TD Debby E Atlantic,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #D

[Windsurfer_NYC]

Debby running into a front??

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-avn.html

load it up and click on "fronts"

[wxman57]

Latest Dvorak is 2.0 - 30kt TD. It looks worse than when the NHC was saying it didn't qualify to be upgraded to a TS. I'd suggest looking at a long WV loop. Fairly sharp trof west of Debby. If it moves westward it'll go into "stealth" mode alright - it'll be gone.

[AnnularCane]

Poor little Debby...

[Wthrman13]

DC8 still in that area but now is showing an altitude of only 500 climbing to 1500 feet! Ahhh to be in that big ol DC8-72....must be a heck of a ride.
Picture of the aircraft-
http://www.airliners.net/open.file/1041022/L/

The interesting thing is, I zoomed in on GE to the spot where the plane first took off, and there is a plane in the GE image there that looks like a DC 8, right at the very spot where the flight track began. I don't know when that image was taken, but it would be something if it was the same plane! At the very least, an interesting coincidence.

[storms in NC]

Debby is north of forcast of track.. something pulling her

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html

She does look a little better this afternoon

[LAwxrgal]

Debby is north of forcast of track.. something pulling her

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html

She does look a little better this afternoon

Is this the trough the forecasters were talking about that was supposed to pull her up north and out to sea?

[Windsurfer_NYC]

The interesting thing is, I zoomed in on GE to the spot where the plane first took off, and there is a plane in the GE image there that looks like a DC 8, right at the very spot where the flight track began. I don't know when that image was taken, but it would be something if it was the same plane! At the very least, an interesting coincidence.

It's funny to zoom in and watch it taxi across the runway...

[storms in NC]

Think so cause she is going NW

[CrazyC83]

Is an eye starting to try to form?

[dwg71]

Is an eye starting to try to form?

No.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

With the looks of her she looks like the dry air got her. Classic poofer unless she can refire convection near the center.

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

[CrazyC83]

Dropped to 45 mph. Said to have been diurnal in part as well as its cool waters. I think it is going to level off for a little while, perhaps up and down as a weak tropical storm. I think it will become a hurricane in the warmer waters ahead though.

[CrazyC83]

NOT AN OFFICIAL FORECAST...Just my prediction.

Cooler SST's and dry air have hindered the development of Debby. While shear is low, the atmosphere is not conducive for great strengthening in the short term. However, warmer water does lie ahead that could strengthen Debby although shear could increase as well (I am thinking it won't).

Current - 17.9/33.0 - 1002mb - 45mph
12 hrs - 19.0/35.6 - 1003mb - 40mph
24 hrs - 20.0/38.7 - 1001mb - 45mph
36 hrs - 21.4/42.1 - 999mb - 50mph
48 hrs - 22.6/44.9 - 996mb - 50mph
60 hrs - 24.1/47.1 - 991mb - 60mph
72 hrs - 25.7/49.3 - 987mb - 65mph
96 hrs - 28.9/53.3 - 976mb - 85mph
120 hrs - 33.3/55.9 - 971mb - 100mph

[alan1961]

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc0 ... atest.html

Thats looking very close at Debby..not very pretty close up is she

[alan1961]

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc0 ... atest.html

Or what about up close and personal

[LAwxrgal]

LOL How's Debby doing now? Is she holding steady?

[Trugunzn]

Friday shoul be its best day for development. Shea is supposed to relax and is suppose to enter warmer waters. So i still hold for a hurricane on friday. Then expect it to curve away.

[SouthFloridawx]

999
AXNT20 KNHC 240003
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT WED AUG 23 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...THE GULF OF MEXICO...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHEASTERN
SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE
AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION
IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...
AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
WEAKENING TROPICAL STORM DEBBY IS CENTERED NEAR 17.9N 33.0W 0R
ABOUT 530 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS AT 23/2100
UTC MOVING NW AT 17 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
1002 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50
KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER HEADERS
MIATCMAT4/WTNT24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED
WITH DEBBIE HAS GENERALLY BEEN DECAYING AND DISPLACED FROM THE
CENTER OVER THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS. A NEW SMALL CLUSTER OF
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED
AFTER 21Z NEAR 18N34W...BUT OVERALL THE ORGANIZATION OF DEBBY IS
NOT AS IMPRESSIVE AS THIS MORNING. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS ALSO NOTED ABOUT 100 NM SOUTH OF DEBBIE...FROM 13N-16N
BETWEEN 31W-35W. ONLY SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT
DAY OR TWO AS DEBBY MOVES WNW TO NW.

[Windtalker1]

[b]A NEW SMALL CLUSTER OF
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED
AFTER 21Z NEAR 18N34W...BUT OVERALL THE ORGANIZATION OF DEBBY IS
NOT AS IMPRESSIVE AS THIS MORNING. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS ALSO NOTED ABOUT 100 NM SOUTH OF DEBBIE...FROM 13N-16N
BETWEEN 31W-35W. ONLY SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT
DAY OR TWO AS DEBBY MOVES WNW TO NW.


Can a new center form?

[whereverwx]

She's a fighter.