Tropical Depression Hector in EPAC

[Scorpion]

Hector is stronger then before. Let's hope he takes his sweet time to weaken more so that he can rack up some more ACE.

Let's not and say we did...

[Cyclenall]

Hector is stronger then before. Let's hope he takes his sweet time to weaken more so that he can rack up some more ACE.

Let's not and say we did...

I'm confused by your post. What did you say?

Hector is indeed a classic high-sheared system that won't die as fast as we think it should. I was expecting a faster weakening then this.

[Cyclenall]

Tropical Storm Hector is still at 35 knots with a pressure of 1007 mb. I can't believe how long he has been hanging on!! Keep racking up that ACE....

[bombarderoazul]

Wow, he's still out there.

[Cyclenall]

Wow, he's still out there.

Yes, and it appears that he still is a TS to this hour.

[cycloneye]

TROPICAL STORM HECTOR DISCUSSION NUMBER 29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092006
200 PM PDT TUE AUG 22 2006

HECTOR CONTINUES TO CLING TO TROPICAL STORM STATUS...AS A 1444 UTC
QUIKSCAT PASS SHOWED A SMALL AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE. THE CYCLONE IS LOCATED OVER SSTS OF
23C...AND IT IS PRODUCING ONLY A LIMITED AREA OF SHALLOW CONVECTION
MORE THAN 160 NM NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. THE SHIPS MODEL
DISSIPATES THE CYCLONE IN 36 HOURS...AND THIS FORECAST DOES THE
SAME AFTER THE SYSTEM BECOMES A REMNANT LOW IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS SET AT 280/6...AND HECTOR WILL CONTINUE TO
MOVE JUST NORTH OF DUE WEST WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN SPEED BEFORE
DISSIPATION. THIS TRACK IS SLIGHTLY TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS
FORECAST TO ACCOUNT FOR THE MOTION OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 22/2100Z 22.9N 137.4W 35 KT
12HR VT 23/0600Z 23.2N 138.7W 30 KT...DISSIPATING
24HR VT 23/1800Z 23.6N 141.0W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 24/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/FRANKLIN


Still alive.

[benny]

Alive.. right. Not even classifyable by the Dvorak technique. This this is dead dead dead. convection is 160 nm from the center? does that sound like a tropical cyclone to anyone? This one needs to have the book thrown at it..

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

What can I say some times a strong LLC can have strong winds with convection away from the LLC. Td4 is most defitent a tropical storm right now.

[WindRunner]

Models initialize at 30kts . . . no surprises there . . .

[Cyclenall]

Yeah, no more ACE for Hector sadly.

"Gotta have some more ACE!!"

[Andrew92]

000
WTPZ44 KNHC 230256
TCDEP4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION HECTOR DISCUSSION NUMBER 30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092006
800 PM PDT TUE AUG 22 2006

HECTOR HAS BEEN UNABLE TO GENERATE ANY DEEP CONVECTION FOR CLOSE TO
24 HOURS...AND HAS BECOME AN EXPOSED SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS. THE
INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED AT 280/7. DISSIPATING HECTOR SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MOVE IN A GENERALLY WESTWARD MOTION WITHIN THE LOW
LAYER STEERING FLOW DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND THEN DISSIPATE.

THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON
HECTOR. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND THE
HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST
BRANCH...UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIAHSPEP2 AND WMO HEADER FZPN03 KNHC.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 23/0300Z 23.0N 138.1W 30 KT...DISSIPATING
12HR VT 23/1200Z 23.1N 139.2W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW
24HR VT 24/0000Z 23.3N 140.7W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 24/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/STEWART

[Andrew92]

Hector, good-bye, don't let that door hit ya on the way to 2012! See ya, wouldn't wanna be ya!

[CrazyC83]

LOL! Buh-bye Hector! The tropics are too crowded for you I guess?

(All this tropical activity + a possible tornado outbreak on Thursday - wow, it has picked up so fast!)

[Cyclenall]

Hector, good-bye, don't let that door hit ya on the way to 2012! See ya, wouldn't wanna be ya!

Is this your only post in this thread? Just waiting until storms die so you can say all that with the " :door: " animation?

[AnnularCane]

LOL! Buh-bye Hector! The tropics are too crowded for you I guess?

(All this tropical activity + a possible tornado outbreak on Thursday - wow, it has picked up so fast!)

I guess he didn't like being the only guy in the tropics.

[Andrew92]

Hector, good-bye, don't let that door hit ya on the way to 2012! See ya, wouldn't wanna be ya!

Is this your only post in this thread? Just waiting until storms die so you can say all that with the " :door: " animation?

Hey, I posted the final discussion beforehand. But, yeah, I know, I usually don't comment much on EPAC storms. Not downplaying storms like Daniel, Hector, or Ileana, just that a large percentage (though unfortunately not all) of them are fishes.

-Andrew92