TD Debby E Atlantic,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #D

[Evil Jeremy]

the models are onw showing a more of a WNW track for a few days before completly recurving. there are going to be some major track changes at the next advisory.

What kind of changes do you think?

a faster speed, and a shift a little more south. the only reason the cone was so high up when the storm was clearly not going in that direction was because the models were going there. this will change that!

[Stratosphere747]

??

Care to post a link to the updated models...

[StormWarning1]

??

Care to post a link to the updated models...

They are on page 2. scroll back a page

[Evil Jeremy]

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tr ... model.html

[willjnewton]

the gfdL forecast model seems to have shifted westward...is that true?because it looks that way because used to it recurve that storm now its more westward

[Stratosphere747]

The only one that show a WNW movement was at 8am...

[cycloneye]

TPNT KGWC 230050
A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR
B. 22/2331Z (69)
C. 14.8N/3
D. 28.4W/4
E. SIX/MET8
F. T2.5/2.5/D1.0/24HRS -22/2331Z-
G. IR/EIR

38A/ PBO SBC/ANMTN. CNVCTN STILL WRAPS .40 USING THE LOG10
SPIRAL GIVING A DT OF 2.5. FT IS BASED ON DT...BOTH MET AND
PT AGREE.

AODT: N/A

LAURENTI



Air Force sat estimates give 2.5/2.5 same as SSD.

[willjnewton]

and also the nogaps forecast model had shifted more westward,, lets party

[jhamps10]

GFS shows a much more west than WNW track.

[curtadams]

Last advisory movement was 300 degrees - which is very close to the model consensus above and IMO on the boundary of WNW and NW

[kevin]

and also the nogaps forecast model had shifted more westward,, lets party

Only if you're buying.

I wouldn't get excited Will, you'll be more let down when it goes out to sea.

[Weatherfreak14]

and also the nogaps forecast model had shifted more westward,, lets party

Only if you're buying.

Please im broke..


Lets have one in the chat room.

[Stratosphere747]

Look at the timestamps....

[willjnewton]

this storm is at Least are fourth named tropical storm of the season, so in that regard I am happy how about you all..

[Weatherfreak14]

this storm is at Least are fourth named tropical storm of the season, so in that regard I am happy how about you all..

Im happy will. The season is active.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Thank god its active. But I will wait to party for when the system turns westward...With model support. Don't look likely right now.

[Windtalker1]

and also the nogaps forecast model had shifted more westward,, lets party

Only if you're buying.

I wouldn't get excited Will, you'll be more let down when it goes out to sea.

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products. 2 of the models the Nogaps and GFS now show a more westerly track...only a matter of time before the others follow.[/b]

[willjnewton]

but I thought that the forecast models has shifted more westward, like the nogaps and gfs and gfdl?it sure looks that way to me of course if you look at the forecast models on weather wunderground page thats updated

[Weatherfreak14]

They have just still will probably go out to sea more west than expected. Bermuda should be watching right now.

[Evil Jeremy]

and also the nogaps forecast model had shifted more westward,, lets party

Only if you're buying.

I wouldn't get excited Will, you'll be more let down when it goes out to sea.

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products. 2 of the models the Nogaps and GFS now show a more westerly track...only a matter of time before the others follow.[/b]

but they also write the system off!!