GOM System (Ex 95L)

[Stormcenter]

this is the "Big" One.


Alicia 83, run for the hills

Not this year. I think we may be spared from those types of storms
this season. Oh well at least I hope we are.

[Derek Ortt]

yeah, its a thunderstorm complex, they grow like this all of the time

[Grease Monkey]

2006, the year of the blobs and invests.

[miamicanes177]

this is gettin happy over that loop current..its right over that red bullseye
http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/phod/dataphod1 ... 6226go.jpg

[Stormcenter]

yeah, its a thunderstorm complex, they grow like this all of the time

I figure since it's in the middle of the hot GOM and it's August then it's something worth keeping an eye especially since it's associated with the remains of an old frontal trough. Just my 2 cents.

[tailgater]

just a blob, no big deal

Looks more threatening than 93L

[Nimbus]

The inflow lines looked fairly linear just before it popped like it might be just shear related lift. Has anybody seen a twist in the radar images or a big drop in pressure at the surface?

[Thunder44]

Of course it's a large complex of thunderstorms over very warm water so it needs to be watched under light wind shear. That being said, the pressures are high and there doesn't appear to be much organization at this time.

[miamicanes177]

The gulf is only under 5-10kts of shear max. I also see no dry air in the gulf at this point. We are in mid August. I'm not sure we can just completly shut this book on this right now. That would be foolish.

[tailgater]

The inflow lines looked fairly linear just before it popped like it might be just shear related lift. Has anybody seen a twist in the radar images or a big drop in pressure at the surface?

As it says in the New Orleans AFD it's being caused by strong divergence between ULL over NE Fla. and High high in the deep south along with low shear. Pressures a little lower than yesterday, but there doesn't seem to be any circ. at surface just Westerly and Northwesterly flow at the surface.

[miamicanes177]

That being said, the pressures are high and there doesn't appear to be much organization at this time.

Of course all systems start out unorganized. It's best to pay attention to them before they become organized so we are not caught off guard. So I agree with you that it is worth watching.

[Stormcenter]

Of course it's a large complex of thunderstorms over very warm water so it needs to be watched under light wind shear. That being said, the pressures are high and there doesn't appear to be much organization at this time.

It looks pretty organized to me for a blob.


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-avn.html

[skysummit]

yeah, its a thunderstorm complex, they grow like this all of the time

I figure since it's in the middle of the hot GOM and it's August then it's something worth keeping an eye especially since it's associated with the remains of an old frontal trough. Just my 2 cents.

...and since the local NWS offices along the gulf coast mentioned a few MCSs moving from east to west across the gulf would have to be monitored for development.

Geez...no reason to get sassy.

[Thunder44]

Of course it's a large complex of thunderstorms over very warm water so it needs to be watched under light wind shear. That being said, the pressures are high and there doesn't appear to be much organization at this time.

It looks pretty organized to me for a blob.


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-avn.html

What we need to see is persistance for about 12 to 24 hours too. Most of these complexes just fall apart after a few hours. There's nothing to get excited about here now. It's got a long way to go before developing into a TD.

[Yankeegirl]

It does look pretty though.... I wish it would move this way and drop some rain in us!!! Its really hot here... Cant wait till the High moves away from us!!!

[Roxy]

this is the "Big" One.


Alicia 83, run for the hills

Oh come on, Alicia was fun....


(them's just jokes people)

edited to add:

Yankeegirl, I am with you it's just too damn hot. Can we get some rain, or even some clouds please?

[Tireman4]

Run for the hills. Oh my goodness. LOL.

[Trugunzn]

one of the ships reported 1008 mb pressure

SHIP S 1800 28.20 -88.60 208 77 30 4.6 - 1.0 4.0 - - 1008.0

[Nimbus]

The diurnal surface pressure Yo Yo occurred about this time yesterday.

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42001

[Johnny]

Boy you're not kiddin' yankeegirl. It's hotter than, well I won't go there.lol I can take this southeast, Texas heat but today is almost unbearable. Some overcast and rain sounds good right about now.