Hurricane Ernesto - Cat. 1

[cycloneye]

SXXX50 KNHC 241657
AF303 01GGA INVEST HDOB 13 KNHC
1649. 1139N 06104W 00306 5013 192 026 232 228 027 00303 0000000000
1650 1141N 06104W 00304 5014 190 025 232 230 026 00301 0000000000
1650. 1143N 06103W 00304 5015 190 026 232 230 028 00300 0000000000
1651 1145N 06103W 00305 5016 188 029 236 224 030 00300 0000000000
1651. 1147N 06103W 00304 5016 187 028 234 228 029 00299 0000000000
1652 1150N 06103W 00305 5016 184 027 234 232 028 00299 0000000000
1652. 1152N 06103W 00306 5016 184 029 236 228 030 00300 0000000000
1653 1154N 06103W 00305 5016 188 028 236 232 028 00299 0000000000
1653. 1156N 06103W 00306 5016 188 028 236 232 029 00300 0000000000
1654 1158N 06103W 00304 5017 187 030 236 226 031 00298 0000000000
1654. 1200N 06103W 00306 5016 185 028 236 234 029 00300 0000000000
1655 1202N 06103W 00304 5016 185 027 236 236 028 00298 0000000000
1655. 1205N 06103W 00305 5015 184 027 234 234 028 00301 0000000000
1656 1207N 06103W 00305 5014 183 027 236 236 027 00301 0000000000
1656. 1209N 06103W 00305 5014 181 026 236 236 027 00302 0000000000
1657 1211N 06103W 00304 5014 182 026 236 236 027 00301 0000000000
1657. 1213N 06103W 00306 5014 178 026 236 236 027 00302 0000000000
1658 1215N 06103W 00304 5014 177 027 236 232 028 00300 0000000000
1658. 1217N 06103W 00306 5013 175 026 236 236 027 00304 0000000000
1659 1220N 06103W 00304 5013 173 026 236 236 026 00302 0000000000

[cycloneye]

AF303 01GGA INVEST HDOB 14 KNHC
1659. 1222N 06103W 00306 5013 173 026 236 234 027 00303 0000000000
1700 1224N 06103W 00304 5014 172 026 238 234 027 00301 0000000000
1700. 1225N 06104W 00306 5015 170 024 238 236 025 00301 0000000000
1701 1225N 06106W 00304 5017 166 022 238 238 023 00298 0000000000
1701. 1225N 06108W 00305 5017 168 022 238 238 022 00298 0000000000
1702 1225N 06110W 00305 5017 168 021 240 238 022 00298 0000000000
1702. 1226N 06112W 00305 5018 166 022 240 238 022 00298 0000000000
1703 1226N 06114W 00305 5018 160 022 240 236 022 00298 0000000000
1703. 1226N 06116W 00305 5018 162 022 240 238 022 00297 0000000000
1704 1226N 06118W 00305 5019 169 021 240 240 022 00297 0000000000
1704. 1227N 06120W 00304 5020 172 023 238 238 023 00294 0000000000
1705 1227N 06122W 00306 5021 175 024 238 236 025 00295 0000000000
1705. 1226N 06124W 00305 5022 182 024 238 238 025 00294 0000000000
1706 1226N 06126W 00305 5022 181 023 230 230 024 00294 0000000000
1706. 1224N 06127W 00305 5022 184 022 236 236 023 00294 0000000000
1707 1223N 06128W 00303 5022 188 023 236 236 023 00291 0000000000
1707. 1223N 06130W 00306 5024 182 024 230 230 025 00293 0000000000
1708 1223N 06132W 00305 5025 177 027 232 230 028 00291 0000000000
1708. 1223N 06134W 00305 5026 175 026 230 230 026 00290 0000000000
1709 1224N 06136W 00302 5026 172 028 236 230 030 00286 0000000000

[cycloneye]

URNT11 KNHC 241712
97779 17114 50125 61708 03100 16022 21218 /0009
41610
RMK AF303 01GGA INVEST OB 07

Another 1009 mb reading

[Thunder44]

This will be last one a I do for a little while.

[LAwxrgal]

Just looked at the recon thread again...still doesn't seem to be any evidence of a LLC being closed off just yet, just a couple isolated reports of a SSW wind and two 1009 mb pressure readings.

[curtadams]

They need a NW to close it, and if the center is where we all think it is (between Grenada and St. Vincent) it won't be near where they are - it would be WSW of Grenada. Since wind went from NNE to S abruptly there doesn't *have* to be a NW.

[cycloneye]

SXXX50 KNHC 241717
AF303 01GGA INVEST HDOB 15 KNHC
1709. 1225N 06137W 00309 5027 168 030 232 232 031 00293 0000000000
1710 1228N 06137W 00304 5026 168 027 230 230 028 00288 0000000000
1710. 1230N 06137W 00305 5028 164 026 228 228 027 00288 0000000000
1711 1231N 06138W 00305 5028 160 026 228 228 027 00287 0000000000
1711. 1232N 06140W 00306 5029 157 021 216 216 024 00288 0000000000
1712 1232N 06142W 00306 5030 142 012 220 220 016 00287 0000000000
1712. 1231N 06144W 00303 5030 100 005 238 238 006 00284 0000000000
1713 1230N 06145W 00304 5030 056 003 236 236 004 00285 0000000000
1713. 1230N 06147W 00306 5029 039 006 236 236 007 00287 0000000000
1714 1230N 06149W 00304 5029 017 009 236 236 009 00286 0000000000
1714. 1230N 06151W 00305 5029 019 010 238 238 011 00287 0000000000
1715 1230N 06153W 00305 5029 014 012 238 238 013 00287 0000000000
1715. 1230N 06155W 00305 5028 010 013 240 240 013 00288 0000000000
1716 1230N 06157W 00305 5027 018 013 240 240 014 00288 0000000000
1716. 1230N 06159W 00305 5027 022 014 240 240 014 00289 0000000000
1717 1230N 06201W 00305 5026 023 016 240 240 016 00289 0000000000
1717. 1230N 06203W 00305 5026 020 017 240 240 017 00290 0000000000
1718 1229N 06205W 00305 5026 024 017 242 238 017 00290 0000000000
1718. 1229N 06207W 00304 5025 020 019 246 230 020 00290 0000000000
1719 1229N 06209W 00305 5025 024 020 246 232 021 00291 0000000000

[LAwxrgal]

They need a NW to close it, and if the center is where we all think it is (between Grenada and St. Vincent) it won't be near where they are - it would be WSW of Grenada. Since wind went from NNE to S abruptly there doesn't *have* to be a NW.

Let me try to understand what you're saying. So they don't need to entirely close off a LLC in order to upgrade it? Just wondering. I'm still learning this stuff.

[senorpepr]

236 degrees in a whole lot of 230 degree winds found. Thats south-southwest.

Huh? 230-236° = south-southwest? No. Try SW.

213.75° to 236.25° is southwest.

South-southwest would suggest a more southerly wind (191.25° to 213.75°)

[Derek Ortt]

please highlight the NNW wind

[brunota2003]

they have to completely close off the circulation in order to upgrade it, that means all 360 degrees...

[LAwxrgal]

Oops, never mind my post above, apparently they found a NNW wind....but they're trying to completely close off the circulation....

[Scorpion]

Come on baby close off that circulation.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Thanks senorpepr, they also just found abotu 3 or 4 240 degree winds. Which is the most southwest yet.

[Swimdude]

Ok, so I've missed the events of the morning, as I've been in class... But are we waiting for both a Southerly wind and a closed circulation at the moment?

[LAwxrgal]

Ok, so I've missed the events of the morning, as I've been in class... But are we waiting for both a Southerly wind and a closed circulation at the moment?

Basically we're waiting for the closed circ. They found SSW, NNW, South....they want to completely close it off before they upgrade.

[Derek Ortt]

I do not see a NNW wind from the readings

however, it appears as if a clsoed circ is trying to form near 12.8N and 61.7W

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Senerpepr just said that 236 degrees was southwest not sout-southwest. In the 240 would be even more.

[Swimdude]

These are the moments I love most on this board. Just thought I'd mention that. Carry on.

[Brent]

Isn't that whole set SW winds? 230 degrees?