convection in the central northern atlantic

[willjnewton]

I noticed on the infrared Satelite imagery that there is convection currently popping up in the central northern atlantic..What does the global computer forecast models indicate about for this system???and where will this small area of Convection thats north of the strong wind shear in the carribean Head???

[willjnewton]

can someone answer my question on my threaD please because I waited about 15 minutes for a respsonse okay, thanks

[Stormavoider]

Can you give LAT/LON info so folks know the exact areas you are talking about?

[willjnewton]

what does the global forecast models indicate anything tropical down the road???please explain okay, thanks

[Stratosphere747]

Lets keep this simple.......

000
ABNT20 KNHC 192109
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT SAT AUG 19 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED
55 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA HAS DIMINISHED.
UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL REMAIN EXTREMELY UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT
OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE SYSTEM DRIFTS WEST TOWARDS THE
COAST.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS PRODUCING MINIMAL SHOWER ACTIVITY A FEW HUNDRED
MILES NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. UPPER LEVEL WINDS REMAIN
HIGHLY UNFAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT.

TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY.

$$
FORECASTER BERG/AVILA

[willjnewton]

thats the wave I am talkin about of the northern leeward islands I guess but what does the forecast models indicate with this system???

[cycloneye]

thats the wave I am talkin about of the northern leeward islands I guess but what does the forecast models indicate with this system???

William,the models dont develop that wave at all.

[rockyman]

Teach a man to fish...

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cyclonephase/

[HURAKAN]

WORDS OF THE SEASON:

EXTREMELY

HIGHLY

UNFAVORABLE

SHEAR

[willjnewton]

okay you may lock this threaD

[cycloneye]

William,there is no need to lock the thread as the discussions about this theme can continue as members may want to replie here.

[rainstorm]

the upper low west of the azores has finally begun to move ne, which may result in a more favorable pattern

[caneman]

the upper low west of the azores has finally begun to move ne, which may result in a more favorable pattern

Coming from you Rainstorm. I'm gonna take that seriously. Cause you know you are so bullish and all.

[T'Bonz]

can someone answer my question on my threaD please because I waited about 15 minutes for a respsonse okay, thanks

Uh...that may not be long enough. If there was no answer within a few hours, then speak up. Fifteen minutes is barely enough time to have a few read it, especially on the weekend.

Also demanding that people answer (this is the second time I've seen you do this) is going to annoy people and might make them decide not to bother.

Just be a little patient...people do answer!