Tropical Depression #5,Analysis,Sat Pics,Models Thread

[ROCK]

Skysummit...

EWG is not keeping up with the current models...

no Stratosphere actually I am keeping up with the latest models. That image posted, however, showed times as long ago as 8am and 2pm today. Either the times are dead wrong on that image, or it is showing old runs.

Then why on earth are you arguing against those that are pointing out the latest model plots that show a bit of a northward trend, and bringing up a model plot from earlier this morning, showing a westward movement?

Makes no sense.....

Hes not arguing about the models. Just pointed out some discrepancies...NOT a big deal really....

[skysummit]

[Javlin]

The GFDL and GFS must be running in tandem with each other.They both take that right turn at Cuba while the others still head to the NW GOM.Will the NHC has got to be meshing the best models together for the data they are providing.It's just been one screwy season with all these ULL's and TUTT's everywhere.These are going to be part of the final act I think.The role though,will it give life to the storm or give it death.let's hope for the latter.

[Bailey1777]

It's moving West at 18 the tracks will shift again and again and again .........

[Vortex]

The latest 00z Nam rolling in is on board and resembling more the GFDL,GFS, and to some extent the dynamical models. Its becoming a little more clear and now consistently advertised by several of the "big guns" in the world of weather models that this system may be significantly impacted by a weakness/troughiness to the north and west over Florida and a ULL over the western carribean. The forecasted synoptic environment to the North and NW of the storm as well as developments in the western carribean may induce a more NW movement and potentially pose a threat to the Greater antilles, Cuba, Florida. As usual the devil is in the details.


Nam 8/25 00z:
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... el_l.shtml

[Noles2006]

I don't like the looks of this one bit.

Get ready GOMers.

[hicksta]

If it keeps on that track, anyone wana take a guess what type of water it will pass over like a few other storms from last year =-/

[StormTracker]

EJ, my gut is telling me the same thing as i sit here and watch the Dolphins loose their 2nd Pre-Season game out of 3!!!

[ROCK]

It's moving West at 18 the tracks will shift again and again and again .........

yep, they always do left, right, left......

[6SpeedTA95]

I don't like the looks of this one bit.

Get ready GOMers.

It's still early, lets not get too tense over things yet. Lets let things play out over the weekend.

[Rainband]

Local Met said it ALL depends on the ridge if the ridge is Strong then it goes west. If it weakens then it could, COULD turn more North. Pretty much what we already knew. He said right now Florida isn't the most likely area to be affected.