TD #4 East Atlantic,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #2

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Locked
Message
Author
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38107
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:
Contact Brent

#421 Postby Brent » Tue Aug 22, 2006 3:34 pm

Scorpion wrote:Should be a TS at 5 with this...


It's not, though the NHC says it should be very soon.
0 likes   
#neversummer
Top
User avatar
Lowpressure
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2032
Age: 58
Joined: Sun Sep 14, 2003 9:17 am
Location: Charlotte, North Carolina

#422 Postby Lowpressure » Tue Aug 22, 2006 3:34 pm

Scorpion wrote:Should be a TS at 5 with this...


I am with you, convection continuing to fire. Stacking was the issue at 11 see if it is better at 5, I say TS at 5 too.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Cyclenall
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6667
Joined: Thu Jun 08, 2006 10:01 pm
Location: Ontario, Canada

#423 Postby Cyclenall » Tue Aug 22, 2006 3:35 pm

all_we_know_is_FALLING wrote:Not this we. Even a TD can kill someone.

A Tropical Depression in the Wpac in 2004 killed 1404 people.
0 likes   
Top
Windsurfer_NYC
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 233
Joined: Wed Jun 07, 2006 3:27 pm
Location: New York, NY

#424 Postby Windsurfer_NYC » Tue Aug 22, 2006 3:36 pm

C'mon, can't we just all agree that we are weather enthusiasts who want to see and learn from wild storms, but don't wish death and destruction on anyone AND BE DONE WITH IT????
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
benny
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 593
Joined: Sun Mar 19, 2006 8:09 am
Location: Miami

#425 Postby benny » Tue Aug 22, 2006 3:37 pm

Windsurfer_NYC wrote:C'mon, can't we just all agree that we are weather enthusiasts who want to see and learn from wild storms, but don't wish death and destruction on anyone AND BE DONE WITH IT????


totally agree. have my vote. the hyper sensitives should just kiss the storm freaks and make up ;)
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
GeneratorPower
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1648
Age: 45
Joined: Sun Dec 18, 2005 11:48 pm
Location: Huntsville, AL

#426 Postby GeneratorPower » Tue Aug 22, 2006 3:37 pm

Well isn't that special. No upgrade.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
wxman57
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 23006
Age: 67
Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
Location: Houston, TX (southwest)

#427 Postby wxman57 » Tue Aug 22, 2006 3:38 pm

Still a TS but just barely at 4pm CDT. 99.99999% fish. This one will likely pass well east of Bermuda.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Lowpressure
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2032
Age: 58
Joined: Sun Sep 14, 2003 9:17 am
Location: Charlotte, North Carolina

#428 Postby Lowpressure » Tue Aug 22, 2006 3:38 pm

GeneratorPower wrote:Well isn't that special. No upgrade.


Focus may be better placed on system preparing to enter the Carib. 97L, I believe.
0 likes   
Top
bob rulz
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1704
Age: 35
Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 7:30 pm
Location: Salt Lake City, Utah

#429 Postby bob rulz » Tue Aug 22, 2006 3:38 pm

Windsurfer_NYC wrote:C'mon, can't we just all agree that we are weather enthusiasts who want to see and learn from wild storms, but don't wish death and destruction on anyone AND BE DONE WITH IT????


I think people are just getting frustrated at will, who just keeps going "we want this storm to hit land!!!!" when in fact only he wants any hurricanes to hit land, and many people here are sensitive about this issue.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Andrew92
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3247
Age: 41
Joined: Mon Jun 16, 2003 12:35 am
Location: Phoenix, Arizona

#430 Postby Andrew92 » Tue Aug 22, 2006 3:39 pm

wxman57 wrote:Still a TS but just barely at 4pm CDT. 99.99999% fish. This one will likely pass well east of Bermuda.


You mean still a TD, right?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Trugunzn
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 549
Joined: Tue Apr 11, 2006 6:59 pm

#431 Postby Trugunzn » Tue Aug 22, 2006 3:40 pm

It lookes like all the convection is on the southside
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 146005
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#432 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 22, 2006 3:43 pm

5 PM Track.

Image
Last edited by cycloneye on Tue Aug 22, 2006 3:45 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
StormWarning1
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 254
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 9:29 pm
Location: Nashville TN

#433 Postby StormWarning1 » Tue Aug 22, 2006 3:45 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:we dont want this depression coming toward land.

We want it to stay out to sea

The United States does not need another destructive hurricane season

we do not need $6 dollar per gallon gas prices

Keep fishing TD 4, keep on fishing


We do to need 6 dollar gas, the sooner the better, we need demand destruction (high prices) to transition off liquid fuels to more electric light rail.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
storms in NC
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2338
Joined: Thu Jul 28, 2005 2:58 pm
Location: Wallace,NC 40 miles NE of Wilm
Contact:
Contact storms in NC

#434 Postby storms in NC » Tue Aug 22, 2006 3:46 pm

They moved it to the right of last forcast. HHHHUUUUUMMMMMMMMM :?:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Trugunzn
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 549
Joined: Tue Apr 11, 2006 6:59 pm

#435 Postby Trugunzn » Tue Aug 22, 2006 3:46 pm

shifted east by the looks of it
0 likes   
Top
bob rulz
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1704
Age: 35
Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 7:30 pm
Location: Salt Lake City, Utah

#436 Postby bob rulz » Tue Aug 22, 2006 3:46 pm

StormWarning1 wrote:
Derek Ortt wrote:we dont want this depression coming toward land.

We want it to stay out to sea

The United States does not need another destructive hurricane season

we do not need $6 dollar per gallon gas prices

Keep fishing TD 4, keep on fishing


We do to need 6 dollar gas, the sooner the better, we need demand destruction (high prices) to transition off liquid fuels to more electric light rail.


$6 a gallon gas coming on so suddenly wouldn't do that...it's not like the transition can suddenly occur in one week.
0 likes   
Top
Air Force Met
Military Met
Military Met
Posts: 4372
Age: 56
Joined: Tue Jul 08, 2003 9:30 am
Location: Roan Mountain, TN

#437 Postby Air Force Met » Tue Aug 22, 2006 3:48 pm

gatorcane wrote:
storms in NC wrote:I think the UK has a better handle on this. TD4 will be to weak for the weak ridge and will go on a more west movement in a few days. IMO


I've been saying this all along. Let's see if it happens. 8-)


Well...latest track now more RIGHT and all the models are more RIGHT.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS 300/16...OR ABOUT 15 DEGREES TO THE RIGHT OF
THIS TIME YESTERDAY. RECENT MICROWAVE PASSES SUGGEST A BETTER
CO-LOCATION OF THE MID AND LOW-LEVEL CENTERS. THERE HAS BEEN
SIGNIFICANT CONVERGENCE IN HOW THE GLOBAL MODELS HANDLE THE
DEPRESSION...WITH THE 12Z RUNS OF THE UKMET AND ECMWF NOW
MAINTAINING THE SYSTEM AND SHIFTING THEIR TRACKS TO THE RIGHT.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
storms in NC
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2338
Joined: Thu Jul 28, 2005 2:58 pm
Location: Wallace,NC 40 miles NE of Wilm
Contact:
Contact storms in NC

#438 Postby storms in NC » Tue Aug 22, 2006 3:51 pm

Seen that. Not understanding it But you have go by what they say. I guess not all ways true about a weakness of a storm going more to the west.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
storms in NC
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2338
Joined: Thu Jul 28, 2005 2:58 pm
Location: Wallace,NC 40 miles NE of Wilm
Contact:
Contact storms in NC

#439 Postby storms in NC » Tue Aug 22, 2006 3:55 pm

I said a few days ago that Debby's were nice and loved to go fishing. If it is going to be named after me it will go fishing Like I love to do so well.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Hybridstorm_November2001
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2813
Joined: Sat Aug 21, 2004 2:50 pm
Location: SW New Brunswick, Canada
Contact:
Contact Hybridstorm_November2001

#440 Postby Hybridstorm_November2001 » Tue Aug 22, 2006 3:56 pm

When I stated the "pull an Andrew" thing, it was this morning. Right now (as stated earlier in another thread) I see less than a 20% chance of this not being a fish; the facts are now quite clear, this baby is goin' fishin'.
0 likes   
Top
Locked

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 28 guests