Nothing anytime soon as long as tropics look like this

wxmann_91 · #41 Postby **wxmann_91** » Sat Aug 19, 2006 10:05 am

Scorpion wrote:This hurricane season is shaping up like last winter. It had high expectations, but it was a major bust.

Or the tornado season.

All Hail the Upper Level Lows!! 8-)

redmosquito · #42 Postby **redmosquito** » Sat Aug 19, 2006 10:44 am

Stratosphere747 wrote:Sometimes nature has a funny way of balancing things out...

She owes us one after the last few years..

Haha, cheers to that!

Extremeweatherguy · #43 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Sat Aug 19, 2006 10:45 am

wxmann_91 wrote:
Scorpion wrote:This hurricane season is shaping up like last winter. It had high expectations, but it was a major bust.

Or the tornado season.

All Hail the Upper Level Lows!!

This tornado season was not a bust. It was one of the busiest in quite awhile.

wxmann_91 · #44 Postby **wxmann_91** » Sat Aug 19, 2006 10:47 am

This tornado season was not a bust. It was one of the busiest in quite awhile.

The tornado season after May 9th. Should've clarified that. After March and April a lot of people were hyping the tornado season to be the big one. Then it stopped.

ConvergenceZone · #45 Postby **ConvergenceZone** » Sat Aug 19, 2006 10:52 am

I have a feeling it's going to be a BRUTAL winter this year, which is okay because I love brutal winters, so at least there's something for me to get excited about

...

kenl01 · #46 Postby **kenl01** » Sat Aug 19, 2006 10:59 am

Air Force Met wrote:
Extremeweatherguy wrote:It is going to be funny to look back on these threads after this season turns out to be above normal.

Right now...there are no signs of any major changes in this pattern. IF anything...it's worse.

I noticed that in recent days. Look at the shear across the Caribbean - very hostile for this time of year. Doesn't look like mid August at all, but more like an El-Nino pattern if you ask me, just like Frank2 mentioned. About two weeks ago, even JB mentioned something about a possible El-Nino developing, or getting ready to develop, with the SOI index at very low values in recent months. If this pattern persists along with the highly unfavorable conditions, I would expect a below average season.

ConvergenceZone · #47 Postby **ConvergenceZone** » Sat Aug 19, 2006 11:17 am

One thing for sure, we won't have 2 dead seasons back to back. We probably have a better chance of being struck by lightning then that happening...So if it's dead this year, we better watch out next year! Mother nature will have some making up to do!

wxmann_91 · #48 Postby **wxmann_91** » Sat Aug 19, 2006 11:33 am

Actually I think Mother Nature is balancing out last year's anomalously active season (if this season turns out to be below average).

ConvergenceZone · #49 Postby **ConvergenceZone** » Sat Aug 19, 2006 11:42 am

I think the best mindset for me to be in is to believe that nothing else will develop at all this year and that way there won't be any dissapointment later if nothing develop and I have nothing to track,,, and I'll be elated if by chance something does does....

Meso · #50 Postby **Meso** » Sat Aug 19, 2006 11:45 am

Yeah... Seriously,this is upsetting to me! Not that I am hoping for people to die and what-not.But really,it's what I do in winter (southern Hemisphere) I sit and track hurricanes,it keeps me busy. And really with nothing to track I am going to go insane from boredom :S

Derek Ortt · #51 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Sat Aug 19, 2006 11:53 am

Convergence Zone,

your chances of being hit b lightening ae very high and I'd like to put 10K on it, since you said those chances are higher than back to back dead years, which is not uncommon at all... unless of course one only remebers 1995 to the present

ConvergenceZone · #52 Postby **ConvergenceZone** » Sat Aug 19, 2006 11:53 am

Meso wrote:Yeah... Seriously,this is upsetting to me! Not that I am hoping for people to die and what-not.But really,it's what I do in winter (southern Hemisphere) I sit and track hurricanes,it keeps me busy. And really with nothing to track I am going to go insane from boredom :S

I'm pretty much the same way! I'm not really a summer outdoors person(I do all that in the Winter). What I like the most about the late Summer early Fall months is kicking back with all of the great people on S2K and tracking storms, reading input and opinions, seeing what the storm will do next, seeing what areas may be affected and just watching the beautiful dynamics of these storms unfolding. I look forward to this very year. It seems to really bring the community of this board together and I learn ALOT. It's such a small window every year, that it's extremely dissapointing....oh well. :cry:

It's not as fantatic as a tornado chaser though.....

wxwatcher91 · #53 Postby **wxwatcher91** » Sat Aug 19, 2006 11:54 am

wxmann_91 wrote:Actually I think Mother Nature is balancing out last year's anomalously active season (if this season turns out to be below average).

Of course to do that and actually end up with the average of 2005 and 2006 being that of the average year, 2006 would have to go negative! :lol:

Frank2 · #54 Postby **Frank2** » Sat Aug 19, 2006 11:59 am

Some here in South Florida are torn between it being "dull" and having the action of an active season, but, many if not all down here agree that the lull is very welcome.

After the scare of Chris crossing here as a Cat 1, 2 or even 3, many that I know in the local area were almost distraught at those early forecasts, since, many are still making repairs from the past two seasons.

Many in Lee County are still suffering from the affects of Hurricane Charley, and, we don't need to mention what's still happening in LA, MS, or AL - still a very difficult situation for many, almost one year later.

Sadly post-traumatic stress often makes itself felt much after the trauma itself, and, it's easy to guess that many along the Gulf coast are struggling through this hurricane season - so true here in South Florida, as well.

Above most anything else, one of worst things for me, was the fact that I had to evacuate three different times in the past 14 years, and two times in particular. Evacuating, for any reason, if you've ever done it, is proably one of the most stressful things a person can endure in this life. Some may ask "Why not stay?", but, those who stay for hurricanes, especially major hurricanes, often regret the decision, but, can only make the best of the current moment.

Since my own experiences as a evacuee, my heart always goes out for those who must flee, due to a natural disaster, war, or any other incident.

Frank

caribepr · #55 Postby **caribepr** » Sat Aug 19, 2006 2:35 pm

ConvergenceZone wrote:I have a feeling it's going to be a BRUTAL winter this year, which is okay because I love brutal winters, so at least there's something for me to get excited about ...

I love brutal winters too....get us down to 70 or even high 60's at night and a nice breeze so we have to put on jeans and long sleeved shirts...yee haw! 8-)

caribepr · #56 Postby **caribepr** » Sat Aug 19, 2006 2:37 pm

Meso wrote:Yeah... Seriously,this is upsetting to me! Not that I am hoping for people to die and what-not.But really,it's what I do in winter (southern Hemisphere) I sit and track hurricanes,it keeps me busy. And really with nothing to track I am going to go insane from boredom :S

Wow! And SA has so much beauty to offer...there is NOTHING else to do except track storms?? C'mon Meso! there's gotta be something else to do!

Nothing anytime soon as long as tropics look like this

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