Hurricane Ernesto - Cat. 1

[Grease Monkey]

Come on guys kiss and makeup. Don't let a few words online from someone you have never met bother you.

[Damar91]

This is a great recon discussion thread.....back on topic people.....

Speaking of which, does anyone have any new data from the plane?

[AtlanticWind]

this is a center reformation and nothing more

this is not going to hit the Florida Peninsula

It COULD get very near the florida keys though.

[Damar91]

Come on guys kiss and makeup. Don't let a few words online from someone you have never met bother you.

[Thunder44]

[Stratosphere747]

With the technical issues. Looks to only be VDM's on this mission.

[WindRunner]

Well, they did correct the VDM, again in a non-traditional manner. They don't usually point out their corrections like this.

URNT12 KNHC 261842 COR
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 26/1754Z
B. 15 DEG 43 MIN N
71 DEG 07 MIN W
C. 850 MB 1415 M
D. 40 KT
E. 334 DEG 27 NM
F. 118 DEG 51 KT
G. 017 DEG 51 NM CORRECTED
H. 997 MB
I. 15 C/ 1523 M
J. 22 C/ 1511 M
K. 15 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1345/8
O. 0.2/3 NM
P. AF304 0405A ERNESTO
MAX FL WIND INBOUND 51 KT NE QUAD 1718Z.
MAX FL WIND OUTBOUND 58 KT NE QUAD AT 1757Z

[Bailey1777]

No why it gets out of hand is people like you make gut calls and when sound evidence is presented you smart off. I'm done with ya.

[WindRunner]

They corrected the VDM:

URNT12 KNHC 261842 COR
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 26/1754Z
B. 15 DEG 43 MIN N
71 DEG 07 MIN W
C. 850 MB 1415 M
D. 40 KT
E. 334 DEG 27 NM
F. 118 DEG 51 KT
G. 017 DEG 51 NM CORRECTED
H. 997 MB
I. 15 C/ 1523 M
J. 22 C/ 1511 M
K. 15 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1345/8
O. 0.2/3 NM
P. AF304 0405A ERNESTO
MAX FL WIND INBOUND 51 KT NE QUAD 1718Z.
MAX FL WIND OUTBOUND 58 KT NE QUAD AT 1757Z

[Damar91]

No why it gets out of hand is people like you make gut calls and when sound evidence is presented you smart off. I'm done with ya.

Anyways.....how about that data? Is the plane even still in there?

[WindRunner]

In all good theory, they generally make fixes every 90 minutes or so, which would put the next vortex coming out any moment, though that can't be guaranteed as they appear to be creating these themselves, so the data must be compiled and formatted by a human. I'm sure they are having loads of fun up there on this mission . . .

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

What happen to the the other obs?

[Bailey1777]

That would suck. Hope these guys know how much we appreciate them.

[canegrl04]

51 kts puts Ernesto over 60mph

[HURAKAN]

51 kts puts Ernesto over 60mph

Isn't that fly level, not surface?

[SouthFloridawx]

58 KTS X .80 (850mb) = 46.4 KTS

46.4 KTS X 1.15 (conversion) = 53.36MPH

[Thunder44]

51 kts puts Ernesto over 60mph

Isn't that fly level, not surface?

Yes, those are flight level winds.

[Brandon007]

so how likely do you guys think we will have a hurricane at the next update?

[Scorpion]

so how likely do you guys think we will have a hurricane at the next update?

Zero

[SouthFloridawx]

334
UZNT13 KNHC 261945
XXAA 76188 99159 70709 04450 99002 254// 10556 00017 254// 10557
92715 230// 12061 85436 174// 13548 88999 77999
31313 09608 81758
61616 AF304 0405A ERNESTO OB 04
62626 MXWNDBND SPL 1586N07091W 1759 MBL WND 11063 AEV 20604 DLM W
ND 11063 001946 WL150 11063 081 =
XXBB 76188 99159 70709 04450 00002 254// 11970 234// 22922 228//
33850 174// 44844 170//
21212 00002 10556 11988 11067 22980 11562 33946 12065 44844 13547
31313 09608 81758
61616 AF304 0405A ERNESTO OB 04
62626 MXWNDBND SPL 1586N07091W 1759 MBL WND 11063 AEV 20604 DLM W
ND 11063 001946 WL150 11063 081 =

Decode please?