Possible BOC Development?

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ronjon
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Possible BOC Development?

#1 Postby ronjon » Wed Aug 23, 2006 5:57 am

This mornings IR SAT shows a convective flareup forming in the BOC. Looks to be a slight counterclockwise turning.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-avn.html
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O Town
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#2 Postby O Town » Wed Aug 23, 2006 6:13 am

There seems to be some vorticity in that area.
Image

Also some 20KT shear north of it.
Image
Worth watching some today.
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caneman

Re: Possible BOC Development?

#3 Postby caneman » Wed Aug 23, 2006 6:13 am

ronjon wrote:This mornings IR SAT shows a convective flareup forming in the BOC. Looks to be a slight counterclockwise turning.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-avn.html


Yea, saw that. Believe it was that MLC that tracked across Yucatan was part of the big blowup in the Caribb from a couple days ago. Won't it just track West?
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#4 Postby O Town » Wed Aug 23, 2006 6:17 am

That is what the steering patterns look like a north westward movement. So if it wanted to develope it probably wouldn't have the time to do so.
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#5 Postby Starburst » Wed Aug 23, 2006 6:51 am

I see this little wave flaring up again today and like every morning looks good but I swear I am not falling for the hype today. :hmm:
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#6 Postby TexWx » Wed Aug 23, 2006 7:55 am

I'm thinking anything that would form here, would move west into Mexico.
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#7 Postby tailgater » Wed Aug 23, 2006 9:07 am

This is what I wrote last nite, on the western Caribbean thread.
I'm gonna take a stab at a prediction, here goes nothing.
Tomorrow morning a cluster of storms will develop over the Eastern BOC. This T-storm complex will organize to at least TD status Thursday, before going inland north of Tampico.
It seems to be forming a bit further west than I thought so it may not may to TD status, but IMHO it is getting a little organization to it. Might get a mention on the TWO.
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#8 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Aug 23, 2006 3:02 pm

It looks pretty good on the satellite and seems to be circulating - I'd put 98L up on that one...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-avn.html
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#9 Postby Stormcenter » Thu Aug 24, 2006 12:10 pm

Nice blow up of convection refiring in the BOC for those tired of being teased by 97L. :lol:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-avn.html
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#10 Postby tailgater » Thu Aug 24, 2006 1:01 pm

Stormcenter wrote:Nice blow up of convection refiring in the BOC for those tired of being teased by 97L. :lol:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-avn.html

I thought this area would get going yesterday then move into Mexico but it is not moving much and probably would drift north if it does start to organize.
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8dlm2.GIF
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-vis.html
pressure down .08in over this time yesterday.
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42055
at 1:50 cst
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42055
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