TPC Models take system to Hurricane in less than 72 hours!!

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drezee
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TPC Models take system to Hurricane in less than 72 hours!!

#1 Postby drezee » Sat Jun 14, 2003 1:54 pm

566
WHXX01 KWBC 141833
CHGHUR

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.

.....THE FOLLOWING IS A TEST MESSAGE.....

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST (AL922003) ON 20030614 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
030614 1800 030615 0600 030615 1800 030616 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 13.1N 79.5W 14.5N 81.2W 15.9N 82.8W 17.2N 84.3W
BAMM 13.1N 79.5W 14.4N 81.7W 15.7N 83.7W 16.8N 85.6W
A98E 13.1N 79.5W 13.8N 80.8W 14.5N 82.2W 15.5N 83.6W
SHIP 30KTS 39KTS 48KTS 55KTS
DSHP 30KTS 39KTS 48KTS 55KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
030616 1800 030617 1800 030618 1800 030619 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 18.3N 85.7W 20.2N 88.1W 22.6N 89.2W 25.7N 85.2W
BAMM 17.7N 87.4W 18.7N 90.6W 19.5N 93.7W 20.4N 96.4W
A98E 16.7N 85.0W 19.5N 87.5W 21.7N 88.6W 23.5N 86.6W
SHIP 63KTS 72KTS 69KTS 65KTS
DSHP 63KTS 33KTS 31KTS 27KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 13.1N LONCUR = 79.5W DIRCUR = 300DEG SPDCUR = 7KT
LATM12 = 12.3N LONM12 = 78.4W DIRM12 = 297DEG SPDM12 = 8KT
LATM24 = 11.7N LONM24 = 76.4W
WNDCUR = 30KT RMAXWD = 30NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

.....THE ABOVE HAS BEEN A TEST MESSAGE.....
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Anonymous

#2 Postby Anonymous » Sat Jun 14, 2003 2:03 pm

The DSHIPS forecast is the one that you want to look at...SHIPS doesn't see the Yucatan.
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Derek Ortt

#3 Postby Derek Ortt » Sat Jun 14, 2003 2:28 pm

Alittle more concerning is the new version of SHIPS which is higher than the intensity indicated there
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Rainband

#4 Postby Rainband » Sat Jun 14, 2003 2:48 pm

Also..didn't that say twice it was a test message :wink:
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wx247
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#5 Postby wx247 » Sat Jun 14, 2003 3:01 pm

:o Is that for real? I am confused because it says it is a test. :o
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