Invest 97L: Comments, Sat Pics, Models Thread #3

[ConvergenceZone]

let's just hope that since it's looking better at the moment that this doesn't start the absurd cat 3,4,5 posts like we saw yeterday.....

Cat Four, Texas hit, next Friday ...

Why is everything going to Texas? we don't know where till they classifies it a TD first. Then we will go from there to many Island to worry about before Texas.

he was just being sarcastic because of my post...

[Portastorm]

let's just hope that since it's looking better at the moment that this doesn't start the absurd cat 3,4,5 posts like we saw yeterday.....

Cat Four, Texas hit, next Friday ...

Why is everything going to Texas? we don't know where till they classifies it a TD first. Then we will go from there to many Island to worry about before Texas.

Sorry ... I couldn't help the smart alec comment. Of course none of us knows for any certainty where this system will go ... it's part of some humor started on this thread last night about "everything's a Texas threat."

For the record, I don't want to see it happen as it would mean I would get activated for emergency duty.

[southerngale]

let's just hope that since it's looking better at the moment that this doesn't start the absurd cat 3,4,5 posts like we saw yeterday.....

Cat Four, Texas hit, next Friday ...

Why is everything going to Texas? we don't know where till they classifies it a TD first. Then we will go from there to many Island to worry about before Texas.

He was being sarcastic. See the post he quoted.

[Normandy]

Anyone who thinks this system has 50 kts of shear over it is either -removed- a dissipation or delusional.

[SouthFloridawx]

093
WHXX01 KWBC 241902
CHGHUR

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL972006) ON 20060824 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
060824 1800 060825 0600 060825 1800 060826 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 12.3N 62.4W 12.6N 64.6W 13.1N 66.6W 13.9N 68.4W
BAMM 12.3N 62.4W 12.9N 65.0W 13.6N 67.2W 14.4N 69.1W
A98E 12.3N 62.4W 12.9N 66.1W 13.3N 69.2W 13.7N 72.0W
LBAR 12.3N 62.4W 12.8N 65.4W 13.3N 68.5W 13.9N 71.8W
SHIP 30KTS 32KTS 39KTS 48KTS
DSHP 30KTS 32KTS 39KTS 48KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
060826 1800 060827 1800 060828 1800 060829 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 14.9N 70.2W 17.2N 74.3W 18.9N 78.4W 19.1N 82.5W
BAMM 15.5N 71.0W 17.6N 75.2W 19.2N 79.4W 19.9N 83.1W
A98E 14.2N 74.3W 16.2N 78.5W 18.3N 82.5W 20.6N 86.5W
LBAR 15.0N 74.9W 18.1N 80.2W 22.1N 84.5W 24.2N 79.6W
SHIP 57KTS 71KTS 79KTS 87KTS
DSHP 57KTS 71KTS 72KTS 80KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 12.3N LONCUR = 62.4W DIRCUR = 280DEG SPDCUR = 19KT
LATM12 = 11.7N LONM12 = 58.5W DIRM12 = 280DEG SPDM12 = 18KT
LATM24 = 11.0N LONM24 = 54.6W
WNDCUR = 30KT RMAXWD = 150NM WNDM12 = 30KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 155NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

$$