TD #4 East Atlantic,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #2

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Scorpion

#461 Postby Scorpion » Tue Aug 22, 2006 5:52 pm

Wow 2.9.
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SouthFloridawx
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#462 Postby SouthFloridawx » Tue Aug 22, 2006 5:52 pm

storms in NC wrote:LOLOLOLOL got home to 356 replies from storm 2 k little behind I think :lol: :eek:

Yes you better hurry up and read quick.
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#463 Postby cheezyWXguy » Tue Aug 22, 2006 5:54 pm

Seriously??dang thats hurricane...i wouldnt wanna put that there. Id put it at 40kts now, but it could be as high as 45-50 knots at 11, IMO...by the way, is ther an 8pm advisry tonite?
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#464 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 22, 2006 5:55 pm

cheezyWXguy wrote:Seriously??dang thats hurricane...i wouldnt wanna put that there. Id put it at 40kts now, but it could be as high as 45-50 knots at 11, IMO...by the way, is ther an 8pm advisry tonite?


No 8 PM as the TS Warning for the Cape Verde Islands was discontinued.
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#465 Postby storms in NC » Tue Aug 22, 2006 5:58 pm

SouthFloridawx wrote:
storms in NC wrote:LOLOLOLOL got home to 356 replies from storm 2 k little behind I think :lol: :eek:

Yes you better hurry up and read quick.


LOL :fools: :roflmao: :roflmao: :roflmao: :roflmao: :roflmao: Still come in I deleted them and I am back up to 60
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#466 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Aug 22, 2006 5:59 pm

cycloneye wrote:
cheezyWXguy wrote:Seriously??dang thats hurricane...i wouldnt wanna put that there. Id put it at 40kts now, but it could be as high as 45-50 knots at 11, IMO...by the way, is ther an 8pm advisry tonite?


No 8 PM as the TS Warning for the Cape Verde Islands was discontinued.


If it is obviously high and needs to be jumped, a Special Advisory could be issued.
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#467 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Aug 22, 2006 6:00 pm

miamicanes177 wrote:6hr Avg T2.9 ...Raw T4.0


Raw T4.0? That would mean it is a hurricane! That must be an error.
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Scorpion

#468 Postby Scorpion » Tue Aug 22, 2006 6:01 pm

Dont look at the Raw.
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#469 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Aug 22, 2006 6:02 pm

43 knots 2.9t

Also look where the center is right in the middle of that Cdo/convection. This is in my very strongly believed option. A tropical storm.

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/adt/FOUR.GIF
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#470 Postby miamicanes177 » Tue Aug 22, 2006 6:10 pm

Scorpion wrote:Dont look at the Raw.
it gives you an idea of what is going on now.
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#471 Postby SouthFloridawx » Tue Aug 22, 2006 6:15 pm

miamicanes177 wrote:
Scorpion wrote:Dont look at the Raw.
it gives you an idea of what is going on now.


UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT - Version 7.1
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 22 AUG 2006 Time : 224500 UTC
Lat : 14:44:18 N Lon : 27:56:22 W


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
3.0 /1000.0mb/ 45.0kt


6hr-Avg T# 3hr-Avg T# Adj T# Raw T#
3.0 3.0 3.3 4.0
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#472 Postby the_winds_that_sheared_me » Tue Aug 22, 2006 6:20 pm

The SFWMD site shows it aiming right at the NE US if you continue that track out..

Image
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#473 Postby Dean4Storms » Tue Aug 22, 2006 6:21 pm

TS Debby is that you? :lol:
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#474 Postby Dean4Storms » Tue Aug 22, 2006 6:22 pm

the_winds_that_sheared_me wrote:The SFWMD site shows it aiming right at the NE US if you continue that track out..

Image




That won't happen with this one.
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crab_storm

#475 Postby crab_storm » Tue Aug 22, 2006 6:23 pm

fish...
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#476 Postby JonathanBelles » Tue Aug 22, 2006 6:24 pm

that would bring it into new englnad!
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#477 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Tue Aug 22, 2006 6:30 pm

If this is a TS now, will they issue a special advisory?
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#478 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Aug 22, 2006 6:31 pm

Dean4Storms wrote:TS Debby is that you? :lol:


I think so by 11:00, if there is no Special Advisory.

The best estimate: 50 mph
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#479 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Aug 22, 2006 6:32 pm

HurricaneHunter914 wrote:If this is a TS now, will they issue a special advisory?


Yes they can issue one, but they usually don't within 2 hours of a schedule full advisory. The latest I would expect a special advisory is 8:30 if one is issued.
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#480 Postby Evil Jeremy » Tue Aug 22, 2006 6:35 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:
Dean4Storms wrote:TS Debby is that you? :lol:


I think so by 11:00, if there is no Special Advisory.

The best estimate: 50 mph


we sill still have the new TWD!
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