Tropical Depression #5,Analysis,Sat Pics,Models Thread

[SWFLA_CANE]

Wow, shear is increasing ahead of the storm: http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8sht.html

Anyone have any comments on the shear infront of it?

[gopherfan21]

Right, it still might be a TS per recon and surface obs

[skysummit]

Did recon go under the deeper convection to the east yet?

[miamicanes177]

Wow, shear is increasing ahead of the storm: http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8sht.html

Anyone have any comments on the shear infront of it?

that shear is expected to move west and have no impact this TD/TS. It should be in a 5-10kt shear enviornment over the next 5 days.

[bvigal]

No less than 4 moderators tried to get a point across about off-topic, wasted space, etc. posts in the last 6 pages of the previous discussion thread, but I think several people didn't see it as the pages quickly filled. With a nice new thread here, I'll quote southerngale's immortal words once again. (Because really, we don't even have a TD yet, and it's nearly impossible to wade through all this unless one has nothing else to do with their time, like earn enough money to pay the rent due in 7 days!) Sorry to sound like a broken record to all those who've heard this before!

The Talkin' Tropics forum is a place for sharing, discussing, and learning. Unfortunately, well thought out, informative posts can be completely buried in mere minutes beneath a mountain of posts with really no useful substance at all. Questions and comments are welcomed...that's what we're here for. This isn't a professionals only board, but in the interest of time and space, it is not necessary to post every single thought that pops in your head. That's chatroom style. Storm2k has become an important weather information source for many people. If you're at work, and you only have a few minutes to grab the latest tropical information, how frustrating it must be to plow through page after page of "I agree" "time to lock this thread" "that sounds possible" and "I already said that in another thread," etc.

"I agree" - Unless you have a weighty meteorological reputation, whether or not you agree is irrelevant to most people reading the post. What if everyone replied just to say "I agree" or "I disagree" - it would need its own forum.

"Time to lock this thread" - Please continue posting on topic until the thread is locked. How silly and wasteful to post a countdown until it's locked. It wastes valuable time and space.

"That sounds possible" - Almost anything is possible. Possibilites are limitless and universally accepted as such so it's not necessary to reply just to point this out.

"I already said/saw that in another thread" - Believe it or not, some people do not read every single post on every single page in every single thread. That comment is really just rude. This isn't a game of one-upmanship. Nobody is trying to steal your thunder. Maybe they didn't read your post and they made a similar comment. It's probably not intentional and you don't need to waste a post pointing it out.

Here's another tip: it's not always necessary to quote someone's entire post or graphic just to comment on it. Obviously, sometimes it is, but use good judgement. Most of the time it's just a space muncher.

I think you get the idea. I hope that helps anyway. Obviously, I can't address every possible scenario, but please take a moment or two before you submit your post and ask yourself if it's relevant. Remember: quality over quantity.

[jenmrk]

I am a few have question's that hopefully someone can answer.

Some have compared the track of this system to those of Ivan,Dennis, Katrina and a few others, my question is at what point will you be able to look at the conditions in the Gom and Caribbean to see how they compare to this one, if I remember correctly with Ivan they kept saying that it would go right over Cuba lose some strength , didn't it go right past it into the Gom, this is what concerns me I don't know how to past images on here, looking at Ivan's path they do seem very similar. as I have very little knowledge of how things affect these systems I am full of questions, some may be too soon or impossible to answer.
Thanks
Jen

PS...how do I put images on my post???[/img]

[Stormcenter]

Wow, shear is increasing ahead of the storm: http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8sht.html

Anyone have any comments on the shear infront of it?

that shear is expected to move west and have no impact this TD/TS. It should be in a 5-10kt shear enviornment over the next 5 days.

Really and where did you get this information from?

[Sanibel]

It should be pointed out that the convection has improved enormously over the last 3 hours and should beat any shear ahead of it.

[cycloneye]

Remember folks dont post any information that may be false because violates the rules of storm2k.

[Stormcenter]

It should be pointed out that the convection has improved enormously over the last 3 hours and should beat any shear ahead of it.

I have never heard tropical systems "beating" out any shear. They ususally have to survive it.

[miamicanes177]

Remember folks dont post any information that may be false because violates the rules of storm2k.

if you were referring to me, it was not false information. According to Dr. Masters: "The shear is forecast to remain low through the next five days. There is a zone of very high shear to the system's north, but it is forecast to retreat to the west ahead of the developing storm."

[Extremeweatherguy]

Have been busy all day and I log onto this! Looks like this will be nearing the GOM by next Monday..I know I will be watching this for sure!

[rnbaida]

Have been busy all day and I log onto this! Looks like this will be nearing the GOM by next Monday..I know I will be watching this for sure!

that link doesnt work...

[Brent]

Have been busy all day and I log onto this! Looks like this will be nearing the GOM by next Monday..I know I will be watching this for sure!

that link doesnt work...

There is no link. He just underlined the word "this".

[rnbaida]

can someone provide me with barbados current weather conditions?
thank you

[cycloneye]

can someone provide me with barbados current weather conditions?
thank you

http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/TBPB.html

[Wx_Warrior]

How good is the Canadian model???

[gopherfan21]

Remember kids, the atmosphere is a fluid. It's not going to stay the way that shear map depicts until a new map comes out.

[jlauderdal]

Have been busy all day and I log onto this! Looks like this will be nearing the GOM by next Monday..I know I will be watching this for sure!

that link doesnt work...

no link, the exclamation point wasnt enough so we got an underline too.

[rnbaida]

if barbados has surface winds at 38mph it has got to be a TS with winds of al least 45mph..