A Big Sal Outbreak

#1 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Aug 19, 2006 8:39 am

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... split.html

This sal event is a big one that is spreading thru the Tropical Atlantic that for sure will hold for now a bit the chances for any development from the waves.

rainstorm · #2 Postby **rainstorm** » Sat Aug 19, 2006 8:46 am

yikes. aug without a cane??

#3 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Aug 19, 2006 8:50 am

Humm,maybe the big fish hurricane that GFS had in the past two days was eliminated from the past two runs maybe due to this event?

willjnewton · #4 Postby **willjnewton** » Sat Aug 19, 2006 8:52 am

looking at the sal imagery which is dry air there is really NOT much dry air..Just dry air North of the tropical waves... also I for see that the tropical Atlantic will get more active Rapidly in a big way.. But I wish I can show you this Map,, because looking at the sea surface temperature anomalies thats updates today on the 19th of august, the eastern pacific has been Gaining some Cool spots and the eastern pacific is still officially Neutral...

rainstorm · #5 Postby **rainstorm** » Sat Aug 19, 2006 9:01 am

we will see willj. keep up the good work

#6 Postby **bvigal** » Sat Aug 19, 2006 9:07 am

Will, I agree with you that the tropical Atlantic is poised to get more active very soon. I think what Luis (Cycloneye) was referring to was the amount of dust compared to previous days. If you run the SAL loop, you can see what I'm trying to describe.
click here for SAL loop

#7 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Aug 19, 2006 9:09 am

bvigal wrote:Will, I agree with you that the tropical Atlantic is poised to get more active very soon. I think what Luis (Cycloneye) was referring to was the amount of dust compared to previous days. If you run the SAL loop, you can see what I'm trying to describe.
click here for SAL loop

Exactly,I posted this to account for the present situation going on and not on the long term period.

#8 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Aug 19, 2006 9:28 am

rainstorm wrote:yikes. aug without a cane??

It may happen.

Frank2 · #9 Postby **Frank2** » Sat Aug 19, 2006 9:29 am

It is a very impressive outbreak...

kenl01 · #10 Postby **kenl01** » Sat Aug 19, 2006 10:19 am

Doesn't look like anything really developing anytime soon.

#11 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Aug 19, 2006 10:24 am

Frank2 wrote:It is a very impressive outbreak...

And the interesting thing is that for late August is a rare event as June and July are the months that those events are more pronnounced.

ConvergenceZone · #12 Postby **ConvergenceZone** » Sat Aug 19, 2006 10:44 am

yep, an extremely short season is on tap. I think it's pretty obvious now...If it's not the SAL, it's excessive shear, if it's not excessive shear, it's dry air....I don't see all of those factors all of the sudden going away in a month without any evidence that they will do so.

I Put away the tracking maps for now, might get a storm or two in mid September to the beginning of October before the season ends.

too bad. I was really hoping for some fish storms(that wouldn't hit mainlands or islands). :cry:

wxmann_91 · #13 Postby **wxmann_91** » Sat Aug 19, 2006 10:46 am

ConvergenceZone wrote:too bad. I was really hoping for some fish storms(that wouldn't hit mainlands or islands).

How about tracking Pacific storms?

ConvergenceZone · #14 Postby **ConvergenceZone** » Sat Aug 19, 2006 10:50 am

wxmann_91 wrote:
ConvergenceZone wrote:too bad. I was really hoping for some fish storms(that wouldn't hit mainlands or islands).

How about tracking Pacific storms?

Yea, it's just that they rarely get talked about in depth on here. Part of the excitement is talking about it with others and readings the hundreds of other opinions and sharing and the copius amount of topics hitting the storms from every angle etc.... That's why I don't feel the passion for tracking those.

Derek Ortt · #15 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Sat Aug 19, 2006 10:51 am

Luis, SAL events are very common this time of year. In fact, that is prevented Georges from hitting the Carib as a cat 4 or 5 storm.

However, the outbreaks tend to be broken up somewhat

StormScanWx · #16 Postby **StormScanWx** » Sat Aug 19, 2006 10:52 am

ConvergenceZone wrote:
wxmann_91 wrote:
ConvergenceZone wrote:too bad. I was really hoping for some fish storms(that wouldn't hit mainlands or islands).

How about tracking Pacific storms?

Yea, it's just that they rarely get talked about in depth on here. Part of the excitement is talking about it with others and readings the hundreds of other opinions and sharing and the copius amount of topics hitting the storms from every angle etc.... That's why I don't feel the passion for tracking those.

I agree. I think an Atlantic tropical depression is more interesting to track than a Category 5 typhoon.

wxmann_91 · #17 Postby **wxmann_91** » Sat Aug 19, 2006 10:52 am

Luis, SAL events are very common this time of year. In fact, that is prevented Georges from hitting the Carib as a cat 4 or 5 storm.

Hmmm, I had always thought that was shear-induced.

But yeah, heck even Ivan of September 2004 was temporarily crippled by SAL.

#18 Postby **storms in NC** » Sat Aug 19, 2006 10:53 am

JMO till the Pacific slows down we will not see that many here in the Atlantic

ConvergenceZone · #19 Postby **ConvergenceZone** » Sat Aug 19, 2006 10:56 am

Man the hurricane prediction center is going to be sooo off with their high numbers this year , it's not going to be funny!!! wow!

hawkeh · #20 Postby **hawkeh** » Sat Aug 19, 2006 10:57 am

Yeah obviously a season cancel :roll:

A Big Sal Outbreak

A Big Sal Outbreak

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