TD Debby E Atlantic,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #D

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ROCK
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#21 Postby ROCK » Tue Aug 22, 2006 7:39 pm

yep, with a sat presentation like that..I would say hello Debby also.....
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willjnewton

#22 Postby willjnewton » Tue Aug 22, 2006 7:40 pm

thankyou for showing me that satelite imagery, But do you all expect this system to
STILL BE A FIsh storm or will it affect land in the next couple of weeks??like where does the global forecast models take this system??
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#23 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 22, 2006 7:41 pm

TROPICAL STORM FOUR (AL042006) ON 20060823 0000 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
060823 0000 060823 1200 060824 0000 060824 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 14.9N 28.2W 16.5N 30.8W 18.0N 33.3W 19.7N 35.8W
BAMM 14.9N 28.2W 16.9N 30.9W 18.8N 33.5W 20.7N 36.1W
A98E 14.9N 28.2W 16.4N 31.1W 17.8N 33.8W 19.3N 36.3W
LBAR 14.9N 28.2W 16.7N 30.8W 18.4N 33.6W 19.9N 36.5W
SHIP 35KTS 41KTS 47KTS 52KTS
DSHP 35KTS 41KTS 47KTS 52KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
060825 0000 060826 0000 060827 0000 060828 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 21.5N 38.4W 25.5N 43.3W 29.6N 46.0W 33.7N 44.2W
BAMM 22.5N 38.8W 26.0N 43.5W 29.3N 46.4W 32.5N 46.1W
A98E 21.0N 38.8W 24.7N 44.3W 28.6N 48.7W 34.1N 46.8W
LBAR 21.3N 39.3W 24.2N 44.4W 27.7N 47.9W 30.8N 51.2W
SHIP 55KTS 60KTS 61KTS 61KTS
DSHP 55KTS 60KTS 61KTS 61KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 14.9N LONCUR = 28.2W DIRCUR = 300DEG SPDCUR = 16KT
LATM12 = 13.4N LONM12 = 25.3W DIRM12 = 301DEG SPDM12 = 16KT
LATM24 = 12.1N LONM24 = 22.6W
WNDCUR = 35KT RMAXWD = 30NM WNDM12 = 30KT
CENPRS = 1003MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD = 225NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 40NM RD34SE = 20NM RD34SW = 10NM RD34NW = 30NM

It's Debby!!!.
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#24 Postby HurricaneMaster_PR » Tue Aug 22, 2006 7:41 pm

WELCOME DEBBY!
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#25 Postby Thunder44 » Tue Aug 22, 2006 7:41 pm

0z Models initialized at 35kts. But they just say Tropical Storm Four. No "Debby"

NRL has the the same coordinates and winds, but it still says NONAME. Not sure they have decided to declare this TS at 11am yet.

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html
Last edited by Thunder44 on Tue Aug 22, 2006 7:47 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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#26 Postby Buck » Tue Aug 22, 2006 7:43 pm

Finally... I definitely expected it to be named Debby this time yesterday, though!
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#27 Postby Evil Jeremy » Tue Aug 22, 2006 7:45 pm

the models are onw showing a more of a WNW track for a few days before completly recurving. there are going to be some major track changes at the next advisory.
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#28 Postby Weatherfreak14 » Tue Aug 22, 2006 7:45 pm

Well, im confused does TS four mean TS Debby?
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#29 Postby HurricaneMaster_PR » Tue Aug 22, 2006 7:46 pm

Weatherfreak14 wrote:Well, im confused does TS four mean TS Debby?


Is our Fourth Tropical Storm of the Season, Debby! :wink:
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#30 Postby Evil Jeremy » Tue Aug 22, 2006 7:46 pm

yep!
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#31 Postby Weatherfreak14 » Tue Aug 22, 2006 7:46 pm

Yahoo!!!
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#32 Postby cheezyWXguy » Tue Aug 22, 2006 7:46 pm

yea...they just put it as that because its not at the advisory time yet...I think...
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#33 Postby willjnewton » Tue Aug 22, 2006 7:46 pm

can someone show me the forecast models of tropical storm debby??
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#34 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Aug 22, 2006 7:47 pm

Its a tropical storm!
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#35 Postby Weatherfreak14 » Tue Aug 22, 2006 7:48 pm

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/. Heres a very good page.
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#36 Postby StormScanWx » Tue Aug 22, 2006 7:48 pm

This could be just the beginning! :eek:
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#37 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 22, 2006 7:48 pm

willjnewton wrote:can someone show me the forecast models of tropical storm debby??


Image
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Evil Jeremy
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#38 Postby Evil Jeremy » Tue Aug 22, 2006 7:49 pm

cycloneye wrote:
willjnewton wrote:can someone show me the forecast models of tropical storm debby??


Image


those are not the most recently ones.
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#39 Postby Weatherfreak14 » Tue Aug 22, 2006 7:49 pm

Evil Jeremy wrote:the models are onw showing a more of a WNW track for a few days before completly recurving. there are going to be some major track changes at the next advisory.


What kind of changes do you think?
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#40 Postby StormWarning1 » Tue Aug 22, 2006 7:51 pm

Weatherfreak14 wrote:
Evil Jeremy wrote:the models are onw showing a more of a WNW track for a few days before completly recurving. there are going to be some major track changes at the next advisory.


What kind of changes do you think?


Those are the updated models, they are not showing anything remotely close to WNW.
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