Invest 97L Observation, Interpretation & Analysis (#2)

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
whereverwx
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1109
Joined: Mon May 31, 2004 10:15 pm

Invest 97L Observation, Interpretation & Analysis (#2)

#1 Postby whereverwx » Wed Aug 23, 2006 3:23 pm

Continue the discussion here.

Invest 97L Thread #1 | #2
Last edited by whereverwx on Wed Aug 23, 2006 11:56 pm, edited 4 times in total.
0 likes   

User avatar
skysummit
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5305
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 11:09 pm
Location: Ponchatoula, LA
Contact:

#2 Postby skysummit » Wed Aug 23, 2006 3:24 pm

Interpretation and Analysis??? Those are awfully big words! :lol:
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145932
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#3 Postby cycloneye » Wed Aug 23, 2006 3:27 pm

calamity,if 97L gets upgraded to a Td this thread will continue open changing the title to TD #5.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
jasons2k
Storm2k Executive
Storm2k Executive
Posts: 8245
Age: 51
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 12:32 pm
Location: The Woodlands, TX

#4 Postby jasons2k » Wed Aug 23, 2006 3:29 pm

Should be:

Invest 97L E Windwards,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #2

Thank you.
0 likes   

jhamps10

#5 Postby jhamps10 » Wed Aug 23, 2006 3:29 pm

good grief calamity, you beat me to everything.... J/k
0 likes   

whereverwx
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1109
Joined: Mon May 31, 2004 10:15 pm

#6 Postby whereverwx » Wed Aug 23, 2006 3:29 pm

skysummit wrote:Interpretation and Analysis??? Those are awfully big words! :lol:

Heh, it doesn't hurt to tweak things a little. :wink: :lol:

cycloneye wrote:calamity,if 97L gets upgraded to a Td this thread will continue open changing the title to TD #5.

Ok, that seems easy.
0 likes   

Stormcenter
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6684
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:27 am
Location: Houston, TX

#7 Postby Stormcenter » Wed Aug 23, 2006 3:30 pm

This is an excerpt from this afternoon's New Orleans, LA NWS discussion.
My question is what affect on strength and movement will the upper low/trough and front have on 97L
if it makes it into the GOM?

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
256 PM CDT WED AUG 23 2006


THE GFS FORECASTS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL
LOW/TROUGH TO MOVE INTO THE GULF TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY WHILE A
COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE GULF COAST STATES AS AN UPPER TROUGH
DIGS ACROSS THE EASTERN MOST CONUS. THESE FEATURES MAY BRING AN
INCREASED CHANCE OF RAIN FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
0 likes   

mtm4319
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1537
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2004 2:47 am
Location: Mobile, AL

#8 Postby mtm4319 » Wed Aug 23, 2006 3:30 pm

jschlitz wrote:Should be:

Invest 97L E Windwards,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #2

Thank you.


I don't think it has to be.

But if it is, we should put spaces after each of the commas. That's always bugged me a little bit. :lol:
0 likes   

Matt-hurricanewatcher

#9 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Wed Aug 23, 2006 3:31 pm

Theres a center starting to form at 12.0 north/55.5 west. Nice blow up of convection right over it. Inflow spotted coming in the southeast side. With inflow going around the northwest. Looks like we got something.
0 likes   

Derek Ortt

#10 Postby Derek Ortt » Wed Aug 23, 2006 3:31 pm

how come toe AFDs only seem to cite the GFS?
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145932
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#11 Postby cycloneye » Wed Aug 23, 2006 3:31 pm

jschlitz wrote:Should be:

Invest 97L E Windwards,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #2

Thank you.


There is room for changes,not has to be always the same wording. :)
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

jhamps10

#12 Postby jhamps10 » Wed Aug 23, 2006 3:32 pm

well if we keep the same thing too often it gets boring. :lol: I like the new name for it.


Anyway, one thing we learned from charley in 04 is that we never need to depend on the little black line in the center of NHC forecast maps, I have a serious thinking that people (general public) are focusing too much on the line.
0 likes   

User avatar
jasons2k
Storm2k Executive
Storm2k Executive
Posts: 8245
Age: 51
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 12:32 pm
Location: The Woodlands, TX

#13 Postby jasons2k » Wed Aug 23, 2006 3:33 pm

mtm4319 wrote:
jschlitz wrote:Should be:

Invest 97L E Windwards,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #2

Thank you.


I don't think it has to be.

But if it is, we should put spaces after each of the commas. That's always bugged me a little bit. :lol:


I think we should stay consistent - especially for people who may not check-in until after work. Thread #1 used the traditional name - thread #2 should do the same - otherwise people may wonder where "Invest 97L E Windwards,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #2" is.

I could somewhat agree with changing it - if thread #1 has the "new" name also. But I still like the geographic description in the name. What happens when we have 3 invests in a few weeks?

But I agree with the comma spacing.
Last edited by jasons2k on Wed Aug 23, 2006 3:36 pm, edited 2 times in total.
0 likes   

kevin

#14 Postby kevin » Wed Aug 23, 2006 3:33 pm

Lets chat about the title some more. :cheesy:
0 likes   

jhamps10

#15 Postby jhamps10 » Wed Aug 23, 2006 3:33 pm

Yeah 97L is starting to become T.D. #5. I expect that to happen by the 11PM advisory.
0 likes   

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34009
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#16 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Aug 23, 2006 3:35 pm

jhamps10 wrote:Yeah 97L is starting to become T.D. #5. I expect that to happen by the 11PM advisory.


Could it be immediately TS Ernesto?
0 likes   

jhamps10

#17 Postby jhamps10 » Wed Aug 23, 2006 3:36 pm

it could, but I don't think I have ever seen one do that though, has anyone else?
0 likes   

User avatar
jasons2k
Storm2k Executive
Storm2k Executive
Posts: 8245
Age: 51
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 12:32 pm
Location: The Woodlands, TX

#18 Postby jasons2k » Wed Aug 23, 2006 3:36 pm

jhamps10 wrote:it could, but I don't think I have ever seen one do that though, has anyone else?


Yes, it has happened a few times, don't have a list though...
0 likes   

jlauderdal
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 7189
Joined: Wed May 19, 2004 5:46 am
Location: NE Fort Lauderdale
Contact:

#19 Postby jlauderdal » Wed Aug 23, 2006 3:37 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:
jhamps10 wrote:Yeah 97L is starting to become T.D. #5. I expect that to happen by the 11PM advisory.


Could it be immediately TS Ernesto?


yes it has happened before
0 likes   

Matt-hurricanewatcher

#20 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Wed Aug 23, 2006 3:37 pm

Isabel was!
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: AnnularCane, IsabelaWeather, LAF92, wileytheartist and 50 guests