Tropical Depression #5,Analysis,Sat Pics,Models Thread
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- TreasureIslandFLGal
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as posted earlier... 1/2 the models show a continued weakness in the ridge 5+ days out, others show the ridge temporarily weakening and then trying to build back slowly to the west, but hten weakening again. we need a few more days to know how strong, and persistent, that ridge is going to be.
I guess we also need to start looking at any ridging over TX that could be there in by next weekend and/or any early season fronts that could be traveling across the lower states by then in case they could be players too.
I guess we also need to start looking at any ridging over TX that could be there in by next weekend and/or any early season fronts that could be traveling across the lower states by then in case they could be players too.
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- gboudx
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TreasureIslandFLGal wrote:as posted earlier... 1/2 the models show a continued weakness in the ridge 5+ days out, others show the ridge temporarily weakening and then trying to build back slowly to the west, but hten weakening again. we need a few more days to know how strong, and persistent, that ridge is going to be.
I guess we also need to start looking at any ridging over TX that could be there in by next weekend and/or any early season fronts that could be traveling across the lower states by then in case they could be players too.
DFW NWS mentioned a front early next week in their morning AFD. They aren't convinced that it'll get much further past the DFW area though.
Here's a snippet of their discussion:
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING IN PLACE OVER NORTH TX WILL WEAKEN AND
EVENTUALLY MEANDER EASTWARD BY SATURDAY WHERE IT WILL ATTACH
ITSELF TO THE BERMUDA HIGH. STRONG SHORTWAVE NOW COMING ASHORE IN
THE PACIFIC NW WILL MOVE INTO THE GREAT PLAINS BY THE WEEKEND.
SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS WILL OCCUR ALONG THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES AND
AN ATTENDANT COOL FRONT WILL APPROACH THE RED RIVER VALLEY IN
THE SUNDAY/MONDAY TIME FRAME. THIS FRONT WILL SLOWLY SINK
SOUTHWARD INTO CENTRAL NORTH TEXAS BY MIDWEEK. FOR NOW...WENT
SLIGHT CHANCE POPS AREAWIDE DUE TO TEMPORAL AND SPATIAL
UNCERTAINTIES.
Last edited by gboudx on Thu Aug 24, 2006 2:22 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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- cycloneye
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Changed header of thread.
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ga_ben wrote:Drezee, what site did you get the STDS from?
http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/ ... c/?C=M;O=D
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- SWFLA_CANE
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TreasureIslandFLGal wrote:as posted earlier... 1/2 the models show a continued weakness in the ridge 5+ days out, others show the ridge temporarily weakening and then trying to build back slowly to the west, but hten weakening again. we need a few more days to know how strong, and persistent, that ridge is going to be.
I guess we also need to start looking at any ridging over TX that could be there in by next weekend and/or any early season fronts that could be traveling across the lower states by then in case they could be players too.
I'm far from a pro but I agree...The models show a general path right now but the atmosphere will change in the next few days and they will shift on every run. People from the Islands to South Florida to the whole gulf coast should watch closely. Things change from day to day.
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- TreasureIslandFLGal
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- DESTRUCTION5
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jason0509 wrote:Where on earth do they get Wed August 16 from? LOL. What are they thinking?
It's fixed now.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MI ... 1912.shtml?
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#neversummer
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Wow, shear is increasing ahead of the storm: http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8sht.html
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- cycloneye
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
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- cycloneye
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Changed header of thread to leave TD only.
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
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