Hurricane Ernesto - Cat. 1

[Thunder44]

They just found a WNW wind. This is from the right plane too.

[Lowpressure]

283
SXXX50 KNHC 241806
AF304 WXWXA 06082415304 HDOB 14 KNHC
1758. 2620N 08031W 07314 0469 226 008 173 237 009 07809 0000000000
1759 2620N 08028W 07315 0468 221 009 171 233 009 07810 0000000000
1759. 2620N 08025W 07316 0469 219 009 177 223 009 07813 0000000000
1800 2619N 08022W 07317 0468 220 009 175 251 010 07813 0000000000
1800. 2619N 08019W 07313 0468 228 008 175 247 009 07808 0000000000
1801 2619N 08016W 07316 0468 232 007 175 251 007 07812 0000000000
1801. 2618N 08012W 07314 0472 239 007 173 237 007 07812 0000000000
1802 2618N 08009W 07316 0472 244 007 175 239 008 07816 0000000000
1802. 2618N 08006W 07316 0472 258 008 177 237 009 07815 0000000000
1803 2617N 08003W 07316 0472 287 008 173 253 008 07816 0000000000
1803. 2615N 08001W 07312 0472 294 010 171 269 010 07812 0000000000
1804 2614N 07958W 07315 0472 286 010 171 249 010 07815 0000000000
1804. 2613N 07955W 07317 0471 277 011 175 233 012 07815 0000000000
1805 2611N 07952W 07317 0472 275 011 173 215 012 07816 0000000000
1805. 2610N 07950W 07315 0472 265 012 177 239 013 07815 0000000000
1806 2609N 07947W 07315 0473 259 012 177 227 012 07815 0000000000
1806. 2608N 07944W 07316 0473 264 010 175 233 011 07816 0000000000
1807 2606N 07941W 07316 0473 256 009 175 241 009 07816 0000000000
1807. 2605N 07938W 07315 0472 255 010 177 243 011 07813 0000000000
1808 2604N 07936W 07313 0471 268 011 177 247 012 07812 0000000000

Looks like we have a west wind and some with a northerly component to it!!!!!!! Looks like we have a TD out there!!!

GOM COORDINATES!?

[Scorpion]

They just found a WNW wind. This is from the right plane too.

Excellent news!

[Thunder44]

566
SXXX50 KNHC 241817
AF303 01GGA INVEST HDOB 21 KNHC
1809. 1215N 06219W 00305 5023 041 007 246 240 007 00293 0000000000
1810 1215N 06221W 00305 5023 048 006 246 238 006 00292 0000000000
1810. 1215N 06223W 00304 5023 069 005 246 242 006 00292 0000000000
1811 1215N 06224W 00307 5022 063 005 250 236 006 00295 0000000000
1811. 1214N 06225W 00307 5022 030 004 248 234 005 00296 0000000000
1812 1213N 06225W 00303 5022 022 003 244 240 004 00292 0000000000
1812. 1211N 06224W 00306 5021 224 003 238 238 006 00296 0000000000
1813 1210N 06224W 00303 5022 189 007 236 236 009 00292 0000000000
1813. 1208N 06224W 00303 5022 211 007 236 236 007 00291 0000000000
1814 1207N 06225W 00306 5022 221 004 238 236 004 00294 0000000000
1814. 1206N 06226W 00304 5022 185 004 244 232 006 00293 0000000000
1815 1205N 06227W 00305 5021 198 003 242 232 004 00295 0000000000
1815. 1204N 06228W 00305 5020 209 007 240 232 008 00295 0000000000
1816 1203N 06229W 00305 5020 187 009 234 232 010 00296 0000000000
1816. 1202N 06231W 00306 5020 199 003 240 234 005 00297 0000000000
1817 1201N 06232W 00303 5020 240 004 238 236 005 00294 0000000000
1817. 1200N 06233W 00307 5020 251 004 240 236 004 00298 0000000000
1818 1158N 06234W 00309 5019 231 007 234 234 007 00302 0000000000
1818. 1157N 06235W 00304 5019 238 004 238 232 006 00296 0000000000
1819 1156N 06236W 00305 5019 284 002 240 232 003 00296 0000000000

[Derek Ortt]

I think it was a NNW wind under 5KT, may not be enough to get this classified

[DESTRUCTION5]

Smell TD now..

[cycloneye]

URNT11 KNHC 241819
97779 18194 50119 62600 03100 99005 24239 /0009
41810
RMK AF303 01GGA INVEST OB 13

1009 mbs again Coordinates=11.9n-62.6w

[WmE]

yes, now it seems increasingly likely that it has an LLC.

[LAwxrgal]

This thing is nearly completely closed off... I've also looked at some north winds and some slightly east of north winds, also from the right plane.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Now they will go see what the center has in pressure. Then check out the stronger northern quads.

[Derek Ortt]

under 5KT is considered to be variable, so just a minor correction, a variable, not a WNW wind was found

[Brent]

They just found a WNW wind. This is from the right plane too.

Finally!

[Derek Ortt]

under 5KT, so the wind is reported as variable, not WNW

[WindRunner]

238° at 6kts
284° at 3kts

And it's not all that NW even, 14° north of due west probably wouldn't quite be enough to close it anyway.


EDIT: And just thought I'd let you guys know, I'm not posting maps today because I'm working on a little something to make all of our lives easier when it comes to the plotting of recon points . . . won't say anything else as of now, but if it succeeds, I'm sure everyone here will enjoy it.

[NONAME]

Is there any significants to the 1009Mb low preasure for about 5 times.

[Lowpressure]

under 5KT is considered to be variable, so just a minor correction, a variable, not a WNW wind was found

For accuracy, is 5 kts the threshold?

[cycloneye]

SXXX50 KNHC 241827
AF303 01GGA INVEST HDOB 22 KNHC
1819. 1155N 06238W 00305 5019 266 002 240 230 003 00297 0000000000
1820 1154N 06239W 00303 5020 241 002 242 228 004 00293 0000000000
1820. 1153N 06240W 00301 5020 285 003 244 228 003 00292 0000000000
1821 1152N 06241W 00305 5020 236 005 246 224 005 00295 0000000000
1821. 1151N 06242W 00305 5020 255 003 248 226 004 00296 0000000000
1822 1150N 06243W 00304 5020 286 003 250 226 003 00295 0000000000
1822. 1148N 06244W 00306 5020 305 005 250 224 006 00296 0000000000
1823 1147N 06244W 00305 5020 306 008 250 224 010 00295 0000000000
1823. 1145N 06244W 00304 5021 287 012 250 218 013 00294 0000000000
1824 1143N 06244W 00306 5022 294 010 252 210 012 00295 0000000000
1824. 1142N 06244W 00304 5021 281 008 252 204 010 00294 0000000000
1825 1140N 06244W 00305 5022 285 007 244 212 008 00294 0000000000
1825. 1139N 06244W 00306 5023 300 009 246 212 010 00294 0000000000
1826 1137N 06244W 00306 5022 291 012 238 222 014 00295 0000000000
1826. 1136N 06243W 00306 5023 286 017 238 218 017 00294 0000000000
1827 1134N 06242W 00304 5022 281 016 240 216 017 00293 0000000000
1827. 1133N 06241W 00305 5021 275 016 240 224 016 00294 0000000000
1828 1132N 06240W 00305 5022 271 017 238 232 017 00294 0000000000
1828. 1130N 06239W 00307 5022 265 017 238 232 018 00296 0000000000
1829 1131N 06238W 00302 5022 277 016 240 222 017 00290 0000000000

['CaneFreak]

not yet....we need some convection to fire closer to center...then we'll have td...maybe by 5 IF convection fires closer to center...

[Derek Ortt]

cyc,

your ob just answered the question

306 at 10KT, the circ is probably now closed

[Brent]

306 degrees at 8 kt???