Western Caribbean Disturbance ,Sat Pics,Models Thread(GOM)#2

[ConvergenceZone]

not to be mean, but there are a couple of posters on here who will never admit that a storm is going to form. They always say "shear will tear it apart" or that it has "too much dry air"...I won't mention names, but you know who you are....

The thing is, these same couple of posters said the same thing with a few of the storms last year that ended up being majors. So no, I don't pay any attention anymore....

[MGC]

Well there are two camps here. One that thinks every cloud that forms will become a hurricane and the other that is skeptical of formation. I am in the latter group. I call em the way I see em......MCG

[ConvergenceZone]

I am in the latter group. I call em the way I see em......MCG

meaning no storms will form at all this year?

Actually, if this Carib wave doesn't form, nor the one that just emerged off of Africa, then you might be right. As I said in the previous thread, nature is only going to give us so many good looking waves each season....I would be SHOCKED if either this one NOR 96Invest didn't develop...Afterall, it's prime time!!
Personally I don't think that will come to pass though. I do think the one off Africa will develop. That wave is just too damn good looking. It's hard to say about this one though.

[LaBreeze]

I'm starting to think that neither one will develop. Just a feeling-nothing scientific in any way. I just don't see it and thank goodness if nothing does develop.

[Bailey1777]

My question to you MGC is are you a Pro-Met?

[Josephine96]

I think it may form.. It looks decent

[ConvergenceZone]

I'm starting to think that neither one will develop. Just a feeling-nothing scientific in any way. I just don't see it and thank goodness if nothing does develop.

have you looked at the calendar? If neither one of these develops, what will?? The wave in the eastern Atlantic is the best looking wave that's come off the coast yet. I've seen alot worse waves develop in previous years and under alot worse conditions in the Atlantic......

I tihnk the one in the Eastern Atlantic will reach hurricane status once it gets it's act together. Afterall we ARE DUE!

[temujin]

It is not really that late in the year. There's still PLENTY of time.

In 2004, the following hurricanes formed AFTER Aug. 20:

Hurricane Frances
Hurricane Gaston
Hurricane Ivan
Hurricane Jeanne
Hurricane Karl
Hurricane Lisa

[timNms]

My question to you MGC is are you a Pro-Met?

MCG isn't a pro-met. He is A survivor of Katrina He's also quite knowlegable when it comes to tropical weather.

[Extremeweatherguy]

My question to you MGC is are you a Pro-Met?

MCG isn't a pro-met. He is A survivor of Katrina He's also quite knowlegable when it comes to tropical weather.

MGC is also not a he, but instead a she.

From the storm2k gallery:
http://www.storm2k.org/Members_Gallery/ ... es/MGC.htm

[ConvergenceZone]

My question to you MGC is are you a Pro-Met?

MCG isn't a pro-met. He is A survivor of Katrina He's also quite knowlegable when it comes to tropical weather.

ouch! Sorry to hear about MCG's loss...I feel for ya though. I know quite a few friend down there who lost everything as well....Actually MCG isn't the naysayer around here(just giving a hard time). There's 2 posters on here that do think every storm that forms will fall apart or miss the USA though, but again, no names mentioned...I think it's kinda funny actually, provides for some good entertainment ...

[ConvergenceZone]

My question to you MGC is are you a Pro-Met?

MCG isn't a pro-met. He is A survivor of Katrina He's also quite knowlegable when it comes to tropical weather.

MGC is also not a he, but instead a she.

From the storm2k gallery:
http://www.storm2k.org/Members_Gallery/ ... es/MGC.htm

wow, that's pretty cool. I didn't know they have a members gallery. How do ya access that? or is that just open to the mods? good stuff!

[Extremeweatherguy]

My question to you MGC is are you a Pro-Met?

MCG isn't a pro-met. He is A survivor of Katrina He's also quite knowlegable when it comes to tropical weather.

MGC is also not a he, but instead a she.

From the storm2k gallery:
http://www.storm2k.org/Members_Gallery/ ... es/MGC.htm

wow, that's pretty cool. I didn't know they have a members gallery. How do ya access that? or is that just open to the mods? good stuff!

it is on the storm2k home page. At the top there is an option to view the "gallery".

[timNms]

My question to you MGC is are you a Pro-Met?

MCG isn't a pro-met. He is A survivor of Katrina He's also quite knowlegable when it comes to tropical weather.

MGC is also not a he, but instead a she.

From the storm2k gallery:
http://www.storm2k.org/Members_Gallery/ ... es/MGC.htm

oops...lol. i gotta start paying attention to what I type. Sorry bout that MGC

[ConvergenceZone]

My question to you MGC is are you a Pro-Met?

MCG isn't a pro-met. He is A survivor of Katrina He's also quite knowlegable when it comes to tropical weather.

MGC is also not a he, but instead a she.

From the storm2k gallery:
http://www.storm2k.org/Members_Gallery/ ... es/MGC.htm

wow, that's pretty cool. I didn't know they have a members gallery. How do ya access that? or is that just open to the mods? good stuff!

it is on the storm2k home page. At the top there is an option to view the "gallery".

k thanx...just went there...Didn't recognize too many names on there though, but there are alot of new faces.

[MGC]

I'm not a pro met, not even close. I'm an electronics technician for a federal govt agency or service as we say. I've done some weather related studies while in the Navy and was stationed at a Navy weather office (I fixed the WX gear) and learned a lot while there. I think the tropics will start becoming active soon. We will have our hurricanes to track this season, trust me......MGC

[PTPatrick]

Well, after the incredible 25 page thread on the storms...they have gone poof. I hope that was the end of them, however, there still are clouds down there and a very "unsettled" look. Of course "unsettled" is a long way from a TD or TS. I think if the storms refire tomorrow then things will probably get going...guess we all have another day of watching(assuming the unsettled weather persists).

[miamicanes177]

i now give this as much as a 0% chance of becoming a tropical depression

[gatorcane]

i now give this as much as a 0% chance of becoming a tropical depression

The NHC is right once again folks...........the convection has gone poof. The NHC did not jump on the bandwagon as they saw something most of us here did not see today when convection was firing.

[ConvergenceZone]

That's okay, the Atlantic one is MILES ahead of it as far as organization goes.....That will be the one that will develop.