Models Showing a Deep system in Central Altantic!

[Frank2]

gatorcane, I agree - look at these current temps in western Canada (in Celcius):

http://weatheroffice.ec.gc.ca/canada_e.html?Day=0

[SouthFloridawx]

CMC showing some possible potential down the road also.
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cyclonephase/cmc ... 0/102.html

[Hybridstorm_November2001]

The way the season is going I won't be trusting much anything that says development, especially south of 10ºN.

We didn't even have our first hurricane form until September 1st in 2001, but we still ended the season with 15 named storms, 9 hurricanes & 4 major hurricanes:

http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atl ... index.html

[Frank2]

skysummit, my "had to be there" comment wasn't for you, or anyone who was affected by Katrina, or any of the other landfalls, but, was meant for those (like that JB person, who sits in the hollows of Pennsylvania, and, seems to always root for a hurricane - down here)...

I know you have suffered, and, for that my heart is heavy, since I know of my own suffering following Andrew...

Frank

[skysummit]

skysummit, my "had to be there" comment wasn't for you, or anyone who was affected by Katrina, or any of the other landfalls, but, was meant for those (like that JB person, who sits in the hollows of Pennsylvania, and, seems to always root for a hurricane - down here)...

I know you have suffered, and, for that my heart is heavy, since I know of my own suffering following Andrew...

Frank

Ok...sorry for my rant Frank. I take things like that pretty seriously. I guess I need counciling.

[Frank2]

It's all right - I can tell you so many stories of what happened to people I know (or knew, some having passed away) after Andrew - it gave a whole new meaning to PTSD...

Frank

[Cyclenall]

That model run also shows a very powerful East Pacific system near Mexico moving west.

As for the Atlantic, yes that is a deep system but it's a bit south. Ivan did but not all do.

[Derek Ortt]

really is not that deep of a system and only the GFS has a closed surface circulation, and that appears to only be of TS intensity. Leads me to believe that we're close, but not quite there

[HurricaneHunter914]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/cpac/avn-l.jpg

DAMN! I think this is what you're talking about!

[Cyclenall]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/cpac/avn-l.jpg

DAMN! I think this is what you're talking about!

No, that's not what I'm talking about, the powerful East Pacific system I'm talking about is about to move off South America. It's not in the Central Pacific. The system your looking at now is Invest 91C. It just went up on the NRL.

[Derek Ortt]

91C is an example of what a real invest is

[CrazyC83]

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.cgi?time=2006081606&field=850mb+Vorticity&hour=Animation

Final a model showing a Significant system.

Remnants of 94L?

[stormernie]

You can see this new system that will exit Africa in about a day or so....

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/archdat/medi ... dust.x.jpg

[wxmann_91]

91C is an example of what a real invest is

Definitely. I was thinking why that was not one this morning.

93L is nothing.

This run also shows a very powerful storm in the EPAC. This sparks my interest since it has been showing it for several runs now, as a very powerful storm.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

I think the last hurricane to form over the central Pacific was 2002. But a few other weak tropical storms have formed sicne then. None in the last few years I think. This thing looks very good in if this got powerful we will know whats going on.

[Dean4Storms]

Check out long range GFS forecast for Aug. 31

I know it is about as likely as a cat hugging a bird, but it is interesting......


http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _372.shtml

['CaneFreak]

18Z GFS continues this trend towards tropical cyclogenesis in the eastern atlantic.....hopefully this trend will continue......
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _180.shtml

[benny]

18Z GFS continues this trend towards tropical cyclogenesis in the eastern atlantic.....hopefully this trend will continue......
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _180.shtml

we'll see what happens when the wave hits the coast.. too many times the gfs wants to produce a mega hurricane and it just goes poof.. but the time of year is just about right...