Invest 97L: Comments, Sat Pics, Models Thread #3

[Brent]

Grenada winds now southwest at 13 kts, 1009mb.

I think we'll have a TD.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Also to me this system don't look to bad....Convection trying to fire over it again over the last few frames. If they fine more west wind then if convection fires over it it will only strengthen it. I don't expect this thing to die...But just have a hard time developing intill it slows down, to allow the tutt to move out of its way.

[SouthFloridawx]

Grenada winds now southwest at 13 kts, 1009mb.

I think we'll have a TD.

Me too... TD #5

[boca]

This may sound stupid but I have to ask it. Can a partial circulation not closed off cause a SSW wind on the south side?

[fci]

Ok how does anyone know why Dr. Masters said the center location would increase the risk to the East Coast? I really see this going into the GOM...

I think he was using a flawed GFDL ( I think) model that has since been proven to have been incorrect (I think)

I know pretty pathetic post but there has been so much on the board that my memory my be miss-serving me.

I believe I read where the GFDL was "off" this morning and was not to be trusted.

If I am wrong, blaze away, y'all



Or I'll just go back and edit out what I have just said!

[Sanibel]

1009


I've seen all I need to see.

97L's convection has thickened and is hanging behind the sheared LLC. I don't see this stopping from here due to climatology and similar systems showing such behavior from this point of origin.

I'd say we have a go here most likely.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

If it was under 25 knots then I would say yes. But at 27-31 knots not likely...

[AJC3]

Grenada winds now southwest at 13 kts, 1009mb.

Scarborough, T&T has been reporting SSW winds for 3 hours with SLP down to 1011MB.

Still don't think recon will find this is closed off, but will find a highly amplified T-wave.

[Derek Ortt]

you can have a SSW wind and not a closed TC

must have a complete 360 degree wind circulation to have a true TC

[Stormcenter]

1009


I've seen all I need to see.

97L's convection has thickened and is hanging behind the sheared LLC. I don't see this stopping from here due to climatology and similar systems showing such behavior from this point of origin.

I'd say we have a go here most likely.

Are you sure?

[skysummit]

If convection begins to regenerate itself again, is it possible an upper high could form again, or the one over S.A. move back over it?

[Derek Ortt]

we're missing the NW wind

[fwbbreeze]

slightly off topic but, anyone else having problems getting to the NRL backup site?

fwbbreeze

[boca]

Thanks Derek for the answer to my question.

[Sanibel]

The point being when this slows down that persisting convection should catch up to it and develop. Storms that show good convection when sheared usually develop.

Are you sure?

I have 3 busts this year - no hits.

[crown]

Really? ALL mets were bullish?

Ah hem ... guys .. a cultural note here ... "bullish" in Barbados means a homosexual act.

[southerngale]

You people are completely ridiculous. Last night everyone was carrying on about a Cat 4-5 developing, now everyone is totally writing this system off. I am so tired of reading page after page of hysterical shouts of doom followed by page after page of "this one is a goner for sure".

If we eliminated the drama and hype and just discussed actual meteorlogical conditions, these threads wouldn't be 70 pages long for "just an invest".

Just my two cents which I am sure will get about 5 pages of flaming for speaking my mind.

--Lou

Nope, no flaming. As someone who had to catch up by wading through 10+ pages of good posts, as well as nonsense posts, I have to ask: please, think about what you want to say and formulate one post, instead of so many of the same people using the thread like a chatroom. The site is getting busy as well, and I think we all want to do everything we can to keep the site up and running with no interruptions.

Informative posts are getting buried within mere minutes.

A good little reminder that will only take a couple of minutes to read:
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=85432

[seaswing]

Really? ALL mets were bullish?

Ah hem ... guys .. a cultural note here ... "bullish" in Barbados means a homosexual act.

LMAO

[cycloneye]

Really? ALL mets were bullish?

Ah hem ... guys .. a cultural note here ... "bullish" in Barbados means a homosexual act.

LMAO

Please,let's post informative posts.

[sponger]

I can always tell when somthing is brewing by the number of members online! I want to get a task bar pop up that will feed it streaming to my computer! Here is my new scale

>50 Enjoy your day, all is well

50-100 Log on and check out whats brewing

100-200 Somthings up, time to check in and see what the pro mets are saying.

200-500 You missed the boat and may need to stock pile supplies or warn relatives

500 or more. Call in sick drop all your plans and tune in until you pass out at 4:30 in the morning