Nothing anytime soon as long as tropics look like this
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Nothing anytime soon as long as tropics look like this
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-wv.html
The experts have been dicussing a turn around within the next one to two weeks. Lets see what happens but I think people are grabbing for straws.
The experts have been dicussing a turn around within the next one to two weeks. Lets see what happens but I think people are grabbing for straws.
Last edited by boca on Fri Aug 18, 2006 9:35 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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- cycloneye
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Re: Nothing anytime soon as long as tropics look like this
boca wrote:http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-wv.html
People have been dicussing a turn around within the next one to two weeks. Lets see what happens but I think people are grabbing for straws.
boca,I haved seen these words (By 1-2 weeks things will heat up) and those words I haved seen them many times since late July.When you say people boca you mean the experts right?
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Re: Nothing anytime soon as long as tropics look like this
I'm not boca but Dr. Jeff Masters believes a switch will be turned and a hurricane will form by August 26th. He expects a very active September. Conditions will need to change for anything to form however. Shear will rip everything to shreds. You have 30-40kts of shear all in the caribbean and 20kts in the gulf. It's hard to get very active with those conditions.cycloneye wrote:When you say people boca you mean the experts right?
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willjnewton wrote:but wait a minute, I thought that the tropical atlantic will get more active in the next two weeks and I thought this is Normal for it to be Quiet because it is only the 19th of august, whats going on???did something change?
Many seasons do not become active until after middle of August. But, if August ends without another named storm I would not expect to see more than five the rest of the year. We can start a 10 day count down on Monday.
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And Chris was decalred a tropical storm at 4am on August 1st. We were very close to having 0 named storms thus far in August.StormWarning1 wrote:But, if August ends without another named storm I would not expect to see more than five the rest of the year. We can start a 10 day count down on Monday.
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- Extremeweatherguy
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If we do not have another named storm by September 1st, I would be amazed.StormWarning1 wrote:willjnewton wrote:but wait a minute, I thought that the tropical atlantic will get more active in the next two weeks and I thought this is Normal for it to be Quiet because it is only the 19th of august, whats going on???did something change?
Many seasons do not become active until after middle of August. But, if August ends without another named storm I would not expect to see more than five the rest of the year. We can start a 10 day count down on Monday.
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- cycloneye
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Imagine the rest of August and the whole month of september without any named systems,the kids would be running to the hills. 

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rainstorm wrote:derek said its like 1997 in the carib. in 1997 there was some activity til the end of july, then the season just shut down
# Name Dates Wind Pres Cat
1 Tropical Storm ANA 30 JUN-04 JUL 40 1000 -
2 Hurricane BILL 11 JUL-13 JUL 65 987 1
3 Tropical Storm CLAUDETTE 13-16 JUL 40 1003 -
4 Hurricane DANNY 16-26 JUL 70 1
5 Tropical Depression FIVE 17-19 JUL 30 1008 -
6 Hurricane ERIKA 03-15 SEP 110 946 3
7 Tropical Storm FABIAN 07-08 OCT 40 1003 -
8 Tropical Storm GRACE 16-17 OCT 40 999 -
The 1997 activity extended until mid October.
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- johngaltfla
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Could this be the year that dupes everyone into a false sense of security? I look at 1930 then the years following and just go "gulp" as we really went downhill then, and considering we really don't know what other systems forms and died, the activity could be a lot higher.
http://www.weather.unisys.com/hurricane ... index.html
http://www.weather.unisys.com/hurricane ... index.html
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cycloneye wrote:rainstorm wrote:derek said its like 1997 in the carib. in 1997 there was some activity til the end of july, then the season just shut down
# Name Dates Wind Pres Cat
1 Tropical Storm ANA 30 JUN-04 JUL 40 1000 -
2 Hurricane BILL 11 JUL-13 JUL 65 987 1
3 Tropical Storm CLAUDETTE 13-16 JUL 40 1003 -
4 Hurricane DANNY 16-26 JUL 70 1
5 Tropical Depression FIVE 17-19 JUL 30 1008 -
6 Hurricane ERIKA 03-15 SEP 110 946 3
7 Tropical Storm FABIAN 07-08 OCT 40 1003 -
8 Tropical Storm GRACE 16-17 OCT 40 999 -
2 weak ts's and 1 cane for aug sept and oct combined is pretty much a seasonal shutdown. at the very least, that is extremely inactive
The 1997 activity extended until mid October.
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