When will Ernesto form?

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SWFLA_CANE
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#21 Postby SWFLA_CANE » Wed Aug 23, 2006 2:29 pm

Thursday 5:00PM after Recon
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#22 Postby Dr. Jonah Rainwater » Wed Aug 23, 2006 4:21 pm

Brent wrote:Tomorrow Afternoon... and it will be a major hurricane.


:lol: :lol:

I think you're being too conservative Brent. Major Category Five hurricane Ernesto will level Grenada tonight. You all just watch and see me proved right.

Actually, I do think 97L will eventually become Ernesto...probably not until it reaches the Western Caribbean though. Maybe a Claudette-like track, depending on if that front actually punches through Texas or not next week. Be nice to get a cool front.....
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#23 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Wed Aug 23, 2006 4:32 pm

SOON! This will be a problem for the Gulf next week.
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#24 Postby Brent » Wed Aug 23, 2006 4:33 pm

KFDM Meteorologist wrote:SOON! This will be a problem for the Gulf next week.


:sick: :eek:

More record high gas prices AGAIN. :roll:
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#25 Postby weatherrabbit_tx » Wed Aug 23, 2006 4:36 pm

Brent wrote:
KFDM Meteorologist wrote:SOON! This will be a problem for the Gulf next week.


:sick: :eek:

More record high gas prices AGAIN. :roll:



ya, we were paying down around $2.50/gal here in the spring area north of houston......there goes the rent..car payment...etc... :roll:
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#26 Postby dwg71 » Wed Aug 23, 2006 4:39 pm

KFDM Meteorologist wrote:SOON! This will be a problem for the Gulf next week.


Pretty bold statement "will be a problem for the Gulf", where did you get your flux capacitor? :lol:

We will see, I would hope gulf would close up shop around the 25th of August. Probably not so lucky.
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#27 Postby ROCK » Wed Aug 23, 2006 4:41 pm

dwg71 wrote:
KFDM Meteorologist wrote:SOON! This will be a problem for the Gulf next week.


Pretty bold statement "will be a problem for the Gulf", where did you get your flux capacitor? :lol:

We will see, I would hope gulf would close up shop around the 25th of August. Probably not so lucky.



not as bold as to say it won't..... :wink:
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#28 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Wed Aug 23, 2006 4:42 pm

Just wait and see. The positioning of the system for one..
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#29 Postby WmE » Wed Aug 23, 2006 4:42 pm

weatherrabbit_tx wrote:
Brent wrote:
KFDM Meteorologist wrote:SOON! This will be a problem for the Gulf next week.


:sick: :eek:

More record high gas prices AGAIN. :roll:



ya, we were paying down around $2.50/gal here in the spring area north of houston......there goes the rent..car payment...etc... :roll:


Here in Austria a gallon of gas costs $5,70.
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#30 Postby dwg71 » Wed Aug 23, 2006 4:43 pm

ROCK wrote:
dwg71 wrote:
KFDM Meteorologist wrote:SOON! This will be a problem for the Gulf next week.


Pretty bold statement "will be a problem for the Gulf", where did you get your flux capacitor? :lol:

We will see, I would hope gulf would close up shop around the 25th of August. Probably not so lucky.



not as bold as to say it won't..... :wink:


Have yet to see a wont develop post, but I will keep my eyes peeled 8-)
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Re: When will Ernesto form?

#31 Postby johngaltfla » Wed Aug 23, 2006 4:43 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:Now that we have Debby, I think we should guess the next one.

My guess: August 24 (Thursday) from 97L.


Agreed. And Ernesto will be a US threat only because the climatology lately tends to favor a near miss or clearing of the Yucatan channel. In 3 days, we'll know for sure.

:eek:
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#32 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Wed Aug 23, 2006 10:38 pm

Chief Met at KFDM was telling me the new GFDL has Ernesto at 100 knots near the west tip of Cuba Monday!! :eek: :eek:
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#33 Postby Josephine96 » Wed Aug 23, 2006 10:43 pm

My turn to play..

Ernesto forms @ 11 am or 5pm tomorrow..

can't decide :lol:
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#34 Postby Brent » Wed Aug 23, 2006 10:48 pm

KFDM Meteorologist wrote:Chief Met at KFDM was telling me the new GFDL has Ernesto at 100 knots near the west tip of Cuba Monday!! :eek: :eek:


:sick: :coaster: :shocked!:
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#35 Postby gatorcane » Wed Aug 23, 2006 10:52 pm

Brent wrote:
KFDM Meteorologist wrote:Chief Met at KFDM was telling me the new GFDL has Ernesto at 100 knots near the west tip of Cuba Monday!! :eek: :eek:


:sick: :coaster: :shocked!:


What? Hopefully no troughs coming down to pull it into the northern GOM :eek:
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#36 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Wed Aug 23, 2006 10:54 pm

I'm waiting on the new GFS to finish running so i can look at the 500 pattern.
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#37 Postby gatorcane » Wed Aug 23, 2006 10:55 pm

KFDM Meteorologist wrote:I'm waiting on the new GFS to finish running so i can look at the 500 pattern.


Thanks, I am wondering if there is some trough looming that will push down the East Coast early next week.......

I hope there is a huge ridge over the GOM that pushes it away from the US....
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#38 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Wed Aug 23, 2006 10:58 pm

It's out through 60 hours. The rest will be out by 11:20 or so...No East Coast with this one!!
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#39 Postby Starburst » Wed Aug 23, 2006 11:02 pm

Give us an update when you can KFDM
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#40 Postby Wx_Warrior » Wed Aug 23, 2006 11:02 pm

We will be waiting, vibrating with anticipation!!!!
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