GOM System (Ex 95L)

[Yankeegirl]

No kidding!!! I am going to have to water the yard now!! I did good all summer, with all the rain and all I havent had to water as much... At least the yard is still green... Looks like another day or two of this heat, then the rain chances come back... Cant wait!!

[Trugunzn]

I s there a weak surface low?

[Nimbus]

Do yuo believe a 1008 MB surface low reported from a shrimper? Thats pretty low for just a thunderstorm.

[x-y-no]

one of the ships reported 1008 mb pressure

SHIP S 1800 28.20 -88.60 208 77 30 4.6 - 1.0 4.0 - - 1008.0

That just doesn't look right ...

Station 42040 which is at 29.18 N 88.21 W or (roughly) 70 NM away is reporting 1014.2 mb

So we're supposed to have over a 6 mb gradient in that distance? I doubt it.


EDIT: Let's put it this way .... with a gradient like that, I'd expect a heck of a lot more than 10 knot winds at 42040.

[tailgater]

I think I see some low level clouds moving Northerly to the east of the Blob.

[Stormcenter]

Click on the "fronts" box at the top of this loop and you will see something interesting.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-avn.html

[gatorcane]

Click on the "fronts" box at the top of this loop and you will see something interesting.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-avn.html

Me thinks I see a surface low on this map

This will really get the GOMers going

[Thunder44]

I would take this with a grain of salt but Mike Seidel on TWC tropical update said that they were watching it because it persists for about 6 to 8 hours now, and he says there is area of low pressure stationary and if it persists another 8 to 10 hours they maybe more concerned about it and that a plane will "no doubt" fly into it tomorrow.

[PTrackerLA]

It definately looks like an area to watch considering it's in our backyard. Although we're very far off from any sort of closed circulation it's starting to have some really good outflow.

[Thunder44]

Click on the "fronts" box at the top of this loop and you will see something interesting.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-avn.html

Me thinks I see a surface low on this map

This will really get the GOMers going

Notice the surface low is placed east of most of the convection.

[tailgater]

Click on the "fronts" box at the top of this loop and you will see something interesting.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-avn.html

Well if the T-storms persist they will have a Invest up tommorow morning.

[jasons2k]

This particular GOMer doesn't think anything of it yet...just a blob of convection

[Kennethb]

Proximity between blob and 93l probably having effect. As they begin to separate themselves better opportunity for both to have development. Middle of August is prime time for home brew GOM storm that moves west.

[Roxy]

This particular GOMer doesn't think anything of it yet...just a blob of convection

I'm with you....and some clouds and rain...please come my way...it's too hot!

[jimvb]

I note that there has been some heated discussion on the GOM blob in the Jeff Masters Blog on Wunderground. Some wonder if it was just a blob, and one poster called it "Blobbicane Blobby". It's not mentioned in NHC's Atlantic Outlook, but someone on that blog said that this could become Debby. If so, then it's not a blob; it's a deb. Debbicane Debby.

If it becomes an invest, nothing much will happen, but it turns into a tropical depression, the hypermedia will get a hold of it, and oil will go up in price by 2-3 dollars a barrel.

[tailgater]

http://oceanweather.com/data/Gulf-of-Me ... ineM00.gif

[skysummit]

http://oceanweather.com/data/Gulf-of-Mexico/marineM00.gif

Now that's an interesting surface plot!

[Trugunzn]

[sealbach]

i can see my house!

[tailgater]

700 to 850 layer
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8dlm1.GIF

500 to 850 layer
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8dlm2.GIF