's also correct thinking that it should start getting busy soon.

#398 Postby **hial2** » Tue Aug 15, 2006 11:25 am

I still remember another "dead"season when the first named storm was named "Andrew"...That was August 2?, 1992..ALL it takes is one storm to make a season legendary..

I pray to God that this will be a season where no storms form or if they do,cross nowhere near or west of the Antilles..

Mario

#399 Postby **wxman57** » Tue Aug 15, 2006 11:31 am

skysummit wrote:Geez...everyone is writing it off and the NHC says it has become better organized.

Maybe it's easier to see the weak circulation without all those nasty thunderstorms blocking the view?

ConvergenceZone · #400 Postby **ConvergenceZone** » Tue Aug 15, 2006 11:34 am

hial2 wrote:I still remember another "dead"season when the first named storm was named "Andrew"...That was August 2?, 1992..ALL it takes is one storm to make a season legendary..

I pray to God that this will be a season where no storms form or if they do,cross nowhere near or west of the Antilles..

Mario

sometimes "dead" seasons can hurt too though. For example, if there's a really dead season or two, then people stop taking the storms seriously and the media stops the focus on them, thus people are less prepared..It can be dangerous, because you just know another active season is right around the corner.

Invest 93L,SE Carolinas,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

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