Western Caribbean Disturbance ,Sat Pics,Models Thread(GOM)#2
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From accuweather
There are a few other features to keep an eye on in the Atlantic basin over the next few days. The most impressive one is over the western Caribbean, where thunderstorms are clustering along a tropical wave near 85 west, south of 20 north. The wave is moving west at about 10 knots, and will affect the Yucatan Peninsula with thunderstorms through tomorrow. There are still a couple of computer models that indicate that a depression could form in the Bay of Campeche or central Gulf of Mexico in the next couple of days from this feature.
There are a few other features to keep an eye on in the Atlantic basin over the next few days. The most impressive one is over the western Caribbean, where thunderstorms are clustering along a tropical wave near 85 west, south of 20 north. The wave is moving west at about 10 knots, and will affect the Yucatan Peninsula with thunderstorms through tomorrow. There are still a couple of computer models that indicate that a depression could form in the Bay of Campeche or central Gulf of Mexico in the next couple of days from this feature.
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Wx_Warrior wrote:From accuweather
There are a few other features to keep an eye on in the Atlantic basin over the next few days. The most impressive one is over the western Caribbean, where thunderstorms are clustering along a tropical wave near 85 west, south of 20 north. The wave is moving west at about 10 knots, and will affect the Yucatan Peninsula with thunderstorms through tomorrow. There are still a couple of computer models that indicate that a depression could form in the Bay of Campeche or central Gulf of Mexico in the next couple of days from this feature.
interesting...I was high on this system yesterday, actually overly excited about it.

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There is some movement of the low clouds in the Yucatan straits that looks interesting.
http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20CONUS&lat=21.5&lon=-86&info=vis&zoom=1&width=2800&height=2000&type=Animation&numframes=6&palette=ir.pal
http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20CONUS&lat=21.5&lon=-86&info=vis&zoom=1&width=2800&height=2000&type=Animation&numframes=6&palette=ir.pal
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- KFDM Meteorologist
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Stormavoider wrote:There is some movement of the low clouds in the Yucatan straits that looks interesting.
http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20CONUS&lat=21.5&lon=-86&info=vis&zoom=1&width=2800&height=2000&type=Animation&numframes=6&palette=ir.pal
disorganized attm.....Storms spitting out OB's all over the place....Fixin to lose day time heating......this could dissapate overnight like last night.....
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KFDM Meteorologist wrote:The area in the southern Gulf will be an area of a possible tropical system in about 5-7 days.
seems to me, I notice a model ( don't know which one) showed the current central ALT moving through the carib and up Yuc channel...It was only one model and it was way way out there...
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Rainband wrote:Good point bud, on beer number 3 btwDean4Storms wrote:jschlitz wrote:skysummit wrote:Not much to say? We have a nice depression in the far east Atlantic and an area of persistant convection in the western Carribean. We do have a little to discuss.
I really meant that specifically towards this system...although I'm not too excited about TD#4 either just yet. We'll see on that one...
Hey now there were alot of folks that were not so excited about that disappating TD well east of Florida before it became Andrew.
You don't get too carried away with them Brewkies!

I forgot tell you that they also give them beer bellies!

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One thing to note tonight. It was roughly an hours or so ago at the same time yesterday when the convection from yesterday dissapated, I'm not seeing the disappation tonight as was the case last evening. If anything it apears that convection is growing and even re-firing over the same areas. A marked difference from yesterday at this time.
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http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/avn-l.jpg
Looking good. Does anyone have a shear tendency map?
Looking good. Does anyone have a shear tendency map?
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
HurricaneHunter914 wrote:http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/avn-l.jpg
Looking good. Does anyone have a shear tendency map?
ask you shall recieve.....

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8sht.html
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Thanks ROCK.
Conditions should be somewhat favorable for development though.

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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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There is alot of energy over the NW Caribbean just waiting for a release. It will be an interesting few days
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- fwbbreeze
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its getting a little breezy around the disturbance!
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42056
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42056
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